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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 20, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Jazz23%9974
1Warriors77%110104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 24.5
31
35
11
17
1
0
1
2
2
2
15
1-3
33%
5-6
4-7
83%
58%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 26.7
27
34
6
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-3
67%
2-4
5-10
50%
46%
0-6
0%
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 21.4
26
17
6
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
2-2
100%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 34.7
16
24
2
3
1
0
0
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
51%
0-0
-
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 24.2
11
29
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-2
3-7
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 29.2
27
18
11
5
3
2
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-6
1-2
17%
51%
3-7
43%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 21.1
24
14
11
3
1
0
0
0
3
3
0
5-6
83%
0-6
2-3
0%
47%
2-4
50%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 35.5
22
20
14
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
2-3
67%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 26.7
22
28
6
1
2
0
1
0
4
0
1
0-2
0%
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
0-2
0%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 26.8
17
3
0
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Raul Neto
G · 6'1" 179 · 24.6
13
2
6
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
0-0
75%
43%
0-3
0%
Joel Bolomboy
· 6'9" 235 · 22.9
4
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 25.4
16
1
3-6
49%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 25.4
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.8
31
30
15
11
4
5
1
0
2
0
11
1-2
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
51%
2-5
40%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.9
31
30
17
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
7-10
4-8
70%
51%
1-3
33%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.8
30
30
25
3
4
3
1
0
0
0
3
5-5
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
54%
4-9
44%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.2
25
32
22
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
6-6
100%
8-13
6-10
62%
55%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.9
15
14
2
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.9
26
22
3
1
4
2
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
55%
1-1
100%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 31.3
18
17
2
2
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
53%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.9
15
12
8
7
1
1
0
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
4-13
2-4
31%
57%
0-1
0%
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 21.2
11
13
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.3
11
9
4
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.8
10
16
6
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
53%
1-2
50%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.9
9
11
0
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
0-1
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 34.2
7
4
0
5
0
0
0
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 21.5
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.