Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, November 7, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Hornets | 59% | 107 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Heat | 40% | 102 | 85 |
 | 11 | Thunder | 60% | 105 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Magic | 38% | 102 | 80 |
 | 13 | Bulls | 62% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Pelicans | 11% | 104 | 106 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Pistons | 25% | 99 | 82 |
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Sunday, November 6, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Raptors | 75% | 108 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Bucks | 35% | 103 | 75 |
 | 18 | Mavericks | 65% | 108 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 12 | Celtics | 68% | 114 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Lakers | 52% | 112 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 56% | 102 | 114 |
 | 19 | Knicks | 44% | 100 | 109 |
Saturday, November 5, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Timberwolves | 39% | 105 | 92 |
| 14 | Thunder | 61% | 109 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 40% | 107 | 94 |
| 13 | Pacers | 60% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nuggets | 41% | 106 | 86 |
| 16 | Pistons | 59% | 109 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 36% | 102 | 86 |
| 20 | Magic | 64% | 107 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 30 | 76ers | 18% | 103 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 46% | 106 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 43% | 104 | 91 |
| 23 | Bucks | 57% | 106 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 36% | 100 | 116 |
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Friday, November 4, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hawks | 49% | 103 | 92 |
| 15 | Wizards | 51% | 104 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Heat | 34% | 100 | 87 |
| 6 | Raptors | 66% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hornets | 66% | 110 | 99 |
 | 29 | Nets | 34% | 105 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 42% | 108 | 112 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 58% | 111 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 31% | 105 | 117 |
| 9 | Bulls | 69% | 112 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 66% | 107 | 99 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 34% | 101 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 110 | 105 |
| 16 | Mavericks | 53% | 111 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 62% | 98 | 100 |
| 7 | Jazz | 38% | 94 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 84% | 120 | 97 |
| 28 | Lakers | 16% | 107 | 117 |
Thursday, November 3, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 42% | 102 | 94 |
| 19 | Magic | 58% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | 18% | 103 | 122 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 82% | 116 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nuggets | 48% | 108 | 102 |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 52% | 109 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 56% | 109 | 107 |
| 27 | Bucks | 44% | 107 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thunder | 11% | 105 | 96 |
| 1 | Warriors | 89% | 122 | 122 |
Wednesday, November 2, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 53% | 105 | 113 |
| 18 | Wizards | 47% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 22% | 99 | 93 |
| 12 | Hornets | 78% | 110 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pistons | 58% | 108 | 101 |
| 28 | Nets | 42% | 105 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 48% | 108 | 118 |
| 19 | Knicks | 52% | 109 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Lakers | 19% | 99 | 123 |
| 7 | Hawks | 81% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 43% | 106 | 83 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 57% | 108 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bulls | 44% | 106 | 100 |
| 11 | Celtics | 56% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mavericks | 43% | 100 | 81 |
| 8 | Jazz | 57% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 52% | 113 | 115 |
| 27 | Suns | 48% | 112 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 30% | 108 | 85 |
| 4 | Clippers | 70% | 115 | 83 |
Tuesday, November 1, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 21% | 104 | 120 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 79% | 115 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Lakers | 26% | 104 | 108 |
| 16 | Pacers | 74% | 113 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 55% | 107 | 103 |
| 29 | 76ers | 45% | 105 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 39% | 102 | 89 |
| 18 | Pistons | 61% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 38% | 99 | 96 |
| 20 | Heat | 62% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 40% | 107 | 117 |
| 24 | Pelicans | 60% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 49% | 102 | 80 |
| 25 | Timberwolves | 51% | 103 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jazz | 23% | 93 | 106 |
| 3 | Spurs | 77% | 103 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 74% | 118 | 127 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 26% | 110 | 104 |
Monday, October 31, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 37% | 100 | 95 |
| 11 | Hawks | 63% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 61% | 112 | 118 |
| 27 | Nets | 39% | 108 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nuggets | 34% | 110 | 102 |
| 5 | Raptors | 66% | 116 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Suns | 20% | 100 | 98 |
| 4 | Clippers | 80% | 112 | 116 |
Sunday, October 30, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 33% | 103 | 75 |
| 4 | Clippers | 67% | 109 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 86% | 121 | 106 |
| 27 | Suns | 14% | 106 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 62% | 101 | 106 |
| 22 | Heat | 38% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 30% | 102 | 83 |
| 21 | Pistons | 70% | 109 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Lakers | 24% | 104 | 96 |
| 6 | Thunder | 76% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 51% | 107 | 103 |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 49% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 41% | 110 | 92 |
| 7 | Rockets | 59% | 113 | 93 |
Saturday, October 29, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celtics | 47% | 106 | 104 |
| 10 | Hornets | 53% | 107 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Grizzlies | 46% | 105 | 104 |
| 23 | Knicks | 54% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 15% | 102 | 99 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 85% | 116 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 40% | 106 | 101 |
| 14 | Bulls | 60% | 110 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | 13% | 100 | 79 |
| 3 | Spurs | 87% | 116 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 35% | 107 | 108 |
| 26 | Bucks | 65% | 113 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 114 | 115 |
| 16 | Nuggets | 51% | 115 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 46% | 103 | 103 |
| 20 | Kings | 54% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 62% | 106 | 104 |
| 29 | 76ers | 38% | 102 | 72 |
Friday, October 28, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 58% | 113 | 94 |
| 6 | Raptors | 42% | 110 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Magic | 45% | 105 | 82 |
| 24 | Pistons | 55% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 66% | 114 | 94 |
| 28 | Nets | 34% | 108 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 51% | 102 | 97 |
| 22 | Heat | 49% | 101 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 27% | 104 | 110 |
| 5 | Thunder | 73% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 52% | 114 | 106 |
| 17 | Mavericks | 48% | 113 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Lakers | 23% | 99 | 89 |
| 7 | Jazz | 77% | 110 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 83% | 120 | 122 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 17% | 107 | 114 |
Thursday, October 27, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 43% | 100 | 99 |
| 14 | Hawks | 57% | 103 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Celtics | 43% | 107 | 99 |
| 16 | Bulls | 57% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 74% | 109 | 102 |
| 23 | Kings | 26% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 55% | 108 | 114 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 106 | 106 |
Wednesday, October 26, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mavericks | 39% | 102 | 121 |
| 11 | Pacers | 61% | 106 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Heat | 42% | 102 | 108 |
| 16 | Magic | 58% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 36% | 104 | 91 |
| 9 | Raptors | 64% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 22% | 100 | 117 |
| 7 | Celtics | 78% | 111 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Thunder | 67% | 109 | 103 |
| 30 | 76ers | 33% | 103 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nuggets | 47% | 106 | 107 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 53% | 107 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 45% | 106 | 98 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 55% | 108 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 59% | 108 | 107 |
| 27 | Bucks | 41% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 51% | 107 | 113 |
| 26 | Suns | 49% | 106 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 66% | 110 | 114 |
| 29 | Lakers | 34% | 104 | 120 |
Tuesday, October 25, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 17% | 103 | 88 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 83% | 116 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 45% | 105 | 104 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 107 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 21% | 99 | 129 |
| 1 | Warriors | 79% | 111 | 100 |