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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 1, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Nets27%9891
21Knicks73%107105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.5
30.4
29.1
5
43%
4
5
2
2
0
2
3
1
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
0-0
-
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 28.0
30.1
19.3
16
38%
8
4
0
0
1
2
3
5
2-2
100%
7-19
4-8
37%
51%
0-1
0%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 25.0
27.2
18.2
14
62%
13
3
5
1
0
3
6
7
2-3
67%
6-10
3-6
60%
45%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.3
23.6
17.0
8
30%
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2
1-1
100%
2-7
1-3
29%
44%
1-6
17%
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 21.2
14.8
18.1
1
9%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-4
2-4
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Sean Kilpatrick
G · 6'4" 212 · 26.2
33.2
21.4
17
41%
4
2
0
1
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
6-12
2-5
50%
48%
1-8
13%
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.2
28.6
18.8
16
47%
4
1
2
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
6-12
2-4
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.2
20.8
16.9
5
36%
8
0
0
1
0
2
1
7
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 26.0
17.9
16.4
7
62%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
5-6
83%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.2
13.5
17.6
2
50%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.0
23.0
0
3-5
50%
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 22.4
13.7
0
1-2
49%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 25.9
9.8
0
2-3
52%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.4
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 28.0
28.9
28.9
6
61%
4
2
0
0
4
3
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
5-9
50%
57%
0-0
-
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 23.5
28.8
16.2
14
54%
3
4
0
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-9
2-4
44%
49%
2-4
50%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.8
25.0
33.2
13
43%
6
4
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
5-12
6-13
42%
50%
1-3
33%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.9
24.0
23.9
16
90%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
4-7
25%
53%
4-4
100%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 32.1
16.8
19.7
5
83%
5
0
0
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.5
26.2
28.4
5
42%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
1-2
50%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.3
24.2
20.3
18
82%
6
7
1
1
1
3
0
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
4-6
67%
Cleanthony Early
F · 6'8" 210 · 25.0
23.0
2.1
7
35%
6
3
0
0
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
2-8
0-0
25%
50%
1-2
50%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 26.3
22.4
11.8
12
61%
7
0
1
0
0
2
0
7
2-2
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
50%
0-1
0%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 26.0
19.1
10.3
9
83%
5
1
0
0
1
1
1
4
1-1
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
54%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 33.3
1.6
3.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 20.7
21.9
1
3-7
50%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.0
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 34.5
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.