Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Wizards	53%	104	94	100.0	94	97.3
	26	Magic	47%	103	91	97.8	93	89.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 26	38.7	26	62%	7	10	3	0	4	2	0	7	5-6	83%	9-14	64%	1-4	25%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 23	38.0	14	47%	2	8	1	0	3	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-9	44%	2-6	33%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 33	34.2	12	67%	9	2	0	0	1	2	1	8	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-1	0%
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 23	33.6	19	63%	7	2	0	0	0	4	2	5	0-0	-	5-7	71%	3-8	38%
Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 27	32.3	11	50%	3	2	3	1	2	3	0	3	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	0-3	0%

Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 27	15.9	6	43%	1	1	0	2	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Kelly Oubre Jr. F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21	14.6	0	0%	3	0	1	0	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Jason Smith F-C · 7'0" 240 · 31	13.3	4	50%	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Tomas Satoransky G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25	11.7	0	0%	3	0	1	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Marcus Thornton G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29	7.7	2	25%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Sheldon Mac G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Trey Burke G · 6'1" 191 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Daniel Ochefu F · 6'11" 245 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Danuel House Jr. #4 · F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	49%	37	26	10	4	11	0	7	30	8-10	80%	34-59	58%	6-29	21%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

14 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 26	38.7	26	62%	7	10	3	0	4	2	0	7	5-6	83%	9-14	64%	1-4	25%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 23	38.0	14	47%	2	8	1	0	3	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-9	44%	2-6	33%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 33	34.2	12	67%	9	2	0	0	1	2	1	8	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-1	0%
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 23	33.6	19	63%	7	2	0	0	0	4	2	5	0-0	-	5-7	71%	3-8	38%
Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 27	32.3	11	50%	3	2	3	1	2	3	0	3	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	0-3	0%

Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 27	15.9	6	43%	1	1	0	2	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Kelly Oubre Jr. F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21	14.6	0	0%	3	0	1	0	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Jason Smith F-C · 7'0" 240 · 31	13.3	4	50%	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Tomas Satoransky G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25	11.7	0	0%	3	0	1	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Marcus Thornton G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29	7.7	2	25%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Sheldon Mac G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Trey Burke G · 6'1" 191 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Daniel Ochefu F · 6'11" 245 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Danuel House Jr. #4 · F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	49%	37	26	10	4	11	0	7	30	8-10	80%	34-59	58%	6-29	21%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

26 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Vučević C · 6'9" 265 · 26	35.0	17	53%	17	2	3	3	4	0	5	12	0-0	-	7-14	50%	1-2	50%
Evan Fournier G · 6'7" 205 · 24	32.5	11	46%	2	4	1	0	2	4	2	0	6-6	100%	1-5	20%	1-4	25%
Serge Ibaka F · 6'10" 235 · 27	31.4	19	73%	8	2	1	4	2	3	2	6	1-1	100%	6-9	67%	2-4	50%
Elfrid Payton G · 6'4" 185 · 23	26.2	15	54%	5	5	0	0	2	4	2	3	3-4	75%	6-11	55%	0-1	0%
Jeff Green F · 6'8" 235 · 30	25.5	7	39%	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-3	33%

Bismack Biyombo C · 6'8" 255 · 24	29.5	3	50%	6	0	0	0	1	0	0	6	3-6	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
D.J. Augustin G · 6'0" 183 · 29	26.2	8	44%	0	4	0	0	2	3	0	0	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Aaron Gordon F · 6'8" 235 · 21	24.9	9	41%	7	1	0	0	2	1	3	4	0-2	0%	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Mario Hezonja F-G · 6'8" 218 · 22	8.8	2	50%	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
C.J. Watson G · 6'2" 175 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Damjan Rudez F · 6'10" 228 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Stephen Zimmerman C · 7'0" 240 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
CJ Wilcox G · 6'5" 195 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Arinze Onuaku #21 · F-C · 6'9" 255 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jodie Meeks #20 · G · 6'4" 210 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	50%	49	18	5	7	19	0	14	35	14-20	70%	28-57	49%	7-23	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	ORL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.98 49.0%

ORL

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

22

29

76%

ORL

13

25

52%

Midrange

WAS

12

30

40%

ORL

15

32

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

6

9.0

29

21%

31%

ORL

7

10.5

23

30%

46%

Free Throws

WAS

8

10

80%

ORL

14

20

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Wall	26	62%	13.0 / 21
O. Porter Jr.	19	63%	9.5 / 15
B. Beal	14	47%	7.0 / 15
M. Gortat	12	67%	6.0 / 9
M. Morris	11	50%	5.5 / 11
A. Nicholson	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Smith	4	50%	2.0 / 4
M. Thornton	2	25%	1.0 / 4
K. Oubre	0	-	0.0 / 3
T. Satoransky	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Ibaka	19	73%	9.5 / 13
N. Vučević	17	53%	8.5 / 16
E. Payton	15	54%	7.5 / 14
E. Fournier	11	46%	5.5 / 12
A. Gordon	9	41%	4.5 / 11
D. Augustin	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. Green	7	39%	3.5 / 9
B. Biyombo	3	50%	1.5 / 3
M. Hezonja	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 111.0 28 104.5	WAS 100.0 +2.2 ORL 97.8
Pace	9 97.5 13 96.2	WAS 97.3 +7.4 ORL 89.9
Avg. Poss. Time	25 14.4 19 14.7	WAS 14.8 −1.2 ORL 16.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 52.8% 29 48.9%	WAS 48.9% +0.8% ORL 48.1%
TO %	16 13.7% 9 13.3%	WAS 11.5% −6.1% ORL 17.6%
ORB %	13 24.1% 22 21.6%	WAS 16.7% ORL 31.8% +15.1%
FTrt	25 25.4 27 24.6	WAS 11.4 ORL 25.0 +13.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 57.7% 15 58.0%	WAS 65.0% +13.6% ORL 51.4%
STL %	3 8.6% 25 7.3%	WAS 10.6% +5.2% ORL 5.4%
BLK %	24 7.1% 17 8.0%	WAS 7.0% ORL 11.9% +4.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 55.0% 29 51.2%	WAS 49.0% ORL 50.0% +1.0%
Rim FG%	10 59.5% 24 58.1%	WAS 75.9% +23.9% ORL 52.0%
Mid FG%	2 44.0% 14 40.8%	WAS 40.0% ORL 46.9% +6.9%
3P %	8 37.2% 29 32.8%	WAS 20.7% ORL 30.4% +9.7%
FT %	12 78.5% 25 74.7%	WAS 80.0% +10.0% ORL 70.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 34.8% 25 32.4%	WAS 33.0% +1.7% ORL 31.3%
Mid Att. %	21 36.8% 24 37.7%	WAS 34.1% −5.9% ORL 40.0%
3P Att. %	23 28.4% 17 30.0%	WAS 33.0% +4.2% ORL 28.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	ORL
Possessions	94	93
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	94	91
Rebounds	37	49
Assists	26	18
Steals	10	5
Blocks	4	7
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	19 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (6)	14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (2)	35 (1)
Field Goals	40-88	35-80
At-the-Rim FG	22-29	13-25
Midrange FG	12-30	15-32
2-Point FG	34-59	28-57
3-Point FG	6-29	7-23
Free Throws	8-10	14-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg