for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 11, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Wizards63%108120
29Nets37%103111
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 28.9
31.6
15.4
19
58%
8
2
2
1
0
2
3
5
3-3
100%
5-9
2-3
56%
47%
2-6
33%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.0
28.8
29.6
21
80%
3
12
2
1
0
5
0
3
7-7
100%
7-9
4-9
78%
49%
0-1
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.1
23.9
27.6
11
70%
7
1
0
1
0
2
1
6
1-2
50%
5-7
5-9
71%
57%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 30.8
22.1
19.9
8
67%
6
5
1
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
53%
0-1
0%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 22.9
18.5
26.6
10
85%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
3-5
50%
54%
2-3
67%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.3
28.6
11.5
14
64%
6
0
1
0
0
1
0
6
1-2
50%
5-7
1-2
71%
51%
1-3
33%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.6
24.1
4.0
15
59%
6
2
0
0
1
2
2
4
3-6
50%
6-10
1-1
60%
52%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 29.9
23.9
19.7
11
94%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
3-3
100%
Jarell Eddie
G-F · 6'7" 218 · 24.4
20.7
3.0
7
27%
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-7
0-0
29%
47%
1-6
17%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.5
17.8
14.7
4
25%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
51%
0-2
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.6
18.4
1
3-7
53%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.5
4.7
0
0-1
45%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 22.8
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 26.6
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.5
31.5
29.6
20
72%
6
7
0
2
0
5
2
4
0-2
0%
7-9
3-7
78%
47%
2-4
50%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.0
30.3
23.0
20
74%
5
1
1
0
0
2
1
4
1-1
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
49%
3-6
50%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 26.0
29.9
18.6
8
37%
8
1
1
1
2
1
2
6
4-4
100%
2-9
3-6
22%
48%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.4
23.9
23.7
5
23%
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
1-7
14%
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.2
23.6
18.2
12
54%
5
0
1
1
2
1
4
1
1-5
20%
4-7
2-4
57%
46%
1-2
50%
Sean Kilpatrick
G · 6'4" 212 · 26.3
30.4
25.9
17
49%
5
3
2
1
1
0
0
5
3-5
60%
4-8
3-7
50%
50%
2-7
29%
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.2
28.7
26.1
6
27%
4
4
0
1
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
46%
0-3
0%
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 21.3
23.2
14.0
14
60%
6
2
2
1
3
0
2
4
4-4
100%
5-10
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.2
18.6
24.5
9
64%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
1-2
50%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 25.1
19.9
1
3-7
47%
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 22.5
11.3
0
1-1
50%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 28.0
11.0
0
3-5
52%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.8
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.5
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.