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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 25, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Mavericks20%9790
3Cavaliers80%109128
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.5
30
34
12
5
0
0
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
6-10
6-12
60%
48%
0-3
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.1
29
33
6
2
3
1
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
2-7
29%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 38.4
27
20
15
6
3
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
6-13
3-6
46%
46%
1-5
20%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 32.0
22
20
2
11
2
2
0
0
2
5
6
0-1
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
55%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.4
15
7
4
2
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
43%
0-1
0%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.3
26
31
13
4
3
0
1
0
3
0
4
3-3
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
45%
0-6
0%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.6
22
22
8
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
48%
2-5
40%
Nicolas Brussino
· 6'8" 195 · 23.7
16
12
2
4
5
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Jonathan Gibson
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.0
14
22
8
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
43%
2-3
67%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.0
14
19
10
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
1-2
50%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.4
12
18
10
1
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
47%
0-1
0%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 30.4
6
12
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
56%
0-0
-
AJ Hammons
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.2
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.7
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.9
29
33
19
5
11
1
1
0
4
0
5
5-5
100%
4-8
7-12
50%
57%
2-5
40%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.7
29
28
11
12
1
1
0
0
0
4
8
3-4
75%
4-5
2-4
80%
57%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.7
28
32
25
1
1
0
1
1
2
0
1
1-1
100%
6-8
6-12
75%
51%
4-5
80%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 28.2
28
31
27
10
4
3
1
0
1
1
9
4-4
100%
1-5
4-8
20%
48%
7-9
78%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
26
28
3
2
2
3
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
1-10
10%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38.4
19
4
4
6
3
0
0
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
58%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 36.2
14
7
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
47%
1-3
33%
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.7
14
14
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
0-2
0%
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 21.7
14
7
5
1
4
0
0
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 28.7
13
7
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
51%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 26.4
11
19
5
3
2
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-3
33%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 36.4
9
22
5
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
52%
1-2
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.1
6
3
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
3-3
100%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 33.5
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.