Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, November 25, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Celtics | 43% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 26 | Magic | 47% | 103 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Mavericks | 20% | 97 | 90 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Hornets | 51% | 107 | 111 |
 | 20 | Knicks | 49% | 106 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Bulls | 70% | 108 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Pistons | 32% | 99 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Raptors | 63% | 109 | 105 |
 | 25 | Bucks | 37% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Heat | 36% | 94 | 90 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Nets | 33% | 105 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Thunder | 51% | 109 | 132 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Timberwolves | 53% | 108 | 98 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Pelicans | 46% | 110 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 27 | Lakers | 17% | 107 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, November 23, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 68% | 104 | 104 |
| 30 | 76ers | 32% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 64% | 104 | 119 |
| 14 | Hornets | 36% | 99 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 41% | 104 | 92 |
| 26 | Magic | 59% | 107 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 21% | 106 | 125 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 79% | 117 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 48% | 103 | 96 |
| 24 | Pacers | 52% | 104 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 70% | 113 | 111 |
| 29 | Nets | 30% | 106 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 45% | 98 | 84 |
| 21 | Pistons | 55% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 41% | 108 | 115 |
| 5 | Rockets | 59% | 112 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 73% | 104 | 124 |
| 23 | Mavericks | 27% | 96 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nuggets | 33% | 99 | 83 |
| 10 | Jazz | 67% | 105 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | 52% | 107 | 96 |
| 22 | Pelicans | 48% | 106 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 7% | 103 | 106 |
| 1 | Warriors | 93% | 124 | 149 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thunder | 45% | 105 | 101 |
| 17 | Kings | 55% | 107 | 116 |
Tuesday, November 22, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 46% | 110 | 103 |
| 21 | Knicks | 54% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 32% | 101 | 112 |
| 9 | Hawks | 68% | 108 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 56% | 108 | 107 |
| 18 | Nuggets | 44% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 55% | 111 | 109 |
| 26 | Lakers | 45% | 109 | 111 |
Monday, November 21, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 64% | 104 | 94 |
| 30 | 76ers | 36% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 32% | 104 | 101 |
| 14 | Wizards | 68% | 111 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 45% | 101 | 105 |
| 12 | Hornets | 55% | 103 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 85% | 116 | 120 |
| 27 | Pacers | 15% | 101 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 56% | 107 | 99 |
| 19 | Pistons | 44% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 43% | 103 | 89 |
| 22 | Bucks | 57% | 105 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 53% | 107 | 99 |
| 15 | Timberwolves | 47% | 106 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Mavericks | 14% | 89 | 91 |
| 2 | Spurs | 86% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 25% | 102 | 115 |
| 3 | Clippers | 75% | 111 | 123 |
Sunday, November 20, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 114 | 129 |
| 29 | Nets | 44% | 112 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pacers | 30% | 102 | 115 |
| 9 | Thunder | 70% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 56% | 107 | 99 |
| 17 | Kings | 44% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 51% | 104 | 91 |
| 20 | Nuggets | 49% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 55% | 109 | 118 |
| 24 | Lakers | 45% | 107 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 59% | 107 | 94 |
| 21 | Knicks | 41% | 104 | 104 |
Saturday, November 19, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 41% | 102 | 102 |
| 5 | Rockets | 59% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 57% | 107 | 116 |
| 23 | Pelicans | 43% | 104 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 43% | 98 | 114 |
| 15 | Wizards | 57% | 101 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | 42% | 96 | 87 |
| 26 | Magic | 58% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 49% | 103 | 94 |
| 17 | Pistons | 51% | 104 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 47% | 107 | 105 |
| 30 | 76ers | 53% | 108 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | 48% | 103 | 71 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 52% | 104 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 78% | 116 | 124 |
| 22 | Bucks | 22% | 105 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bulls | 27% | 101 | 95 |
| 3 | Clippers | 73% | 109 | 102 |
Friday, November 18, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 45% | 103 | 96 |
| 11 | Hornets | 55% | 105 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 38% | 106 | 116 |
| 24 | Pacers | 62% | 111 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pistons | 27% | 102 | 81 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 73% | 110 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 109 | 101 |
| 27 | Pelicans | 52% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 26% | 106 | 105 |
| 10 | Thunder | 74% | 114 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 71% | 116 | 104 |
| 12 | Celtics | 29% | 108 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grizzlies | 49% | 99 | 80 |
| 20 | Mavericks | 51% | 100 | 64 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 59% | 110 | 113 |
| 22 | Nuggets | 41% | 107 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 76% | 109 | 116 |
| 26 | Lakers | 24% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 70% | 108 | 121 |
| 17 | Kings | 30% | 101 | 115 |
Thursday, November 17, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Knicks | 40% | 103 | 112 |
| 15 | Wizards | 60% | 107 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 39% | 99 | 73 |
| 21 | Heat | 61% | 103 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 36% | 109 | 109 |
| 5 | Rockets | 64% | 114 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 22% | 101 | 86 |
| 11 | Timberwolves | 78% | 112 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bulls | 43% | 100 | 85 |
| 8 | Jazz | 57% | 102 | 77 |
Wednesday, November 16, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 63% | 105 | 102 |
| 30 | 76ers | 37% | 101 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pelicans | 45% | 104 | 82 |
| 25 | Magic | 55% | 106 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 61% | 110 | 93 |
| 14 | Pacers | 39% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 37% | 101 | 83 |
| 13 | Celtics | 63% | 106 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pistons | 49% | 103 | 102 |
| 20 | Knicks | 51% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 33% | 101 | 100 |
| 7 | Hawks | 67% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 49% | 109 | 103 |
| 12 | Thunder | 51% | 110 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 69% | 114 | 127 |
| 5 | Raptors | 31% | 108 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 42% | 109 | 104 |
| 24 | Nuggets | 58% | 112 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Grizzlies | 21% | 98 | 111 |
| 4 | Clippers | 79% | 110 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 72% | 105 | 110 |
| 18 | Kings | 28% | 96 | 105 |
Tuesday, November 15, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 29% | 104 | 117 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 71% | 112 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hawks | 62% | 101 | 93 |
| 22 | Heat | 38% | 97 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 43% | 105 | 115 |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 57% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 49% | 110 | 113 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 111 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 34% | 108 | 118 |
| 27 | Lakers | 66% | 114 | 125 |
Monday, November 14, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 33% | 102 | 69 |
| 15 | Pacers | 67% | 108 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Mavericks | 46% | 103 | 77 |
| 20 | Knicks | 54% | 104 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 48% | 104 | 88 |
| 21 | Pistons | 52% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celtics | 56% | 109 | 105 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 44% | 107 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 21% | 102 | 88 |
| 5 | Rockets | 79% | 114 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Heat | 16% | 90 | 90 |
| 2 | Spurs | 84% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Grizzlies | 34% | 96 | 102 |
| 8 | Jazz | 66% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 13% | 101 | 95 |
| 4 | Clippers | 87% | 117 | 127 |
Sunday, November 13, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 22% | 104 | 93 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 78% | 115 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 27% | 101 | 119 |
| 9 | Thunder | 73% | 109 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 33% | 106 | 99 |
| 11 | Timberwolves | 67% | 112 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 6% | 103 | 120 |
| 1 | Warriors | 94% | 124 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nuggets | 35% | 109 | 105 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 65% | 114 | 112 |
Saturday, November 12, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 39% | 107 | 126 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 61% | 111 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Celtics | 52% | 108 | 105 |
| 24 | Pacers | 48% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 26% | 100 | 107 |
| 7 | Raptors | 74% | 109 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 20% | 98 | 96 |
| 8 | Hawks | 80% | 109 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 30% | 101 | 95 |
| 10 | Bulls | 70% | 109 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 54% | 106 | 106 |
| 5 | Rockets | 46% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 61% | 109 | 119 |
| 13 | Timberwolves | 39% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 52% | 97 | 102 |
| 17 | Heat | 48% | 96 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | 51% | 106 | 96 |
| 22 | Bucks | 49% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pistons | 42% | 105 | 106 |
| 19 | Nuggets | 58% | 107 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 41% | 110 | 122 |
| 27 | Suns | 59% | 113 | 104 |