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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 13, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Grizzlies
86
2Cavaliers
103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Troy Williams
F · 6'7" 218 · 22.0
36
22
13
6
1
0
1
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
5-12
2-4
42%
49%
1-4
25%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.4
31
18
18
5
2
2
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
9-14
4-9
64%
46%
0-1
0%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 22.1
31
30
13
3
4
1
1
3
2
0
3
4-5
80%
3-6
2-5
50%
41%
1-5
20%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 26.5
29
31
2
8
2
2
1
0
2
5
3
0-0
-
1-9
3-6
11%
49%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 34.9
25
31
8
1
1
3
2
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
4-9
4-9
44%
47%
0-0
-
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.4
20
25
5
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
42%
1-5
20%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 22.6
19
16
8
10
1
0
0
0
2
2
8
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 39.9
18
6
3
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
1-4
25%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.7
15
18
4
2
3
2
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
41%
0-2
0%
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20.0
11
5
6
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-1
0%
3-3
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 20.7
4
9
6
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
4-4
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.9
33
1
6-12
47%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 26.5
7
0
0-1
48%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.2
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.1
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 32.0
36
38
23
6
8
3
2
0
6
1
5
5-8
63%
9-13
8-13
69%
56%
0-4
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 28.3
35
32
29
13
3
2
1
0
2
3
10
8-8
100%
6-11
4-7
55%
48%
3-6
50%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.3
34
25
23
5
2
0
1
1
1
2
3
1-2
50%
2-7
1-1
29%
45%
6-10
60%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 28.7
32
17
3
5
4
2
1
1
1
1
4
0-2
0%
0-4
1-2
0%
50%
1-3
33%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.8
30
29
6
7
0
0
1
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
56%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 26.5
24
25
5
2
2
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 36.5
17
16
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 33.6
15
10
8
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 21.7
8
5
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.7
3
4
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38.4
3
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
57%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.2
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 36.2
11
0
0-1
46%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 34.0
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.