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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 23, 2016
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Mavericks42%106103
16Trail Blazers58%109109
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.4
41
32
22
5
1
2
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
6-10
60%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.7
39
31
12
3
11
1
1
0
3
1
2
4-5
80%
4-10
3-7
40%
45%
0-5
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 37.8
36
32
21
9
3
0
1
1
3
0
9
1-1
100%
7-11
6-11
64%
50%
2-5
40%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 29.8
30
13
14
12
1
1
0
3
4
3
9
2-2
100%
6-12
1-3
50%
55%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.7
20
23
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
0-2
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.7
25
23
14
2
5
1
0
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
6-12
3-6
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.1
20
20
11
4
0
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-5
2-3
80%
51%
1-3
33%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.9
13
19
4
5
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
51%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 31.6
9
6
3
4
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
1-1
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.3
5
9
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-2
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.1
8
0
1-2
47%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.2
3
0
1-1
55%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.7
3
0
0-1
51%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.4
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 28.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.7
38
35
27
6
6
1
1
2
7
0
6
5-5
100%
5-10
6-11
50%
49%
4-9
44%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
37
35
14
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
4-6
67%
5-11
6-12
45%
48%
0-3
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.5
36
27
10
11
1
2
1
2
1
0
11
3-4
75%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
1-7
14%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 26.1
27
27
10
8
1
3
1
2
1
2
6
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
56%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
25
15
14
4
2
1
1
1
0
1
3
4-4
100%
5-9
2-3
56%
56%
0-4
0%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 28.3
23
23
10
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
0-2
0%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.0
21
28
6
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
52%
2-2
100%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.8
21
18
16
9
2
3
1
0
3
5
4
4-4
100%
6-7
2-3
86%
59%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 30.3
9
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 20.6
3
13
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 33.9
5
0
1-2
50%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.2
3
0
0-1
47%
Cliff Alexander
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.4
2
0
0-0
51%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.1
Luis Montero
· 6'7" 185 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.