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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 1, 2016
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Heat52%106112
21Kings48%105106
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.8
36
31
14
5
8
2
1
0
6
1
4
1-1
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
47%
1-4
25%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 31.0
34
31
17
3
4
0
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
49%
3-3
100%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.2
33
6
30
3
1
3
0
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
6-10
1-1
60%
47%
5-9
56%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.9
30
26
18
2
7
0
1
1
4
0
2
7-8
88%
4-10
4-8
40%
54%
1-2
50%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.4
17
15
8
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-4
3-5
75%
55%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.8
30
31
6
13
1
0
1
3
2
0
13
2-2
100%
2-4
7-11
50%
61%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.0
30
28
12
5
1
0
1
1
1
3
2
1-1
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
50%
1-2
50%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.5
28
29
7
3
1
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.2
30
1
8-16
50%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.1
9
0
1-1
52%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.9
8
0
1-2
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.8
2
0
0-0
48%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.6
40
25
20
13
1
2
1
0
4
4
9
2-2
100%
9-18
4-7
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.6
32
20
21
2
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
7-8
88%
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
4-6
67%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 30.1
29
26
5
5
10
1
1
0
3
0
5
3-4
75%
1-6
3-5
17%
48%
0-1
0%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.6
22
24
4
4
1
0
1
2
0
2
2
2-2
100%
1-6
4-7
17%
57%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.5
14
18
4
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
56%
0-2
0%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.6
34
29
26
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
9-9
100%
7-10
4-7
70%
52%
1-3
33%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.1
22
19
12
9
2
0
0
2
2
6
3
0-2
0%
6-11
3-6
55%
53%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 23.1
21
16
5
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
1-3
33%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 27.0
19
10
7
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
48%
1-3
33%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.8
8
25
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
1-3
3-6
33%
52%
0-0
-
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.6
25
1
6-11
49%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 36.1
4
0
0-1
44%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 24.3
2
0
0-0
51%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.0
Duje Dukan
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.