Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Heat	52%	106	112	116.7	96	86.6
	19	Kings	48%	105	106	115.2	92	103.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Joe Johnson F · 6'7" 240 · 35	36.5	14	64%	5	8	2	0	6	4	1	4	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	1-4	25%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 31	34.4	17	71%	3	4	0	0	2	1	2	1	0-0	-	4-9	44%	3-3	100%
Gerald Green G · 6'7" 205 · 30	32.9	30	75%	3	1	3	0	0	3	1	2	3-3	100%	6-10	60%	5-9	56%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 30	30.3	18	56%	2	7	0	1	4	4	0	2	7-8	88%	4-10	40%	1-2	50%
Amar'e Stoudemire C · 6'10" 245 · 33	17.4	8	80%	4	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 27	30.5	6	60%	13	1	0	3	2	3	0	13	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 20	30.4	12	50%	5	1	0	1	1	2	3	2	1-1	100%	4-10	40%	1-2	50%
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 23	27.6	7	44%	3	1	0	1	2	4	0	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 34	\| DND - Neck and Back soreness
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 24	\| DND - left shoulder surgery
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	61%	38	23	5	6	18	0	7	31	16-17	94%	30-60	50%	12-22	55%

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16 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Joe Johnson F · 6'7" 240 · 35	36.5	14	64%	5	8	2	0	6	4	1	4	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	1-4	25%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 31	34.4	17	71%	3	4	0	0	2	1	2	1	0-0	-	4-9	44%	3-3	100%
Gerald Green G · 6'7" 205 · 30	32.9	30	75%	3	1	3	0	0	3	1	2	3-3	100%	6-10	60%	5-9	56%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 30	30.3	18	56%	2	7	0	1	4	4	0	2	7-8	88%	4-10	40%	1-2	50%
Amar'e Stoudemire C · 6'10" 245 · 33	17.4	8	80%	4	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 27	30.5	6	60%	13	1	0	3	2	3	0	13	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 20	30.4	12	50%	5	1	0	1	1	2	3	2	1-1	100%	4-10	40%	1-2	50%
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 23	27.6	7	44%	3	1	0	1	2	4	0	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 34	\| DND - Neck and Back soreness
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 24	\| DND - left shoulder surgery
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	61%	38	23	5	6	18	0	7	31	16-17	94%	30-60	50%	12-22	55%

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19 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rudy Gay F · 6'8" 230 · 30	39.5	20	45%	13	1	2	0	4	3	4	9	2-2	100%	9-18	50%	0-3	0%
Seth Curry G · 6'1" 185 · 26	31.6	21	81%	2	3	2	0	1	0	0	2	7-8	88%	1-4	25%	4-6	67%
Rajon Rondo G · 6'1" 186 · 30	28.6	5	28%	5	10	1	0	3	1	0	5	3-4	75%	1-6	17%	0-1	0%
Willie Cauley-Stein C · 7'0" 240 · 23	22.1	4	29%	4	1	0	2	0	1	2	2	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Quincy Acy F · 6'7" 240 · 25	13.6	4	33%	2	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%

Darren Collison G · 6'2" 185 · 29	34.1	26	76%	2	2	0	0	2	3	1	1	9-9	100%	7-10	70%	1-3	33%
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 27	22.2	12	50%	9	2	0	2	2	4	6	3	0-2	0%	6-11	55%	0-0	-
Ben McLemore G · 6'5" 195 · 23	21.2	5	50%	2	0	2	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
James Anderson G-F · 6'6" 213 · 27	19.2	7	70%	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Omri Casspi F · 6'9" 225 · 28	7.8	2	25%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
DeMarcus Cousins C · 6'11" 270 · 26	\| NWT - NBA suspension
Caron Butler F · 6'7" 228 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Eric Moreland F-C · 6'10" 238 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Marco Belinelli #3 · G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Duje Dukan #26 · F · 6'9" 220 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	52%	41	20	7	5	13	0	16	25	23-29	79%	31-66	47%	7-21	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	SAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.22 60.9%

SAC

1.04 52.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

10

17

59%

SAC

16

31

52%

Midrange

MIA

20

43

47%

SAC

15

35

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

12

18.0

22

55%

82%

SAC

7

10.5

21

33%

50%

Free Throws

MIA

16

17

94%

SAC

23

29

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Green	30	75%	15.0 / 20
G. Dragic	18	56%	9.0 / 16
L. Deng	17	71%	8.5 / 12
J. Johnson	14	64%	7.0 / 11
J. Winslow	12	50%	6.0 / 12
A. Stoudemire	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Richardson	7	44%	3.5 / 8
H. Whiteside	6	60%	3.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Collison	26	76%	13.0 / 17
S. Curry	21	81%	10.5 / 13
R. Gay	20	45%	10.0 / 22
K. Koufos	12	50%	6.0 / 12
J. Anderson	7	70%	3.5 / 5
R. Rondo	5	28%	2.5 / 9
B. McLemore	5	50%	2.5 / 5
W. Cauley-Stein	4	29%	2.0 / 7
Q. Acy	4	33%	2.0 / 6
O. Casspi	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 106.0 16 106.1	MIA 116.7 +1.4 SAC 115.2
Pace	25 93.7 1 99.9	MIA 86.6 SAC 103.2 +16.6
Avg. Poss. Time	4 16.0 28 14.0	MIA 16.6 SAC 14.0 −2.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 50.8% 10 51.0%	MIA 58.5% +10.8% SAC 47.7%
TO %	15 14.0% 26 15.5%	MIA 16.7% SAC 12.3% −4.4%
ORB %	16 23.9% 17 23.9%	MIA 21.9% SAC 34.0% +12.1%
FTrt	11 28.2 7 29.5	MIA 20.7 SAC 33.3 +12.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 54.3% 6 61.2%	MIA 54.8% +2.2% SAC 52.6%
STL %	26 7.2% 7 8.9%	MIA 5.2% SAC 7.6% +2.4%
BLK %	1 10.3% 21 7.5%	MIA 9.1% +0.8% SAC 8.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 52.8% 11 53.4%	MIA 60.9% +8.9% SAC 52.0%
Rim FG%	2 62.3% 14 57.9%	MIA 58.8% +7.2% SAC 51.6%
Mid FG%	14 40.5% 15 40.4%	MIA 46.5% +3.6% SAC 42.9%
3P %	27 33.6% 10 35.9%	MIA 54.5% +21.2% SAC 33.3%
FT %	23 74.4% 26 72.5%	MIA 94.1% +14.8% SAC 79.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 37.0% 3 40.5%	MIA 20.7% SAC 35.6% +14.9%
Mid Att. %	26 40.9% 10 33.5%	MIA 52.4% SAC 40.2% −12.2%
3P Att. %	27 22.1% 21 26.0%	MIA 26.8% +2.7% SAC 24.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	SAC
Possessions	96	92
Possession Minutes	26.6	21.4
Points	112	106
Rebounds	38	41
Assists	23	20
Steals	5	7
Blocks	6	5
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (7)	16 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (1)	25 (1)
Field Goals	42-82	38-87
At-the-Rim FG	10-17	16-31
Midrange FG	20-43	15-35
2-Point FG	30-60	31-66
3-Point FG	12-22	7-21
Free Throws	16-17	23-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg