Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, April 1, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 5 | Hornets | 82% | 111 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Mavericks | 41% | 104 | 98 |
 | 17 | Pistons | 59% | 107 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Nets | 27% | 98 | 91 |
 | 21 | Knicks | 73% | 107 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Raptors | 63% | 104 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Magic | 44% | 102 | 110 |
 | 23 | Bucks | 56% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Timberwolves | 28% | 97 | 85 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Heat | 52% | 106 | 112 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Celtics | 20% | 104 | 109 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Thursday, March 31, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 12% | 98 | 87 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 88% | 114 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Magic | 33% | 99 | 114 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Bulls | 38% | 105 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 26 | Pelicans | 49% | 104 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 4 | Thunder | 65% | 109 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Celtics | 48% | 107 | 109 |
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Wednesday, March 30, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hawks | 48% | 102 | 97 |
| 10 | Raptors | 52% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nuggets | 47% | 102 | 109 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 53% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Suns | 38% | 104 | 94 |
| 23 | Bucks | 62% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 59% | 108 | 99 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 41% | 105 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Knicks | 41% | 103 | 89 |
| 18 | Mavericks | 59% | 106 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pelicans | 13% | 92 | 92 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 57% | 105 | 103 |
| 9 | Jazz | 43% | 103 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 49% | 107 | 111 |
| 21 | Kings | 51% | 108 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 68% | 107 | 100 |
 | 29 | Lakers | 32% | 101 | 102 |
Tuesday, March 29, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 33% | 100 | 98 |
| 11 | Pacers | 67% | 106 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 33% | 100 | 105 |
| 22 | Magic | 67% | 106 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hornets | 72% | 109 | 100 |
| 29 | 76ers | 28% | 101 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 55% | 109 | 82 |
| 16 | Pistons | 45% | 107 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 37% | 105 | 106 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 63% | 109 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 22% | 105 | 94 |
| 1 | Warriors | 78% | 115 | 102 |
Monday, March 28, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 27% | 98 | 99 |
| 14 | Heat | 73% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 51% | 106 | 119 |
| 7 | Raptors | 49% | 105 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hawks | 57% | 106 | 102 |
| 17 | Bulls | 43% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 74% | 104 | 101 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 26% | 95 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 33% | 105 | 116 |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 67% | 111 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Knicks | 58% | 104 | 91 |
| 27 | Pelicans | 42% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Mavericks | 49% | 105 | 97 |
| 24 | Nuggets | 51% | 106 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 18% | 95 | 75 |
| 9 | Jazz | 82% | 107 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 32% | 106 | 93 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 68% | 113 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 40% | 104 | 90 |
| 5 | Clippers | 60% | 107 | 114 |
Sunday, March 27, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nuggets | 23% | 100 | 90 |
| 4 | Clippers | 77% | 111 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 47% | 103 | 101 |
| 13 | Pacers | 53% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Mavericks | 49% | 107 | 111 |
| 21 | Kings | 51% | 108 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 7% | 100 | 105 |
| 1 | Warriors | 93% | 120 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wizards | 68% | 111 | 101 |
| 27 | Lakers | 32% | 104 | 88 |
Saturday, March 26, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 65% | 104 | 110 |
| 27 | Nets | 35% | 99 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 57% | 105 | 89 |
| 24 | Magic | 43% | 103 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 62% | 104 | 115 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 38% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hawks | 51% | 105 | 112 |
| 16 | Pistons | 49% | 104 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 66% | 106 | 107 |
| 19 | Knicks | 34% | 101 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 57% | 103 | 93 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 43% | 100 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 43% | 104 | 92 |
| 4 | Thunder | 57% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hornets | 56% | 104 | 115 |
| 22 | Bucks | 44% | 101 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celtics | 70% | 112 | 102 |
| 29 | Suns | 30% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 22% | 102 | 105 |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 78% | 113 | 108 |
Friday, March 25, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 33% | 104 | 132 |
| 9 | Wizards | 67% | 110 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hornets | 51% | 105 | 105 |
| 17 | Pistons | 49% | 104 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 34% | 99 | 97 |
| 15 | Heat | 66% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 29% | 98 | 90 |
| 6 | Hawks | 71% | 105 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 43% | 103 | 109 |
| 7 | Rockets | 57% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 16% | 91 | 104 |
| 3 | Spurs | 84% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 38% | 108 | 94 |
| 22 | Kings | 62% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Mavericks | 20% | 104 | 120 |
| 1 | Warriors | 80% | 116 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nuggets | 54% | 107 | 116 |
| 29 | Lakers | 46% | 105 | 105 |
Thursday, March 24, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | 29% | 98 | 84 |
| 11 | Pacers | 71% | 106 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 74% | 109 | 95 |
| 28 | Nets | 26% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 48% | 104 | 94 |
| 19 | Knicks | 52% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 29% | 99 | 91 |
| 3 | Thunder | 71% | 107 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 32% | 104 | 94 |
| 5 | Clippers | 68% | 111 | 96 |
Wednesday, March 23, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hawks | 47% | 103 | 122 |
| 11 | Wizards | 53% | 104 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 21% | 98 | 104 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 79% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Raptors | 45% | 103 | 79 |
| 14 | Celtics | 55% | 105 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 39% | 102 | 102 |
| 18 | Pistons | 61% | 106 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 38% | 102 | 115 |
| 17 | Bulls | 62% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 49% | 102 | 89 |
| 9 | Rockets | 51% | 103 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 46% | 108 | 104 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 54% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 16% | 93 | 88 |
| 1 | Spurs | 84% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 31% | 101 | 103 |
| 24 | Nuggets | 69% | 108 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Lakers | 40% | 106 | 107 |
| 28 | Suns | 60% | 110 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Mavericks | 42% | 106 | 103 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 58% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 31% | 106 | 98 |
| 2 | Warriors | 69% | 113 | 114 |
Tuesday, March 22, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hornets | 64% | 106 | 105 |
| 29 | Nets | 36% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 57% | 103 | 113 |
| 24 | Pelicans | 43% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 30% | 106 | 107 |
| 3 | Thunder | 70% | 113 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 47% | 102 | 100 |
| 28 | Lakers | 53% | 103 | 107 |
Monday, March 21, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 64% | 104 | 88 |
| 7 | Hornets | 36% | 99 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nuggets | 20% | 99 | 91 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 80% | 111 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 16% | 96 | 75 |
| 11 | Pacers | 84% | 109 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 32% | 102 | 96 |
| 14 | Celtics | 68% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 31% | 100 | 91 |
| 17 | Pistons | 69% | 107 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wizards | 39% | 101 | 117 |
| 6 | Hawks | 61% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 35% | 105 | 102 |
| 18 | Bulls | 65% | 110 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 74% | 115 | 109 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 26% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 51% | 104 | 103 |
| 27 | Suns | 49% | 103 | 97 |
Sunday, March 20, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 107 | 120 |
| 16 | Mavericks | 55% | 108 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 30% | 98 | 100 |
| 8 | Raptors | 70% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 71% | 110 | 120 |
| 30 | 76ers | 29% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 60% | 107 | 105 |
| 24 | Pelicans | 40% | 104 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 53% | 99 | 94 |
| 22 | Bucks | 47% | 98 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 47% | 106 | 88 |
| 19 | Knicks | 53% | 107 | 80 |
Saturday, March 19, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nuggets | 27% | 100 | 101 |
| 6 | Hornets | 73% | 109 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 31% | 101 | 103 |
| 17 | Pistons | 69% | 108 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 48% | 104 | 115 |
| 11 | Pacers | 52% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 35% | 101 | 89 |
| 12 | Wizards | 65% | 106 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 36% | 102 | 97 |
| 8 | Hawks | 64% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 57% | 104 | 101 |
| 14 | Heat | 43% | 101 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 56% | 101 | 85 |
| 21 | Bulls | 44% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 73% | 105 | 102 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 27% | 96 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 32% | 103 | 79 |
| 1 | Spurs | 68% | 109 | 87 |