Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, December 20, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Pelicans | 51% | 104 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Lakers | 29% | 103 | 113 |
 | 9 | Hornets | 71% | 111 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Nets | 16% | 103 | 104 |
 | 6 | Raptors | 84% | 117 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Knicks | 55% | 106 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Magic | 40% | 99 | 136 |
 | 19 | Heat | 60% | 103 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Bucks | 38% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Celtics | 55% | 101 | 112 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Monday, December 19, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 10 | Pacers | 61% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Pistons | 49% | 101 | 82 |
 | 18 | Bulls | 51% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Thunder | 53% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Timberwolves | 64% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Mavericks | 38% | 103 | 107 |
| 17 | Nuggets | 62% | 107 | 117 |
Sunday, December 18, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 59% | 109 | 110 |
| 9 | Wizards | 41% | 106 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 45% | 99 | 79 |
| 24 | Mavericks | 55% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 54% | 97 | 82 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 46% | 95 | 73 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 43% | 107 | 107 |
| 27 | 76ers | 57% | 109 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 64% | 109 | 109 |
| 23 | Magic | 36% | 104 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 60% | 104 | 105 |
| 19 | Heat | 40% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | 19% | 96 | 100 |
| 2 | Spurs | 81% | 108 | 113 |
Saturday, December 17, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 35% | 106 | 101 |
| 17 | Thunder | 65% | 111 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 44% | 101 | 105 |
| 11 | Pistons | 56% | 103 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hornets | 45% | 102 | 107 |
| 12 | Hawks | 55% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Lakers | 15% | 102 | 108 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 85% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 59% | 113 | 111 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 41% | 110 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 44% | 108 | 114 |
| 19 | Nuggets | 56% | 110 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 15% | 107 | 90 |
| 1 | Warriors | 85% | 122 | 135 |
Friday, December 16, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pistons | 49% | 103 | 108 |
| 13 | Wizards | 51% | 104 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 37% | 107 | 111 |
| 24 | Magic | 63% | 111 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hornets | 36% | 102 | 88 |
| 7 | Celtics | 64% | 107 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 31% | 102 | 125 |
| 6 | Raptors | 69% | 109 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 39% | 103 | 95 |
| 11 | Bulls | 61% | 106 | 69 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 39% | 97 | 96 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 61% | 101 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pelicans | 20% | 103 | 100 |
| 4 | Rockets | 80% | 115 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Lakers | 42% | 105 | 100 |
| 27 | 76ers | 58% | 108 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 67% | 107 | 102 |
| 21 | Heat | 33% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Mavericks | 31% | 92 | 100 |
| 8 | Jazz | 69% | 99 | 103 |
Thursday, December 15, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bulls | 49% | 105 | 97 |
| 16 | Bucks | 51% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 43% | 104 | 95 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 57% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 112 | 120 |
| 22 | Nuggets | 51% | 113 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 69% | 108 | 107 |
| 26 | Suns | 31% | 102 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 10% | 100 | 90 |
| 1 | Warriors | 90% | 117 | 103 |
Wednesday, December 14, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 72% | 108 | 123 |
| 28 | 76ers | 28% | 100 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hornets | 47% | 104 | 106 |
| 11 | Wizards | 53% | 105 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 74% | 109 | 113 |
| 25 | Magic | 26% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 49% | 102 | 89 |
| 22 | Heat | 51% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Lakers | 47% | 112 | 97 |
| 30 | Nets | 53% | 113 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 71% | 104 | 85 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 29% | 96 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 25% | 104 | 98 |
| 5 | Rockets | 75% | 113 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 56% | 99 | 95 |
| 24 | Mavericks | 44% | 97 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Thunder | 35% | 98 | 89 |
| 8 | Jazz | 65% | 104 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 31% | 96 | 101 |
| 3 | Spurs | 69% | 103 | 108 |
Tuesday, December 13, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 19% | 95 | 86 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 81% | 107 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 36% | 99 | 131 |
| 15 | Hawks | 64% | 104 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 33% | 103 | 99 |
| 8 | Bulls | 67% | 109 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 81% | 115 | 113 |
| 24 | Pelicans | 19% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Knicks | 55% | 110 | 111 |
| 27 | Suns | 45% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Thunder | 51% | 113 | 95 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 112 | 114 |
Monday, December 12, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 49% | 104 | 94 |
| 16 | Pacers | 51% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 27% | 103 | 100 |
| 6 | Raptors | 73% | 111 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wizards | 51% | 104 | 101 |
| 22 | Heat | 49% | 103 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 15% | 107 | 118 |
| 4 | Rockets | 85% | 121 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nuggets | 49% | 103 | 92 |
| 25 | Mavericks | 51% | 104 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 29% | 107 | 120 |
| 5 | Clippers | 71% | 114 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Lakers | 28% | 103 | 92 |
| 17 | Kings | 72% | 111 | 116 |
Sunday, December 11, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 76ers | 27% | 97 | 97 |
| 14 | Pistons | 73% | 105 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 45% | 104 | 96 |
| 9 | Thunder | 55% | 105 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 73% | 115 | 116 |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 27% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pelicans | 43% | 106 | 120 |
| 27 | Suns | 57% | 108 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 56% | 111 | 118 |
| 29 | Lakers | 44% | 108 | 112 |
Saturday, December 10, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 35% | 103 | 105 |
| 12 | Wizards | 65% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nuggets | 53% | 106 | 121 |
| 25 | Magic | 47% | 105 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 108 | 111 |
| 15 | Pacers | 51% | 109 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 26% | 102 | 105 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 74% | 111 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Heat | 30% | 99 | 100 |
| 10 | Bulls | 70% | 106 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 84% | 112 | 89 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 16% | 98 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | 20% | 99 | 87 |
| 5 | Rockets | 80% | 111 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 12% | 98 | 101 |
| 2 | Spurs | 88% | 114 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 34% | 97 | 84 |
| 9 | Jazz | 66% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 22% | 99 | 105 |
| 4 | Clippers | 78% | 110 | 133 |
Friday, December 9, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 35% | 99 | 88 |
| 12 | Hornets | 65% | 105 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Heat | 22% | 100 | 84 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 78% | 111 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 45% | 104 | 101 |
| 7 | Celtics | 55% | 106 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 46% | 103 | 114 |
| 18 | Bucks | 54% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 51% | 112 | 102 |
| 8 | Thunder | 49% | 111 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 56% | 106 | 117 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 44% | 104 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 52% | 100 | 103 |
| 25 | Mavericks | 48% | 99 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 48% | 108 | 119 |
| 29 | Lakers | 52% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 41% | 103 | 103 |
| 15 | Kings | 59% | 106 | 100 |
Thursday, December 8, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 29% | 104 | 110 |
| 6 | Raptors | 71% | 111 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nuggets | 36% | 106 | 85 |
| 14 | Wizards | 64% | 111 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 105 | 86 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 51% | 106 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 30% | 100 | 99 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 70% | 107 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 64% | 108 | 106 |
| 7 | Jazz | 36% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 61% | 103 | 91 |
| 13 | Bulls | 39% | 99 | 95 |
Wednesday, December 7, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 41% | 101 | 77 |
| 10 | Hornets | 59% | 104 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 59% | 102 | 117 |
| 24 | Magic | 41% | 99 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nuggets | 61% | 114 | 111 |
| 29 | Nets | 39% | 110 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Heat | 39% | 99 | 95 |
| 17 | Hawks | 61% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 46% | 109 | 107 |
| 18 | Bucks | 54% | 111 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 20% | 105 | 95 |
| 5 | Rockets | 80% | 117 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 67% | 112 | 126 |
| 14 | Knicks | 33% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | 49% | 100 | 120 |
| 25 | Mavericks | 51% | 101 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 60% | 108 | 109 |
| 28 | Suns | 40% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 52% | 111 | 115 |
| 3 | Clippers | 48% | 110 | 98 |