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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 20, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs45%106102
5Rockets55%107100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.5
36
28
21
5
4
5
2
0
7
0
5
11-13
85%
5-11
5-10
45%
52%
0-4
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.4
36
26
17
10
5
0
1
1
0
5
5
5-6
83%
6-15
5-11
40%
49%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.5
34
23
12
3
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
4-8
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 36.5
26
25
10
10
2
0
0
2
2
1
9
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.6
24
24
8
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
2-6
4-8
33%
48%
1-1
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.4
24
20
13
0
1
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
3-5
60%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 39.4
20
17
12
4
3
3
1
0
2
0
4
0-2
0%
0-4
1-3
0%
46%
4-5
80%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.6
17
19
6
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
52%
0-0
-
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.4
11
17
0
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
55%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 27.3
10
17
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24.1
2
10
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.2
11
1
1-2
46%
Nicolas Laprovittola
G · 6'4" 180 · 26.9
5
0
0-1
47%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 20.3
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.6
37
28
7
6
2
0
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
1-3
33%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 27.3
37
35
31
10
7
1
1
0
3
2
8
10-10
100%
9-15
4-8
60%
50%
1-11
9%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 31.5
35
32
16
6
2
4
2
1
4
0
6
1-2
50%
3-5
2-3
60%
50%
3-9
33%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.4
32
33
4
8
1
2
1
1
1
3
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-4
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.3
18
12
10
7
2
1
0
0
1
5
2
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
52%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.0
33
28
13
1
4
0
1
2
3
0
1
4-4
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
1-8
13%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 22.9
22
14
9
5
2
1
0
0
1
2
3
1-3
33%
4-7
2-4
57%
56%
0-0
-
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.6
21
19
10
7
1
1
1
1
2
5
2
4-4
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
54%
0-3
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 30.8
6
12
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Chinanu Onuaku
C · 6'10" 245 · 20.1
9
0
1-2
49%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.9
2
0
0-0
47%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 22.3
2
0
0-0
45%
Kyle Wiltjer
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.2
1
0
0-0
50%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 32.2
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.