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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 25, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Clippers68%10697
18Pistons32%99108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 27.7
36.2
31.6
24
58%
3
5
1
1
0
1
2
1
5-8
63%
8-16
7-13
50%
51%
1-1
100%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.6
33.1
29.8
8
39%
4
14
1
2
0
5
0
4
3-3
100%
1-5
4-7
20%
51%
1-4
25%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.3
33.1
29.6
12
95%
9
1
1
1
3
2
2
7
2-3
67%
5-5
4-6
100%
66%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 32.4
32.7
24.7
24
78%
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
3-3
100%
6-8
2-5
75%
49%
3-6
50%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.2
21.1
22.8
3
44%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 36.7
26.9
25.9
14
48%
5
4
0
1
0
0
0
5
5-6
83%
3-7
3-6
43%
44%
1-5
20%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.3
16.7
21.8
2
33%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 29.3
14.4
17.1
3
19%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
0-2
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 32.4
13.8
16.5
4
100%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.4
11.9
13.9
3
150%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
1-1
100%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 31.6
5.8
0
1-1
51%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 39.1
3.3
0
0-0
44%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 34.1
2.0
0
0-0
48%
Diamond Stone
C · 6'11" 255 · 19.8
Brice Johnson
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.8
35.2
31.0
16
67%
1
10
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
47%
4-6
67%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.4
34.2
24.7
16
58%
2
7
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-11
3-7
36%
42%
2-2
100%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.4
29.1
29.7
15
68%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
6-8
4-9
75%
50%
1-3
33%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 23.3
26.4
28.8
16
67%
10
1
3
1
0
2
4
6
0-2
0%
8-11
6-12
73%
52%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
22.1
29.7
17
65%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
7-11
4-8
64%
47%
1-2
50%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27.5
33.4
25.8
11
46%
11
4
1
1
0
1
2
9
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.0
21.1
16.6
4
29%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
50%
0-0
-
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.6
19.2
5.5
9
70%
3
1
1
0
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
4-5
0-1
80%
43%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.4
13.8
20.5
4
33%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Michael Gbinije
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.5
5.5
1.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 20.5
14.3
0
1-3
43%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 28.3
3.2
0
1-1
52%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 19.9
1.5
0
0-0
48%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.6
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.