Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, December 4, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Magic | 32% | 98 | 98 |
 | 11 | Pistons | 68% | 104 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Pelicans | 37% | 105 | 92 |
 | 9 | Thunder | 63% | 110 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Knicks | 54% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Saturday, December 3, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Nets | 33% | 107 | 103 |
 | 19 | Bucks | 67% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Timberwolves | 35% | 103 | 125 |
 | 12 | Hornets | 65% | 108 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 8 | Raptors | 72% | 108 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Celtics | 73% | 110 | 107 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Lakers | 34% | 99 | 100 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Bulls | 57% | 100 | 82 |
 | 23 | Mavericks | 43% | 98 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Heat | 43% | 107 | 92 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, December 2, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 51% | 102 | 105 |
| 29 | 76ers | 49% | 101 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 30% | 102 | 92 |
| 6 | Celtics | 70% | 109 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 25% | 104 | 80 |
| 8 | Raptors | 75% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 53% | 109 | 114 |
| 21 | Knicks | 47% | 108 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 9 | Bulls | 52% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 58% | 106 | 114 |
| 12 | Pelicans | 42% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pistons | 45% | 100 | 121 |
| 14 | Hawks | 55% | 101 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 24 | Nuggets | 41% | 111 | 110 |
Thursday, December 1, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 32% | 95 | 87 |
| 12 | Hornets | 68% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 59% | 111 | 111 |
| 29 | Nets | 41% | 108 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 46% | 96 | 94 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 54% | 98 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 40% | 108 | 113 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 60% | 111 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 22% | 92 | 111 |
| 5 | Jazz | 78% | 102 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 20% | 108 | 132 |
| 1 | Warriors | 80% | 120 | 127 |
Wednesday, November 30, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pistons | 28% | 99 | 121 |
| 6 | Celtics | 72% | 107 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 33% | 98 | 105 |
| 8 | Raptors | 67% | 104 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 22% | 102 | 96 |
| 9 | Bulls | 78% | 113 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 39% | 105 | 115 |
| 10 | Thunder | 61% | 109 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 42% | 107 | 106 |
| 15 | Timberwolves | 58% | 110 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 68% | 100 | 94 |
| 25 | Mavericks | 32% | 93 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Heat | 43% | 103 | 106 |
| 21 | Nuggets | 57% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 61% | 107 | 107 |
| 28 | Suns | 39% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 40% | 107 | 109 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 111 | 131 |
Tuesday, November 29, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pistons | 46% | 101 | 112 |
| 12 | Hornets | 54% | 102 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 82% | 117 | 122 |
| 30 | Nets | 18% | 104 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 71% | 113 | 101 |
| 22 | Bucks | 29% | 105 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 35% | 106 | 88 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 65% | 111 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 15% | 93 | 95 |
| 2 | Spurs | 85% | 107 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 47% | 103 | 101 |
| 6 | Jazz | 53% | 104 | 120 |
Monday, November 28, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 36% | 103 | 95 |
| 11 | Wizards | 64% | 108 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 16% | 99 | 95 |
| 6 | Raptors | 84% | 112 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 52% | 109 | 112 |
| 20 | Knicks | 48% | 108 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celtics | 58% | 102 | 112 |
| 23 | Heat | 42% | 100 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 44% | 99 | 104 |
| 13 | Grizzlies | 56% | 101 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 55% | 102 | 112 |
| 16 | Timberwolves | 45% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 13% | 100 | 100 |
| 1 | Warriors | 87% | 116 | 105 |
Sunday, November 27, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 81% | 113 | 112 |
| 30 | 76ers | 19% | 101 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nuggets | 53% | 109 | 120 |
| 28 | Suns | 47% | 108 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 60% | 111 | 122 |
| 29 | Nets | 40% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 45% | 102 | 104 |
| 23 | Magic | 55% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 74% | 109 | 70 |
| 26 | Pacers | 26% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pelicans | 51% | 102 | 81 |
| 24 | Mavericks | 49% | 101 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 58% | 115 | 130 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 42% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 60% | 107 | 94 |
| 27 | Lakers | 40% | 104 | 109 |
Saturday, November 26, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 64% | 104 | 112 |
| 12 | Wizards | 36% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 35% | 103 | 102 |
| 11 | Hornets | 65% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pistons | 39% | 103 | 88 |
| 10 | Thunder | 61% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | 51% | 97 | 110 |
| 21 | Heat | 49% | 96 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 11% | 103 | 102 |
| 1 | Warriors | 89% | 120 | 115 |
Friday, November 25, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 56% | 104 | 109 |
| 6 | Celtics | 44% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 53% | 104 | 94 |
| 26 | Magic | 47% | 103 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | 20% | 98 | 90 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 80% | 109 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 51% | 107 | 111 |
| 20 | Knicks | 49% | 106 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 70% | 108 | 105 |
| 29 | 76ers | 30% | 101 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 68% | 106 | 97 |
| 18 | Pistons | 32% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 40% | 97 | 68 |
| 9 | Jazz | 60% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 63% | 109 | 105 |
| 25 | Bucks | 37% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Heat | 36% | 94 | 90 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 64% | 99 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 33% | 105 | 97 |
| 22 | Pacers | 67% | 111 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 51% | 110 | 132 |
| 21 | Nuggets | 49% | 109 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 53% | 109 | 98 |
| 28 | Suns | 47% | 107 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pelicans | 46% | 110 | 104 |
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 111 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 82% | 120 | 109 |
| 27 | Lakers | 18% | 107 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 59% | 110 | 117 |
| 16 | Kings | 41% | 107 | 104 |
Wednesday, November 23, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 68% | 104 | 104 |
| 30 | 76ers | 32% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 65% | 104 | 119 |
| 14 | Hornets | 35% | 99 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 41% | 104 | 92 |
| 26 | Magic | 59% | 108 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 21% | 106 | 125 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 79% | 117 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 48% | 103 | 96 |
| 24 | Pacers | 52% | 104 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 70% | 114 | 111 |
| 29 | Nets | 30% | 106 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 45% | 98 | 84 |
| 21 | Pistons | 55% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 41% | 109 | 115 |
| 5 | Rockets | 59% | 112 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 73% | 104 | 124 |
| 23 | Mavericks | 27% | 96 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nuggets | 32% | 99 | 83 |
| 10 | Jazz | 68% | 105 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | 52% | 107 | 96 |
| 22 | Pelicans | 48% | 106 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 7% | 104 | 106 |
| 1 | Warriors | 93% | 124 | 149 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thunder | 45% | 105 | 101 |
| 17 | Kings | 55% | 107 | 116 |
Tuesday, November 22, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 110 | 103 |
| 21 | Knicks | 55% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 32% | 101 | 112 |
| 9 | Hawks | 68% | 108 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 56% | 108 | 107 |
| 18 | Nuggets | 44% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 55% | 111 | 109 |
| 26 | Lakers | 45% | 109 | 111 |
Monday, November 21, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 64% | 104 | 94 |
| 30 | 76ers | 36% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 32% | 105 | 101 |
| 14 | Wizards | 68% | 111 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 45% | 101 | 105 |
| 12 | Hornets | 55% | 103 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 86% | 117 | 120 |
| 27 | Pacers | 14% | 102 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 56% | 107 | 99 |
| 19 | Pistons | 44% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 42% | 103 | 89 |
| 22 | Bucks | 58% | 105 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 53% | 107 | 99 |
| 15 | Timberwolves | 47% | 106 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Mavericks | 14% | 89 | 91 |
| 2 | Spurs | 86% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 25% | 102 | 115 |
| 3 | Clippers | 75% | 111 | 123 |