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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 7, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Bulls42%10198
14Heat58%104106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 26.6
40.1
34.7
25
58%
1
6
0
2
1
4
0
1
10-10
100%
6-13
5-11
46%
49%
1-4
25%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.5
35.7
28.0
17
48%
3
3
2
1
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
7-16
5-12
44%
46%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 35.8
33.1
31.2
21
72%
12
2
0
1
4
2
3
9
7-8
88%
7-10
5-11
70%
48%
0-1
0%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 25.2
26.8
28.4
4
33%
1
1
3
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 35.6
18.9
19.4
2
35%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 27.0
30.4
17.9
9
56%
2
3
1
1
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
42%
1-3
33%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 24.3
20.7
21.3
6
55%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 21.2
19.9
15.4
6
33%
10
2
0
0
0
0
6
4
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
47%
0-1
0%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 23.8
14.4
13.4
8
75%
7
1
0
0
0
1
2
5
2-3
67%
3-4
1-3
75%
48%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 31.2
16.0
0
2-4
44%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.8
8.9
0
1-3
51%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 24.4
4.2
0
0-1
42%
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
2.9
0
0-1
45%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.1
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 27.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.8
35.2
28.4
17
85%
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
49%
3-4
75%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 31.0
33.0
31.3
13
50%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
6-10
4-8
60%
50%
0-2
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.2
32.9
19.8
21
54%
5
4
1
1
0
4
2
3
3-3
100%
9-18
5-10
50%
50%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.9
30.8
30.3
16
47%
12
4
1
1
1
3
4
8
2-2
100%
7-13
5-9
54%
54%
0-3
0%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.4
16.1
14.1
10
59%
3
0
3
0
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
5-8
2-4
63%
56%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.6
32.3
30.5
11
56%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.0
28.8
28.3
2
13%
6
0
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
50%
0-2
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.8
27.3
28.2
16
57%
12
0
1
1
1
0
5
7
6-7
86%
5-11
6-10
45%
61%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.8
3.7
4.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.2
12.8
0
1-3
48%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.9
7.6
0
1-2
52%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.1
7.2
0
1-1
52%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.