Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, December 13, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Magic | 36% | 99 | 131 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Timberwolves | 99 | ||
 | 10 | Bulls | 94 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Pelicans | 19% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Knicks | 111 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Thunder | 51% | 113 | 95 |
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Monday, December 12, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Hornets | 49% | 104 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Bucks | 100 | ||
 | 6 | Raptors | 122 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 23 | Heat | 49% | 103 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Nets | 118 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 25 | Mavericks | 51% | 104 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 120 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Lakers | 28% | 103 | 92 |
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Sunday, December 11, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Pistons | 79 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Celtics | 45% | 104 | 96 |
| 10 | Thunder | 55% | 105 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 116 | ||
| 24 | Timberwolves | 108 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pelicans | 43% | 106 | 120 |
| 27 | Suns | 57% | 108 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 118 | ||
| 28 | Lakers | 112 | ||
Saturday, December 10, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 105 | ||
| 14 | Wizards | 110 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nuggets | 53% | 106 | 121 |
| 26 | Magic | 47% | 105 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 111 | ||
| 18 | Pacers | 118 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hornets | 26% | 102 | 105 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 74% | 111 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Heat | 100 | ||
| 12 | Bulls | 105 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 84% | 112 | 89 |
| 17 | Grizzlies | 16% | 98 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Mavericks | 87 | ||
| 5 | Rockets | 109 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 12% | 98 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 84 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pelicans | 22% | 99 | 105 |
| 4 | Clippers | 78% | 110 | 133 |
Friday, December 9, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 35% | 99 | 88 |
| 11 | Hornets | 65% | 105 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Heat | 84 | ||
| 3 | Cavaliers | 114 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 45% | 104 | 101 |
| 7 | Celtics | 55% | 106 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 114 | ||
| 15 | Bucks | 110 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 51% | 112 | 102 |
| 9 | Thunder | 49% | 111 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pistons | 117 | ||
| 22 | Timberwolves | 90 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 52% | 100 | 103 |
| 25 | Mavericks | 48% | 99 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 119 | ||
| 28 | Lakers | 115 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 41% | 103 | 103 |
| 18 | Kings | 59% | 106 | 100 |
Thursday, December 8, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 29% | 104 | 110 |
| 8 | Raptors | 71% | 111 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nuggets | 85 | ||
| 12 | Wizards | 92 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 105 | 86 |
| 16 | Grizzlies | 51% | 106 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 99 | ||
| 17 | Pelicans | 88 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 64% | 108 | 106 |
| 7 | Jazz | 36% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 91 | ||
| 13 | Bulls | 95 | ||
Wednesday, December 7, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 41% | 101 | 77 |
| 10 | Hornets | 59% | 104 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 117 | ||
| 26 | Magic | 87 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nuggets | 61% | 114 | 111 |
| 29 | Nets | 39% | 110 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 95 | ||
| 18 | Hawks | 103 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 46% | 109 | 107 |
| 15 | Bucks | 54% | 111 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 95 | ||
| 5 | Rockets | 134 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 67% | 112 | 126 |
| 20 | Knicks | 33% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 120 | ||
| 25 | Mavericks | 89 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 60% | 108 | 109 |
| 28 | Suns | 40% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 115 | ||
| 4 | Clippers | 98 | ||
Tuesday, December 6, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 41% | 100 | 124 |
| 12 | Wizards | 59% | 104 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 114 | ||
| 19 | Heat | 103 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 38% | 101 | 91 |
| 11 | Pistons | 62% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 91 | ||
| 16 | Grizzlies | 96 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 61% | 105 | 105 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 39% | 101 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 105 | ||
| 5 | Jazz | 112 | ||
Monday, December 5, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nuggets | 106 | ||
| 30 | 76ers | 98 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 52% | 110 | 116 |
| 6 | Raptors | 48% | 109 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 118 | ||
| 29 | Nets | 113 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Thunder | 49% | 106 | 102 |
| 19 | Hawks | 51% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 112 | ||
| 11 | Bulls | 110 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 68% | 106 | 97 |
| 15 | Bucks | 32% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 110 | ||
| 16 | Pelicans | 108 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 40% | 108 | 106 |
| 5 | Rockets | 60% | 112 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 109 | ||
| 24 | Mavericks | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 67% | 105 | 107 |
| 27 | Lakers | 33% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 106 | ||
| 1 | Warriors | 142 | ||
Sunday, December 4, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 98 | ||
| 10 | Pistons | 92 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pelicans | 37% | 105 | 92 |
| 9 | Thunder | 63% | 110 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 98 | ||
| 23 | Knicks | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 19% | 98 | 111 |
| 4 | Clippers | 81% | 110 | 102 |
Saturday, December 3, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 30% | 106 | 103 |
| 15 | Bucks | 70% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 125 | ||
| 12 | Hornets | 120 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 28% | 100 | 84 |
| 8 | Raptors | 72% | 108 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 107 | ||
| 30 | 76ers | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 33% | 99 | 100 |
| 16 | Grizzlies | 67% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bulls | 82 | ||
| 25 | Mavericks | 107 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nuggets | 23% | 98 | 98 |
| 6 | Jazz | 77% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 92 | ||
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 99 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 7% | 103 | 109 |
| 1 | Warriors | 93% | 123 | 138 |
Friday, December 2, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 105 | ||
| 29 | 76ers | 88 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 30% | 102 | 92 |
| 6 | Celtics | 70% | 109 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 80 | ||
| 8 | Raptors | 113 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 49% | 108 | 114 |
| 25 | Knicks | 51% | 109 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 105 | ||
| 9 | Bulls | 111 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 58% | 107 | 114 |
| 15 | Pelicans | 42% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 121 | ||
| 14 | Hawks | 85 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 24% | 96 | 105 |
| 2 | Spurs | 76% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 128 | ||
| 21 | Nuggets | 110 | ||
Thursday, December 1, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Mavericks | 87 | ||
| 11 | Hornets | 97 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 58% | 111 | 111 |
| 29 | Nets | 42% | 108 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 94 | ||
| 17 | Grizzlies | 95 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 41% | 108 | 113 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 59% | 111 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Heat | 111 | ||
| 5 | Jazz | 110 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 19% | 108 | 132 |
| 1 | Warriors | 81% | 120 | 127 |
Wednesday, November 30, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pistons | 28% | 99 | 121 |
| 6 | Celtics | 72% | 107 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 105 | ||
| 8 | Raptors | 120 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 21% | 102 | 96 |
| 9 | Bulls | 79% | 113 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 115 | ||
| 10 | Thunder | 126 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 42% | 107 | 106 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 58% | 110 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 94 | ||
| 24 | Mavericks | 87 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Heat | 43% | 103 | 106 |
| 21 | Nuggets | 57% | 105 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 107 | ||
| 28 | Suns | 109 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 41% | 107 | 109 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 110 | 131 |