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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 10, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Bulls26%9899
12Wizards74%107101
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 28.8
34
24
14
6
1
1
0
1
2
5
1
4-5
80%
5-10
4-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.3
29
22
14
7
2
2
1
0
3
0
7
6-7
86%
4-10
3-6
40%
45%
0-2
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.5
29
22
10
12
1
0
0
1
0
4
8
3-3
100%
2-10
4-8
20%
51%
1-1
100%
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.3
25
20
9
2
6
1
1
0
5
0
2
4-4
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
1-1
100%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 25.0
24
28
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
0-5
0%
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 23.2
30
6
19
2
2
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
44%
5-11
45%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 30.9
27
8
12
4
6
3
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
6-10
1-2
60%
47%
0-3
0%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 21.9
18
6
13
7
0
1
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
3-4
75%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 24.5
14
21
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 25.6
10
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 35.0
28
1
6-12
48%
Paul Zipser
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.9
5
0
1-1
46%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 27.3
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 25.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.9
42
35
10
12
0
1
1
1
3
3
9
0-0
-
5-8
5-8
63%
58%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.3
40
37
26
6
14
1
2
1
5
0
6
3-4
75%
10-19
7-13
53%
49%
1-2
50%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.5
37
33
19
4
3
0
1
0
4
0
4
2-3
67%
4-9
4-9
44%
49%
3-6
50%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.6
34
35
11
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
57%
1-4
25%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.4
22
33
19
5
2
3
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
5-9
5-9
56%
50%
3-3
100%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 21.1
23
21
3
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
0-3
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.9
23
11
7
6
0
0
0
3
3
3
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
1-2
50%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.2
13
11
6
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
2-2
100%
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
7
11
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29.6
7
0
1-2
47%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.2
3
0
0-0
51%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.1
2
0
0-1
51%
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 23.1
1
0
0-0
52%
Danuel House
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.