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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 20, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Celtics
112
12Grizzlies
109
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.5
40
31
17
14
3
0
1
1
2
3
11
0-1
0%
7-11
4-8
64%
53%
1-8
13%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.5
40
33
13
7
2
0
1
0
2
0
7
6-6
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.1
38
33
16
3
3
1
1
1
1
0
3
5-6
83%
4-5
5-9
80%
49%
1-3
33%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 27.9
38
31
44
3
6
2
1
1
1
0
3
17-17
100%
3-6
5-11
50%
47%
7-10
70%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 29.6
24
17
5
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
59%
0-1
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 25.7
26
16
10
3
1
3
1
2
2
1
2
5-6
83%
1-5
1-3
20%
50%
1-2
50%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.8
22
28
0
2
4
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 29.8
12
20
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 20.2
11
10
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-3
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.9
7
3
5
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
44%
1-3
33%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.8
7
19
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.9
5
0
1-2
49%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 22.5
2
0
0-1
46%
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 22.3
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 34.9
38
32
10
8
0
1
2
1
0
5
3
0-0
-
5-7
5-10
71%
49%
0-1
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.9
37
32
24
7
6
1
1
0
2
1
6
5-5
100%
5-18
6-12
28%
48%
3-4
75%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.2
36
22
19
5
8
2
1
0
4
1
4
4-6
67%
3-8
3-6
38%
47%
3-8
38%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 26.5
31
27
7
12
1
2
1
0
1
4
8
3-4
75%
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
0-1
0%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 26.5
18
11
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1-1
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.4
35
19
24
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
4-6
1-3
67%
44%
4-7
57%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.4
21
23
9
5
2
0
1
1
0
2
3
1-2
50%
4-12
5-12
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 22.1
18
23
2
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
42%
0-3
0%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 22.6
17
15
3
8
0
0
0
0
3
2
6
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 39.9
15
17
6
2
2
2
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
2-4
50%
Troy Williams
F · 6'7" 218 · 22.0
14
1
1-3
49%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.2
11
0
1-2
52%
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 20.7
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20.0
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.