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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 11, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Rockets52%109129
23Timberwolves48%108105
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.7
35
30
11
5
4
1
1
2
0
1
4
4-6
67%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
1-3
33%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 26.6
32
40
34
1
6
0
2
0
3
0
1
5-7
71%
7-14
6-12
50%
50%
5-7
71%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 30.8
29
36
21
4
2
1
2
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
49%
3-4
75%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.3
27
30
19
8
3
1
1
1
4
2
6
3-4
75%
8-11
4-7
73%
60%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25.6
19
16
7
4
3
2
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
53%
1-2
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 30.3
23
15
11
3
3
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
2-3
-
46%
3-6
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 38.6
23
19
6
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
2-5
40%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 21.9
16
16
10
10
0
1
1
1
1
2
8
0-1
0%
5-8
3-5
63%
57%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 30.1
15
13
2
1
4
2
1
1
2
0
1
0-1
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.3
5
14
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
1-1
3-7
100%
50%
0-0
-
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.2
5
7
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 24.3
5
5
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
5
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 22.2
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · 7'0" 248 · 20.4
27
33
12
5
1
1
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
6-12
8-14
50%
57%
0-3
0%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.1
27
28
21
2
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
50%
3-7
43%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 21.1
27
32
12
1
3
1
1
0
4
0
1
6-6
100%
3-7
6-12
43%
50%
0-0
-
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 26.2
25
24
13
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
5-6
83%
4-8
4-7
50%
54%
0-0
-
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.5
22
28
4
2
5
2
2
1
0
0
2
0-2
0%
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.9
29
24
11
14
1
0
1
0
2
4
10
4-4
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
56%
1-3
33%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 19.9
26
18
2
3
5
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 23.4
22
20
23
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
4-7
57%
8-10
4-7
80%
52%
1-3
33%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 36.1
13
17
0
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 25.1
9
6
7
4
0
3
0
0
1
2
2
3-6
50%
2-5
1-1
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Damjan Rudez
F · 6'10" 228 · 29.8
7
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
56%
0-1
0%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 25.3
5
4
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
59%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 39.9
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 30.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.