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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 11, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Hawks33%10294
3Cavaliers67%108109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.9
33.0
31.4
20
57%
11
2
1
1
1
1
2
9
0-1
0%
10-13
5-9
77%
54%
0-4
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 35.1
32.1
28.5
3
30%
5
1
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
1-4
25%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 27.8
31.1
28.4
21
71%
0
9
1
1
0
6
0
0
2-4
50%
8-11
4-9
73%
46%
1-2
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 31.2
30.9
34.6
9
28%
8
3
0
2
3
2
6
2
3-5
60%
3-11
5-10
27%
50%
0-3
0%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 26.8
26.5
22.6
23
72%
6
1
3
1
1
3
0
6
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
50%
5-8
63%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 24.1
17.0
16.8
8
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
48%
0-3
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.6
16.9
18.5
4
24%
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-1
0%
2-4
3-7
50%
46%
0-4
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.9
15.2
25.5
0
0%
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
53%
0-1
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 27.7
11.8
15.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.2
11.4
8.8
3
39%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.8
8.8
5.0
3
50%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
55%
1-1
100%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.3
5.1
4.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-0
-
Edy Tavares
C · 7'3" 265 · 24.1
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 31.3
Lamar Patterson
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 24.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.1
40.2
32.6
35
60%
4
5
2
1
1
6
2
2
3-3
100%
10-20
6-11
50%
49%
4-8
50%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.1
36.1
26.3
9
50%
10
1
3
0
1
0
2
8
5-7
71%
2-6
3-5
33%
56%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.3
32.4
33.6
34
93%
6
6
2
1
1
4
1
5
5-5
100%
10-12
8-14
83%
55%
3-4
75%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.6
32.3
30.2
2
20%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Kevin Love
F-C · 6'8" 251 · 27.6
29.5
28.5
10
51%
14
1
2
1
0
1
1
13
4-4
100%
0-3
3-7
0%
48%
2-5
40%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.8
23.6
14.8
2
25%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.6
20.4
22.5
10
59%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
40%
1-3
33%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 32.9
15.5
16.7
5
50%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
1-4
25%
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.0
7.0
3.8
2
33%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
45%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.5
1.6
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.9
1.6
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.8
16.6
1
1-2
45%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.7
13.4
0
2-3
55%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.