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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 7, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Raptors43%10187
8Hawks57%10495
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.0
34
35
16
4
6
1
2
0
2
1
3
2-5
40%
4-9
4-8
44%
45%
2-6
33%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.7
34
29
16
4
4
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
7-22
6-13
32%
45%
0-2
0%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 22.9
31
26
10
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
2-4
50%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.9
21
28
13
8
0
0
0
1
0
3
5
7-8
88%
3-6
5-10
50%
55%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 35.9
11
13
2
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-3
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.1
28
28
3
4
2
2
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 23.6
22
18
10
9
1
0
0
1
1
3
6
4-5
80%
3-8
2-3
38%
53%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25.2
19
23
6
5
1
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
2-3
67%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
18
25
6
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.7
14
9
5
1
0
4
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
1-1
100%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 23.7
5
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.7
3
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.9
7
0
1-2
44%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.1
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 20.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 31.2
37
32
13
14
2
1
2
5
4
2
12
5-6
83%
4-8
5-9
50%
52%
0-3
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 35.1
36
28
14
5
4
0
1
3
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
50%
4-8
50%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.8
33
32
11
8
6
2
1
0
2
1
7
2-2
100%
3-6
5-9
50%
55%
1-3
33%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 27.8
30
29
23
0
5
0
1
1
3
0
0
7-9
78%
5-10
5-10
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.9
29
18
10
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
55%
1-2
50%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 24.1
28
16
11
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
3-5
60%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 22.6
15
18
0
2
3
0
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
3-7
0%
48%
0-3
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 27.7
14
16
11
7
1
0
0
0
0
2
5
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
53%
1-3
33%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.8
9
4
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
56%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.3
5
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.2
3
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-1
0%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 26.8
30
1
3-6
51%
Lamar Patterson
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 24.7
Edy Tavares
C · 7'3" 265 · 24.0
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 31.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.