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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 7, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Pacers42%104100
12Hornets58%107122
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.5
33
32
10
7
6
2
2
0
5
2
5
1-1
100%
3-6
4-9
50%
45%
1-6
17%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 20.6
21
26
12
5
0
0
1
2
1
0
5
2-2
100%
5-6
5-9
83%
51%
0-2
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 28.4
19
29
9
1
6
0
1
1
4
1
0
2-2
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
45%
1-3
33%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.0
17
32
7
0
0
0
2
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.4
16
26
0
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-4
4-8
0%
50%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.6
25
22
23
4
0
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
47%
5-11
45%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 27.8
22
17
4
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 31.8
21
16
4
2
7
1
0
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
0-3
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 31.8
19
16
12
10
1
1
0
0
0
4
6
0-1
0%
6-12
4-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.4
16
5
9
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
4-8
1-1
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.8
13
8
8
2
0
2
0
0
0
1
1
1-3
33%
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
1-4
25%
Georges Niang
F · 6'6" 231 · 23.4
9
4
0
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 26.9
8
5
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-0
-
Rakeem Christmas
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.9
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 27.9
30
33
9
6
4
3
1
0
1
0
6
4-4
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
1-2
50%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 26.5
25
32
24
2
10
2
1
1
1
0
2
5-6
83%
2-5
5-11
40%
46%
5-6
83%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 24.1
23
23
13
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
3-3
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
51%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 30.4
19
29
12
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-3
67%
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
2-5
40%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 23.1
19
31
13
1
1
1
1
2
0
0
1
5-5
100%
4-4
4-8
100%
49%
0-0
-
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 23.6
30
21
11
2
2
0
1
1
4
0
2
1-2
50%
5-8
2-4
63%
47%
0-6
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.6
27
21
12
3
4
3
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
2-4
50%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 28.5
22
21
13
13
1
2
0
0
1
2
11
0-0
-
5-8
2-5
63%
46%
1-3
33%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.6
21
20
10
1
7
1
1
0
2
0
1
4-5
80%
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
0-2
0%
Treveon Graham
G-F · 6'5" 219 · 23.0
14
1
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
1-2
50%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 30.9
4
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 21.1
3
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Aaron Harrison
G · 6'6" 210 · 22.0
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.4
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.