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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 11, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Bucks38%10198
20Magic62%105107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 21.3
36.9
33.0
11
70%
9
3
1
1
3
5
2
7
0-2
0%
4-5
6-11
80%
52%
1-2
50%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.1
36.5
30.5
17
48%
3
1
0
1
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
8-15
6-11
53%
51%
0-2
0%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.7
35.4
24.6
17
64%
5
7
2
1
0
6
0
5
5-5
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 19.7
28.2
27.7
3
22%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-4
50%
40%
0-4
0%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 25.9
27.0
16.2
23
65%
7
2
3
1
1
2
4
3
5-6
83%
9-15
3-6
60%
51%
0-0
-
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 21.6
23.6
31.7
10
83%
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
5-6
3-7
83%
46%
0-0
-
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.6
21.0
22.2
4
50%
13
0
0
1
2
0
4
9
0-0
-
2-4
4-6
50%
56%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 29.2
16.8
12.6
8
57%
3
3
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
2-5
40%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 25.3
14.6
18.4
5
43%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
56%
0-0
-
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 22.9
17.5
0
2-5
44%
Damien Inglis
F · 6'8" 246 · 20.9
7.7
0
1-1
47%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.6
7.7
0
0-1
44%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 32.8
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 24.5
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 21.1
39.1
25.0
19
80%
3
7
5
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
52%
3-6
50%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.4
37.6
33.5
13
47%
5
4
1
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
52%
1-6
17%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.9
37.0
16.0
22
85%
6
1
1
0
3
0
3
3
0-0
-
8-11
2-4
73%
49%
2-2
100%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 22.1
31.2
28.8
11
44%
3
11
3
1
0
4
0
3
5-10
50%
3-6
4-8
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 26.7
18.9
8.5
17
62%
8
0
3
0
3
0
3
5
5-6
83%
6-11
1-2
55%
56%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.1
29.2
13.3
10
42%
6
1
4
0
4
0
1
5
2-2
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.6
19.3
14.5
9
42%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
2-6
33%
2-5
1-2
40%
47%
1-3
33%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.0
16.8
18.9
6
75%
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
45%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.3
11.0
17.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
53%
0-3
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.5
29.3
1
8-16
53%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.9
20.8
1
3-7
50%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.5
8.0
0
1-1
44%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.7
7.8
0
1-1
42%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.