Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, January 10, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Bulls | 26% | 98 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Celtics | 106 | ||
 | 7 | Raptors | 114 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 30 | Nets | 35% | 103 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Hornets | 114 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Bucks | 21% | 97 | 109 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 27 | Lakers | 44% | 111 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Heat | 95 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Pistons | 49% | 104 | 94 |
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Monday, January 9, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Pelicans | 110 | ||
 | 24 | Knicks | 96 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Thunder | 46% | 104 | 109 |
| 14 | Bulls | 54% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Mavericks | 92 | ||
 | 22 | Timberwolves | 101 | ||
Sunday, January 8, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pistons | 47% | 107 | 125 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 108 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 30 | Nets | 95 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Heat | 27% | 99 | 86 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 107 | ||
| 10 | Bucks | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 52% | 111 | 129 |
| 6 | Raptors | 48% | 110 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 79 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 74% | 113 | 120 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 117 | ||
| 22 | Kings | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Magic | 51% | 110 | 95 |
| 27 | Lakers | 49% | 109 | 111 |
Saturday, January 7, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 109 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 30% | 102 | 108 |
| 6 | Celtics | 70% | 109 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 118 | ||
| 16 | Bulls | 123 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 12 | Thunder | 64% | 113 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 94 | ||
| 23 | Timberwolves | 92 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 46% | 100 | 97 |
| 18 | Mavericks | 54% | 101 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 85 | ||
| 2 | Spurs | 102 | ||
Friday, January 6, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 105 | ||
| 13 | Wizards | 112 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 61% | 112 | 100 |
| 26 | Magic | 39% | 108 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 76ers | 106 | ||
| 6 | Celtics | 110 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 78% | 114 | 116 |
| 30 | Nets | 22% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 116 | ||
| 9 | Bucks | 111 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Heat | 54% | 107 | 100 |
| 27 | Lakers | 46% | 106 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 128 | ||
| 1 | Warriors | 119 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 55% | 106 | 106 |
| 21 | Kings | 45% | 104 | 98 |
Thursday, January 5, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 109 | ||
| 17 | Pacers | 121 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 42% | 99 | 93 |
| 7 | Raptors | 58% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hornets | 114 | ||
| 16 | Pistons | 115 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 42% | 101 | 99 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 58% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Thunder | 116 | ||
| 3 | Rockets | 118 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 35% | 101 | 102 |
| 20 | Mavericks | 65% | 106 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 109 | ||
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 118 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 67% | 109 | 127 |
| 19 | Nuggets | 33% | 103 | 99 |
Wednesday, January 4, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Thunder | 43% | 104 | 112 |
| 10 | Hornets | 57% | 107 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 111 | ||
| 26 | Magic | 92 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bucks | 58% | 108 | 105 |
| 23 | Knicks | 42% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 106 | ||
| 3 | Cavaliers | 94 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 42% | 100 | 106 |
| 6 | Clippers | 58% | 103 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 117 | ||
| 1 | Warriors | 125 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Heat | 39% | 101 | 107 |
| 21 | Kings | 61% | 105 | 102 |
Tuesday, January 3, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Timberwolves | 56% | 106 | 91 |
| 29 | 76ers | 44% | 104 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 104 | ||
| 5 | Celtics | 115 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 43% | 101 | 121 |
| 15 | Pistons | 57% | 103 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wizards | 105 | ||
| 20 | Mavericks | 113 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 36% | 100 | 82 |
| 2 | Spurs | 64% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 120 | ||
| 18 | Nuggets | 113 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Heat | 54% | 105 | 90 |
| 27 | Suns | 46% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 102 | ||
| 28 | Lakers | 116 | ||
Monday, January 2, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Thunder | 41% | 105 | 94 |
| 9 | Bucks | 59% | 108 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | 82 | ||
| 3 | Cavaliers | 90 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 71% | 107 | 101 |
| 30 | Nets | 29% | 100 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 115 | ||
| 23 | Knicks | 103 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 51% | 102 | 111 |
| 17 | Bulls | 49% | 101 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wizards | 91 | ||
| 4 | Rockets | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 29% | 103 | 98 |
| 5 | Clippers | 71% | 110 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nuggets | 119 | ||
| 1 | Warriors | 127 | ||
Sunday, January 1, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 112 | ||
| 18 | Hawks | 114 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pistons | 53% | 100 | 107 |
| 23 | Heat | 47% | 99 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 104 | ||
| 13 | Pacers | 117 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 105 | 95 |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 61% | 109 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 123 | ||
| 28 | Lakers | 114 | ||
Saturday, December 31, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 112 | ||
| 23 | Kings | 98 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bucks | 42% | 101 | 116 |
| 14 | Bulls | 58% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 122 | ||
| 4 | Rockets | 129 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 56% | 107 | 121 |
| 9 | Hornets | 44% | 105 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 86 | ||
| 8 | Jazz | 91 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 48% | 106 | 88 |
| 16 | Thunder | 52% | 107 | 114 |
Friday, December 30, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bulls | 101 | ||
| 14 | Pacers | 111 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 31% | 106 | 95 |
| 12 | Wizards | 69% | 113 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Heat | 114 | ||
| 7 | Celtics | 117 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 45% | 105 | 92 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 55% | 107 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 116 | ||
| 4 | Rockets | 140 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bucks | 51% | 108 | 99 |
| 22 | Timberwolves | 49% | 107 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pistons | 98 | ||
| 19 | Hawks | 105 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 20% | 97 | 94 |
| 2 | Spurs | 80% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 124 | ||
| 13 | Nuggets | 122 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Mavericks | 7% | 96 | 99 |
| 1 | Warriors | 93% | 116 | 108 |
Thursday, December 29, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Heat | 82 | ||
| 9 | Hornets | 91 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Thunder | 42% | 101 | 80 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 58% | 104 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 118 | ||
| 3 | Cavaliers | 124 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 24% | 93 | 83 |
| 8 | Jazz | 76% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 91 | ||
| 27 | Suns | 99 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Mavericks | 54% | 105 | 101 |
| 28 | Lakers | 46% | 104 | 89 |
Wednesday, December 28, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 105 | ||
| 11 | Wizards | 111 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hornets | 57% | 104 | 120 |
| 26 | Magic | 43% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 98 | ||
| 19 | Hawks | 102 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 43% | 102 | 119 |
| 15 | Pistons | 57% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 99 | ||
| 14 | Bulls | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 55% | 105 | 98 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 45% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 98 | ||
| 2 | Spurs | 119 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 41% | 109 | 103 |
| 17 | Nuggets | 59% | 112 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 89 | ||
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 102 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 23% | 105 | 111 |
| 1 | Warriors | 77% | 116 | 121 |