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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with player e-skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 20, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Nuggets
102
4Clippers
119
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.4
32
32
17
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
43%
4-8
50%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.6
28
32
13
4
3
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-4
50%
4-9
4-9
44%
47%
1-4
25%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.8
26
29
0
5
1
1
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
0-4
3-8
0%
39%
0-5
0%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.8
21
28
9
6
1
0
1
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
4-5
5-9
80%
54%
0-2
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.3
19
28
3
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
3-7
0%
51%
1-2
50%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26.0
32
27
22
5
2
2
1
0
1
1
4
2-3
67%
7-10
3-6
70%
45%
2-5
40%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.1
27
18
15
11
1
1
0
0
0
4
7
5-6
83%
5-8
3-5
63%
52%
0-1
0%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 19.8
27
16
8
5
5
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-1
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
41%
2-8
25%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.9
22
18
9
1
6
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
44%
1-3
33%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.2
6
4
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
0-0
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.3
7
0
1-3
47%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
5
0
0-1
43%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.8
1
0
0-0
33%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.6
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.3
31
13
14
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
2
3-3
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
50%
1-2
50%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.4
29
34
13
13
2
0
1
1
0
2
11
1-1
100%
6-7
5-7
86%
69%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.6
26
34
16
8
15
1
2
0
3
0
8
0-0
-
5-9
4-8
56%
53%
2-5
40%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 32.5
26
27
27
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
52%
7-9
78%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 39.2
18
2
7
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
2-5
40%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.4
22
27
9
0
6
2
1
0
0
0
0
2-4
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 32.5
19
14
8
3
2
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
48%
0-2
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 36.8
19
24
5
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 29.4
17
13
10
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
2-3
67%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.4
14
10
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-3
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 31.6
11
2
8
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
3-3
0-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 34.2
7
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Diamond Stone
C · 6'11" 255 · 19.9
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
55%
0-0
-
Brice Johnson
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.5
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 27.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use e-skills to estimate a player's true skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about E-Skills here.