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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 25, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Warriors83%120109
27Lakers17%10785
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.7
35.6
31.0
24
64%
5
5
3
2
0
3
2
3
4-4
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
55%
4-10
40%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.2
33.3
30.3
29
67%
6
9
1
1
2
2
1
5
4-6
67%
8-13
6-10
62%
56%
3-6
50%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.8
33.2
27.9
18
48%
7
0
0
1
0
1
0
7
3-4
75%
6-11
4-7
55%
52%
1-6
17%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.7
25.9
30.6
12
72%
8
4
3
1
1
2
0
8
1-3
33%
4-5
3-5
80%
53%
1-2
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.8
20.6
16.5
2
20%
6
4
0
1
3
3
0
6
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
48%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.8
24.1
21.3
6
60%
4
4
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
55%
0-1
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 31.2
14.9
17.1
2
25%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
53%
0-0
-
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.8
12.9
7.3
6
100%
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
55%
0-0
-
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 21.1
11.8
15.0
3
75%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
1-2
50%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.2
11.1
13.4
2
100%
2
3
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.7
8.9
14.3
3
75%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
52%
1-1
100%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.9
5.5
8.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
57%
0-0
-
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 23.9
1.9
6.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 34.2
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 19.2
38.6
27.0
8
21%
9
2
2
1
1
3
1
8
2-2
100%
3-14
3-5
21%
48%
0-4
0%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 24.5
38.4
26.9
20
55%
2
0
5
1
0
3
0
2
4-5
80%
2-7
4-9
29%
47%
4-9
44%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.2
27.8
15.1
7
58%
1
6
1
0
1
4
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
1-3
33%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 31.6
21.9
23.0
4
25%
4
4
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 30.4
19.7
21.5
8
52%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-4
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
54%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 30.1
26.0
23.0
13
44%
3
2
1
1
0
4
1
2
3-4
75%
5-9
3-6
56%
46%
0-4
0%
Larry Nance Jr.
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.9
19.9
22.1
11
62%
7
0
1
1
0
0
2
5
1-2
50%
5-8
3-5
63%
54%
0-0
-
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.0
16.7
15.1
8
69%
5
1
1
0
0
0
4
1
4-4
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 25.7
15.7
5.6
6
34%
10
0
1
0
1
1
3
7
0-2
0%
3-8
1-2
38%
44%
0-0
-
Marcelo Huertas
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.5
12.3
5.6
0
0%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 37.0
3.1
7.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 31.5
24.6
0
2-4
42%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 22.0
17.2
0
3-6
46%
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'5" 195 · 20.8
Ivica Zubac
C · 7'1" 240 · 19.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.