FinalWin Prob.pScore
240%104
101
160%107
112
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
104.19788.1
GSW logo GSW
114.398109.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WarriorsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WarriorsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASGSW
Q4 - 0:00.0GSW101
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASMartin Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)101
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0GSWBarbosa Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)98
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0SASWest 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)98
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)96
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0GSWMISS Speights 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02GSWClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02SASMISS Martin 27' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14SASMISS Anderson Free Throw 2 of 296
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14SASAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)96
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31GSWMISS Thompson 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41SASMISS Ginobili 17' Fadeaway Jumper95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52GSWMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05SASMISS Anderson 11' Fadeaway Jumper95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19GSWCurry 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (27 PTS)95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47SASAnderson 14' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)95
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11GSWThompson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS) (Iguodala 1 AST)93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)93
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 3:24SASMISS Parker 1' Driving Reverse Layup93
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 3:31SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
0.6%
107
99.4%
Q4 - 3:32GSWMISS Iguodala 2' Layup93
0.5%
107
99.5%
Q4 - 3:48SASWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)93
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 3:48SASMISS West Free Throw 1 of 292
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 4:05GSWCurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)92
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 4:05GSWCurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)92
0.4%
106
99.6%
Q4 - 4:22SASLivingston STEAL (1 STL)92
0.5%
105
99.5%
Q4 - 4:41SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)92
0.7%
105
99.3%
Q4 - 4:41GSWMISS Barnes 3PT Jump Shot92
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 4:49GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
0.5%
105
99.5%
Q4 - 4:49SASMISS Aldridge 7' Jump Shot92
0.5%
105
99.5%
Q4 - 5:08SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)92
1.2%
105
98.8%
Q4 - 5:09GSWMISS Curry 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
1.1%
105
98.9%
Q4 - 5:23SASAnderson 3' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)92
0.9%
105
99.1%
Q4 - 5:31GSWBarnes Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)90
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 5:52SASLeonard 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Green 1 AST)90
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 6:06GSWGreen 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)87
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 6:24SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)87
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 6:35SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 6:38GSWMISS Thompson 3PT Jump Shot84
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 6:40GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)84
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 6:41GSWMISS Thompson 3PT Jump Shot84
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 6:51GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 6:52SASMISS Aldridge 12' Fadeaway Jumper84
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 7:10GSWGreen 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Curry 9 AST)84
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 7:22SASCurry STEAL (2 STL)84
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 7:33GSWLivingston Cutting Dunk Shot (6 PTS) (Green 7 AST)84
1.0%
100
99.0%
Q4 - 7:48SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)84
1.3%
98
98.7%
Q4 - 7:48SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)83
1.2%
98
98.8%
Q4 - 8:07GSWSpeights Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)82
1.4%
98
98.6%
Q4 - 8:07GSWSpeights Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)82
1.4%
97
98.6%
Q4 - 8:17SASGinobili 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (West 7 AST)82
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 8:31GSWBarnes 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Thompson 6 AST)80
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q4 - 8:48SASWest 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mills 3 AST)80
2.2%
93
97.8%
Q4 - 9:01SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
2.3%
93
97.7%
Q4 - 9:02GSWMISS Speights 20' Jump Shot78
2.1%
93
97.9%
Q4 - 9:16SASWest 8' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)78
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 9:40GSWBarnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)76
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 9:40GSWBarnes Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)76
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q4 - 9:53SASMills 2' Cutting Layup Shot (7 PTS) (West 6 AST)76
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q4 - 10:09GSWLivingston 10' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Speights 1 AST)74
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q4 - 10:32SASMills 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Martin 4 AST)74
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 10:38SASMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 10:39GSWMISS Barbosa 2' Driving Layup71
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 10:51GSWIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 10:52SASMISS Martin 12' Jump Shot71
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 10:59SASMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 11:00GSWMISS Iguodala 21' Pullup Jump Shot71
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 11:15SASMills 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (West 5 AST)71
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 11:34GSWSpeights 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Livingston 5 AST)69
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 11:48SASGinobili Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)69
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSW69
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0SASGinobili 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)69
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q3 - 0:26.0GSWIguodala Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Green 6 AST)67
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0SASGreen STEAL (1 STL)67
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q3 - 0:38.0GSWCurry 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (22 PTS)67
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q3 - 0:46.0SASWest 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)67
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q3 - 1:03GSWGreen 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Curry 8 AST)65
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q3 - 1:17SASGinobili 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)65
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q3 - 1:33SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q3 - 1:33GSWMISS Ezeli Free Throw 1 of 163
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q3 - 1:53SASMartin 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)63
2.7%
79
97.3%
Q3 - 2:00GSWCurry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)60
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q3 - 2:13SASBonner 10' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)60
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q3 - 2:19SASMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q3 - 2:20GSWMISS Green 8' Floating Jump Shot58
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q3 - 2:32GSWEzeli REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q3 - 2:32SASMISS Mills 27' 3PT Jump Shot58
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q3 - 2:54GSWEzeli Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Green 4 AST)58
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q3 - 3:07SASWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)58
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q3 - 3:07SASWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)57
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q3 - 3:21GSWCurry 1' Driving Reverse Layup (20 PTS)56
1.8%
77
98.2%
Q3 - 3:34SASMartin 2' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (West 4 AST)56
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 3:49GSWCurry 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Bogut 3 AST)54
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q3 - 4:13SASMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)54
2.3%
73
97.7%
Q3 - 4:13SASMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)53
2.3%
73
97.7%
Q3 - 4:29GSWBogut Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Curry 7 AST)52
2.0%
73
98.0%
Q3 - 4:51SASLeonard 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Aldridge 2 AST)52
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q3 - 5:11GSWGreen Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T13)50
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q3 - 5:16GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)50
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q3 - 5:16SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot50
2.0%
71
98.0%
Q3 - 5:38GSWBogut Foul Turnover (P1.T12)50
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q3 - 5:55SASLeonard 11' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)50
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q3 - 6:23GSWBarnes 16' Step Back Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Thompson 5 AST)48
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q3 - 6:35GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)48
2.1%
69
97.9%
Q3 - 6:35SASMISS Aldridge 10' Jump Shot48
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 6:49SASMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
2.5%
69
97.5%
Q3 - 6:49GSWMISS Curry 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
2.4%
69
97.6%
Q3 - 6:56GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
2.1%
69
97.9%
Q3 - 6:58SASBogut BLOCK (2 BLK)48
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 7:13GSWBogut Reverse Dunk (4 PTS) (Curry 6 AST)48
2.8%
69
97.2%
Q3 - 7:22GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)48
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q3 - 7:23SASMISS Duncan 9' Hook Shot48
3.3%
67
96.7%
Q3 - 7:39GSWCurry 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)48
3.7%
67
96.3%
Q3 - 7:48SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)48
4.9%
64
95.1%
Q3 - 7:48SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 247
4.8%
64
95.2%
Q3 - 8:05GSWCurry 17' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)47
5.3%
64
94.7%
Q3 - 8:20SASAldridge 2' Layup (8 PTS)47
6.0%
62
94.0%
Q3 - 8:21SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
5.3%
62
94.7%
Q3 - 8:23SASMISS Aldridge 2' Tip Layup Shot45
4.7%
62
95.3%
Q3 - 8:24SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
5.3%
62
94.7%
Q3 - 8:25SASMISS Green 1' Layup45
4.7%
62
95.3%
Q3 - 8:29GSWCurry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)45
5.3%
62
94.7%
Q3 - 8:36GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
4.5%
62
95.5%
Q3 - 8:37SASMISS Green 27' 3PT Jump Shot45
4.7%
62
95.3%
Q3 - 9:05GSWCurry 1' Running Reverse Layup (11 PTS)45
5.6%
62
94.4%
Q3 - 9:12GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)45
6.4%
60
93.6%
Q3 - 9:12SASMISS Aldridge 18' Jump Shot45
6.6%
60
93.4%
Q3 - 9:27GSWGreen Driving Dunk (11 PTS) (Curry 5 AST)45
7.3%
60
92.7%
Q3 - 9:33GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
8.3%
58
91.7%
Q3 - 9:34SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup45
8.6%
58
91.4%
Q3 - 9:55GSWGreen Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T10)45
9.5%
58
90.5%
Q3 - 9:58GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
8.3%
58
91.7%
Q3 - 9:59SASMISS Leonard 16' Jump Shot45
8.6%
58
91.4%
Q3 - 10:09GSWGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)45
9.9%
58
90.1%
Q3 - 10:09GSWGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)45
10.2%
57
89.8%
Q3 - 10:20SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)45
11.1%
56
88.9%
Q3 - 10:20SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 244
10.9%
56
89.1%
Q3 - 10:34GSWCurry 13' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)44
11.2%
56
88.8%
Q3 - 10:43SASParker 16' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)44
12.6%
54
87.4%
Q3 - 11:05GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)42
11.7%
54
88.3%
Q3 - 11:05GSWBogut 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)42
11.7%
54
88.3%
Q3 - 11:05GSWMISS Thompson 14' Jump Shot42
14.3%
52
85.7%
Q3 - 11:20SASAldridge 12' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)42
13.1%
52
86.9%
Q3 - 11:43SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
11.7%
52
88.3%
Q3 - 11:44GSWMISS Curry 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
11.2%
52
88.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS40
10.2%
52
89.8%
Q2 - 0:10.0GSWBarnes 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Green 3 AST)40
12.2%
52
87.8%
Q2 - 0:30.0GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
15.7%
49
84.3%
Q2 - 0:31.0SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot40
16.1%
49
83.9%
Q2 - 0:50.0GSWBarnes 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Thompson 4 AST)40
16.9%
49
83.1%
Q2 - 0:59.0SASLeonard 5' Hook Shot (14 PTS)40
21.5%
46
78.5%
Q2 - 1:03SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
19.2%
46
80.8%
Q2 - 1:03SASMISS Leonard 11' Jump Shot38
18.5%
46
81.5%
Q2 - 1:15GSWGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)38
19.2%
46
80.8%
Q2 - 1:31SASGreen 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)38
18.2%
46
81.8%
Q2 - 1:44GSWCurry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)35
14.0%
46
86.0%
Q2 - 1:54SASGreen 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)35
13.2%
46
86.8%
Q2 - 2:02GSWThompson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)32
10.7%
46
89.3%
Q2 - 2:07SASThompson STEAL (1 STL)32
9.6%
46
90.4%
Q2 - 2:30GSWBarnes 21' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)32
10.6%
46
89.4%
Q2 - 2:50SASParker 13' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
11.9%
44
88.1%
Q2 - 2:57SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
10.6%
44
89.4%
Q2 - 2:58GSWMISS Livingston 8' Turnaround Jump Shot30
10.3%
44
89.7%
Q2 - 3:13GSWWARRIORS Rebound30
10.0%
44
90.0%
Q2 - 3:13SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 2 of 230
10.1%
44
89.9%
Q2 - 3:13SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)30
10.9%
44
89.1%
Q2 - 3:33GSWThompson 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)29
10.1%
44
89.9%
Q2 - 3:38GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
12.3%
41
87.7%
Q2 - 3:41GSWMISS Thompson 2' Reverse Layup29
13.3%
41
86.7%
Q2 - 4:01GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)29
12.9%
41
87.1%
Q2 - 4:02SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
13.3%
41
86.7%
Q2 - 4:21GSWCurry 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Livingston 4 AST)29
14.2%
41
85.8%
Q2 - 4:28GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
17.2%
38
82.8%
Q2 - 4:29SASMISS Aldridge 14' Jump Shot29
17.7%
38
82.3%
Q2 - 4:42SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
18.9%
38
81.1%
Q2 - 4:43GSWMISS Thompson 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot29
18.4%
38
81.6%
Q2 - 5:06SASParker 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)29
17.5%
38
82.5%
Q2 - 5:24SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
16.0%
38
84.0%
Q2 - 5:26GSWMISS Thompson 14' Jump Shot27
15.6%
38
84.4%
Q2 - 5:43SASLeonard Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T7)27
14.5%
38
85.5%
Q2 - 6:04GSWSpeights 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)27
16.7%
38
83.3%
Q2 - 6:21GSWLivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
14.9%
38
85.1%
Q2 - 6:21SASMISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot27
15.4%
38
84.6%
Q2 - 6:44SASSpurs Rebound27
16.7%
38
83.3%
Q2 - 6:45GSWMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
16.1%
38
83.9%
Q2 - 6:57SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)27
14.8%
38
85.2%
Q2 - 7:18GSWSpeights 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thompson 3 AST)24
13.0%
38
87.0%
Q2 - 7:34SASLeonard 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)24
14.1%
36
85.9%
Q2 - 7:57GSWGreen 2' Cutting Layup Shot (7 PTS) (Livingston 3 AST)21
11.9%
36
88.1%
Q2 - 8:03GSWRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
13.3%
34
86.7%
Q2 - 8:04SASMISS Mills 19' Fadeaway Jumper21
13.6%
34
86.4%
Q2 - 8:17GSWGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Livingston 2 AST)21
14.5%
34
85.5%
Q2 - 8:26SASLeonard 3' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (West 3 AST)21
17.2%
31
82.8%
Q2 - 8:41GSWThompson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)19
15.8%
31
84.2%
Q2 - 8:41GSWThompson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)19
16.0%
30
84.0%
Q2 - 8:51SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)19
17.2%
29
82.8%
Q2 - 8:51SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 218
17.0%
29
83.0%
Q2 - 9:02SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
17.5%
29
82.5%
Q2 - 9:02GSWMISS Livingston 12' Fadeaway Jumper18
17.0%
29
83.0%
Q2 - 9:18SASAnderson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)18
15.9%
29
84.1%
Q2 - 9:38GSWGreen Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Thompson 2 AST)15
13.6%
29
86.4%
Q2 - 9:45GSWSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
14.6%
27
85.4%
Q2 - 9:46SASMISS Ginobili 15' Jump Shot15
15.1%
27
84.9%
Q2 - 10:02GSWThompson 11' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Livingston 1 AST)15
16.4%
27
83.6%
Q2 - 10:11GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
17.5%
25
82.5%
Q2 - 10:11SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
18.0%
25
82.0%
Q2 - 10:39SASSpurs Rebound15
19.3%
25
80.7%
Q2 - 10:39GSWMISS Green 3' Layup15
18.7%
25
81.3%
Q2 - 10:47GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
17.5%
25
82.5%
Q2 - 10:48SASMISS Mills 21' Jump Shot15
18.0%
25
82.0%
Q2 - 11:01GSWLivingston Dunk (2 PTS) (Green 2 AST)15
19.3%
25
80.7%
Q2 - 11:12GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
20.8%
23
79.2%
Q2 - 11:13SASMISS West 8' Jump Bank Shot15
21.3%
23
78.7%
Q2 - 11:35GSWRush 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 1 AST)15
22.5%
23
77.5%
Q2 - 11:38GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
26.0%
20
74.0%
Q2 - 11:39SASMISS Leonard 2' Reverse Layup15
26.6%
20
73.4%
Q2 - 11:49SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
28.0%
20
72.0%
Q2 - 11:50GSWMISS Green 1' Driving Layup15
27.4%
20
72.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSW15
26.0%
20
74.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSWWARRIORS Rebound15
26.0%
20
74.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSWMISS Curry 69' 3PT Jump Shot15
27.4%
20
72.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSWWARRIORS Rebound15
26.0%
20
74.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASMISS Mills 27' 3PT Jump Shot15
26.8%
20
73.2%
Q1 - 0:13.0GSWCurry 3' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)15
27.7%
20
72.3%
Q1 - 0:32.0GSWEzeli REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
30.2%
18
69.8%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASMISS Green 27' 3PT Jump Shot15
30.6%
18
69.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0GSWIguodala Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)15
31.7%
18
68.3%
Q1 - 0:50.0GSWIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
30.2%
18
69.8%
Q1 - 0:50.0SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup15
30.6%
18
69.4%
Q1 - 1:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
31.8%
18
68.2%
Q1 - 1:03GSWMISS Ezeli 2' Tip Layup Shot15
31.3%
18
68.7%
Q1 - 1:04GSWEzeli REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
30.3%
18
69.7%
Q1 - 1:04GSWMISS Barbosa 4' Jump Bank Shot15
31.3%
18
68.7%
Q1 - 1:05GSWBarbosa REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
30.3%
18
69.7%
Q1 - 1:06GSWMISS Barbosa 8' Floating Jump Shot15
31.3%
18
68.7%
Q1 - 1:13GSWWARRIORS Rebound15
30.3%
18
69.7%
Q1 - 1:13GSWMISS Curry 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup15
31.3%
18
68.7%
Q1 - 1:21SASIguodala STEAL (2 STL)15
30.3%
18
69.7%
Q1 - 1:44GSWBarbosa 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Curry 4 AST)15
31.7%
18
68.3%
Q1 - 2:03SASDuncan 1' Layup (4 PTS) (West 1 AST)15
36.3%
15
63.7%
Q1 - 2:09SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
34.1%
15
65.9%
Q1 - 2:10GSWMISS Ezeli 1' Layup13
33.5%
15
66.5%
Q1 - 2:23SASGinobili Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)13
32.2%
15
67.8%
Q1 - 2:35SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
34.0%
15
66.0%
Q1 - 2:35GSWMISS Curry 14' Jump Bank Shot13
33.5%
15
66.5%
Q1 - 2:38GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
32.2%
15
67.8%
Q1 - 2:39SASMISS Ginobili 27' 3PT Jump Shot13
32.8%
15
67.2%
Q1 - 2:52SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
34.0%
15
66.0%
Q1 - 2:52GSWMISS Ezeli 6' Hook Shot13
33.5%
15
66.5%
Q1 - 3:17GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
32.0%
15
68.0%
Q1 - 3:18SASBogut BLOCK (1 BLK)13
32.7%
15
67.3%
Q1 - 3:38GSWCurry 1' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)13
34.2%
15
65.8%
Q1 - 3:49SASGreen 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)13
36.0%
13
64.0%
Q1 - 3:57SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
32.2%
13
67.8%
Q1 - 3:57GSWMISS Curry 18' Jump Shot10
31.6%
13
68.4%
Q1 - 4:07GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
30.0%
13
70.0%
Q1 - 4:07SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot10
30.7%
13
69.3%
Q1 - 4:29GSWThompson 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)10
32.2%
13
67.8%
Q1 - 4:30GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
33.8%
11
66.2%
Q1 - 4:31GSWMISS Thompson Dunk10
35.4%
11
64.6%
Q1 - 4:38SASBogut STEAL (1 STL)10
33.8%
11
66.2%
Q1 - 4:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
36.1%
11
63.9%
Q1 - 4:51GSWMISS Barnes 8' Turnaround Bank Shot10
35.4%
11
64.6%
Q1 - 5:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
33.8%
11
66.2%
Q1 - 5:08SASDuncan 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)10
33.8%
11
66.2%
Q1 - 5:10SASMISS Aldridge 2' Layup8
30.8%
11
69.2%
Q1 - 5:30GSWBarnes 3' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Thompson 1 AST)8
32.1%
11
67.9%
Q1 - 5:47SASAldridge 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)8
33.8%
9
66.2%
Q1 - 6:00GSWBarnes Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)6
32.1%
9
67.9%
Q1 - 6:12GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
30.3%
9
69.7%
Q1 - 6:13SASMISS Aldridge 8' Jump Shot6
30.9%
9
69.1%
Q1 - 6:35GSWIguodala 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)6
32.1%
9
67.9%
Q1 - 6:53GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
33.8%
7
66.2%
Q1 - 6:53SASMISS Parker 2' Finger Roll Layup6
34.3%
7
65.7%
Q1 - 7:14GSWBarnes Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Curry 3 AST)6
35.7%
7
64.3%
Q1 - 7:21SASIguodala STEAL (1 STL)6
37.1%
5
62.9%
Q1 - 7:47GSWBarnes Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T3)6
39.3%
5
60.7%
Q1 - 7:53SASCurry STEAL (1 STL)6
37.1%
5
62.9%
Q1 - 8:07SASMISS Leonard Free Throw Technical6
39.2%
5
60.8%
Q1 - 8:07SASSpurs Rebound6
39.2%
5
60.8%
Q1 - 8:07GSWMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
38.6%
5
61.4%
Q1 - 8:23SASLeonard 3' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)6
37.2%
5
62.8%
Q1 - 8:39GSWWARRIORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)4
35.6%
5
64.4%
Q1 - 8:39GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
33.7%
5
66.3%
Q1 - 8:40GSWMISS Barnes 28' 3PT Jump Shot4
35.0%
5
65.0%
Q1 - 9:04SASDuncan Backcourt Turnover (P1.T1)4
33.5%
5
66.5%
Q1 - 9:24SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
35.6%
5
64.4%
Q1 - 9:25GSWMISS Green 16' Step Back Jump Shot4
34.9%
5
65.1%
Q1 - 9:36GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
33.5%
5
66.5%
Q1 - 9:36SASMISS Aldridge 18' Fadeaway Jumper4
34.2%
5
65.8%
Q1 - 10:06GSWBarnes 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Curry 2 AST)4
35.5%
5
64.5%
Q1 - 10:12SASAldridge 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
37.0%
3
63.0%
Q1 - 10:32SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
35.5%
3
64.5%
Q1 - 10:33GSWMISS Curry 19' Turnaround Jump Shot2
34.9%
3
65.1%
Q1 - 10:47GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
33.6%
3
66.4%
Q1 - 10:48SASMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
34.2%
3
65.8%
Q1 - 11:02GSWThompson 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)2
35.1%
3
64.9%
Q1 - 11:25SASParker 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)2
38.6%
0
61.4%
Q1 - 11:44GSWGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
36.8%
0
63.2%
Q1 - 11:48GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.3%
0
64.7%
Q1 - 11:48SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot0
35.7%
0
64.3%
Q1 - 12:00GSWJump Ball Bogut vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker0
36.8%
0
63.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.12 56.1%
GSW
1.22 60.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
17
26
65%
GSW
23
33
70%
Midrange
SAS
15
38
39%
GSW
10
25
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
GSW
12
18.0
25
48%
72%
Free Throws
SAS
16
23
70%
GSW
10
11
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2377%11.5 / 15
L. Aldridge1134%5.5 / 16
D. West1179%5.5 / 7
T. Parker1042%5.0 / 12
K. Martin1083%5.0 / 6
D. Green964%4.5 / 7
K. Anderson880%4.0 / 5
P. Mills744%3.5 / 8
M. Ginobili650%3.0 / 6
T. Duncan433%2.0 / 6
M. Bonner2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Curry2768%13.5 / 20
H. Barnes2175%10.5 / 14
D. Green1869%9.0 / 13
K. Thompson1450%7.0 / 14
A. Bogut6100%3.0 / 3
S. Livingston660%3.0 / 5
M. Speights660%3.0 / 5
A. Iguodala450%2.0 / 4
F. Ezeli440%2.0 / 5
L. Barbosa338%1.5 / 4
B. Rush3150%1.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
85
+5
-12
90
GSW
83
+9
-15
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.12 56.1%
GSW
1.22 60.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.2
114.4
SAS 104.1
GSW 114.3 +10.2
Pace
94.0
99.5
SAS 88.1
GSW 109.0 +20.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.1
SAS 16.3
GSW 13.2 +3.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
56.3%
SAS 53.1%
GSW 61.4% +8.3%
TO %
13.3%
14.8%
SAS 11.8% +3.6%
GSW 15.4%
ORB %
22.9%
23.5%
SAS 12.2%
GSW 20.6% +8.4%
FTrt
24.6
25.0
SAS 28.8 +15.5
GSW 13.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.1%
68.0%
SAS 71.8%
GSW 73.3% +1.5%
STL %
8.8%
8.4%
SAS 10.3% +2.1%
GSW 8.2%
BLK %
9.6%
9.2%
SAS 3.4% +0.3%
GSW 3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.17 and 3.17.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
58.0%
SAS 56.1%
GSW 60.9% +4.8%
Rim FG%
62.8%
60.9%
SAS 65.4%
GSW 69.7% +4.3%
Mid FG%
43.2%
42.8%
SAS 39.5%
GSW 40.0% +0.5%
3P %
37.5%
41.6%
SAS 43.8%
GSW 48.0% +4.2%
FT %
80.3%
76.3%
SAS 69.6%
GSW 90.9% +21.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.7%
35.2%
SAS 32.5%
GSW 39.8% +7.3%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
28.6%
SAS 47.5%
GSW 30.1% +17.4%
3P Att. %
22.3%
36.2%
SAS 20.0%
GSW 30.1% +10.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.54 and 3.54.
Game TotalsSASGSW
Possessions9798
Possession Minutes26.421.6
Points101112
Rebounds3243
Assists2833
Steals108
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (0)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (3)36 (2)
Field Goals39-8045-83
At-the-Rim FG17-2623-33
Midrange FG15-3810-25
2-Point FG32-6433-58
3-Point FG7-1612-25
Free Throws16-2310-11
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 225 · 25
34.8
23
77%
3
2
1
0
2
0
1
2
5-8
63%
6-9
67%
2-3
67%
F · 6'11" 260 · 31
29.3
11
34%
3
2
2
0
2
2
2
1
1-1
100%
5-16
31%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 29
28.6
9
64%
5
1
4
2
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-6
50%
G · 6'2" 185 · 34
27.4
10
42%
2
3
0
0
2
1
0
2
2-4
50%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 250 · 40
19.2
4
33%
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 36
23.6
11
79%
0
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 230 · 23
19.8
8
80%
11
3
0
0
0
2
0
11
2-3
67%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 39
19.6
6
50%
1
2
0
0
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 185 · 28
17.6
7
44%
0
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'7" 199 · 33
14.8
10
83%
4
4
1
0
0
0
0
4
3-3
100%
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 36
5.5
2
100%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 195 · 27
G · 6'3" 200 · 40
#33 · C-F · 6'8" 250 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · C · 7'3" 290 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
56%
32
28
10
2
12
0
5
27
16-23
70%
32-64
50%
7-16
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.