Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Heat	8%	96	95	94.1	101	91.9
	1	Warriors	92%	115	107	105.9	101	112.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 31	37.9	17	53%	2	4	1	0	3	2	0	2	1-1	100%	5-11	45%	2-5	40%
Dion Waiters G · 6'4" 215 · 25	37.7	8	24%	3	8	2	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	4-12	33%	0-5	0%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 28	37.0	26	76%	20	2	1	2	4	3	3	17	2-3	67%	12-17	71%	0-0	-
Rodney McGruder F · 6'4" 200 · 25	31.8	3	25%	7	2	0	1	0	3	2	5	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 28	18.2	2	17%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%

Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 25	30.0	18	69%	7	3	0	0	0	3	1	6	3-4	75%	3-3	100%	3-8	38%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	29.6	14	47%	2	6	2	0	2	4	0	2	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	1-7	14%
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 27	11.0	4	50%	4	0	0	1	1	2	0	4	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 29	7.0	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3-3	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 23	\| DND - Left Foot Injury
Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 21	\| NWT - Right Shoulder Surgery
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh McRoberts #4 · · 6'10" 240 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	48%	46	25	6	4	11	0	6	40	13-17	76%	32-60	53%	6-30	20%

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25 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 31	37.9	17	53%	2	4	1	0	3	2	0	2	1-1	100%	5-11	45%	2-5	40%
Dion Waiters G · 6'4" 215 · 25	37.7	8	24%	3	8	2	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	4-12	33%	0-5	0%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 28	37.0	26	76%	20	2	1	2	4	3	3	17	2-3	67%	12-17	71%	0-0	-
Rodney McGruder F · 6'4" 200 · 25	31.8	3	25%	7	2	0	1	0	3	2	5	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 28	18.2	2	17%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%

Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 25	30.0	18	69%	7	3	0	0	0	3	1	6	3-4	75%	3-3	100%	3-8	38%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	29.6	14	47%	2	6	2	0	2	4	0	2	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	1-7	14%
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 27	11.0	4	50%	4	0	0	1	1	2	0	4	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 29	7.0	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3-3	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 23	\| DND - Left Foot Injury
Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 21	\| NWT - Right Shoulder Surgery
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh McRoberts #4 · · 6'10" 240 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	48%	46	25	6	4	11	0	6	40	13-17	76%	32-60	53%	6-30	20%

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1 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Durant F · 6'11" 240 · 28	36.6	28	61%	8	0	1	2	2	2	1	7	5-5	100%	7-15	47%	3-6	50%
Stephen Curry G · 6'2" 185 · 29	35.7	24	52%	8	9	1	1	3	0	1	7	4-5	80%	4-10	40%	4-11	36%
Draymond Green F · 6'6" 230 · 27	35.5	13	46%	9	5	2	2	1	0	0	9	5-6	83%	4-8	50%	0-3	0%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 33	23.7	8	67%	6	3	1	0	2	3	1	5	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Patrick McCaw G · 6'7" 185 · 21	18.5	3	50%	3	0	0	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%

Andre Iguodala G-F · 6'6" 215 · 33	28.6	9	75%	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Ian Clark G · 6'3" 175 · 26	22.3	10	56%	1	3	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-3	67%
Shaun Livingston G · 6'7" 192 · 31	17.6	8	57%	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 36	12.0	2	25%	5	3	1	0	0	0	1	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 29	9.4	2	100%	3	0	0	2	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
James Michael McAdoo · 6'9" 230 · 24	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kevon Looney F · 6'9" 222 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Anderson Varejao F · 6'11" 260 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Damian Jones #15 · C · 7'0" 245 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Klay Thompson #11 · G · 6'5" 220 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	55%	48	28	6	7	11	0	5	43	18-22	82%	28-59	47%	11-27	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	GSW

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

0.96 48.0%

GSW

1.09 54.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

25

36

69%

GSW

13

27

48%

Midrange

MIA

7

24

29%

GSW

15

32

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

6

9.0

30

20%

30%

GSW

11

16.5

27

41%

61%

Free Throws

MIA

13

17

76%

GSW

18

22

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside	26	76%	13.0 / 17
T. Johnson	18	69%	9.0 / 13
G. Dragic	17	53%	8.5 / 16
J. Johnson	14	47%	7.0 / 15
D. Waiters	8	24%	4.0 / 17
W. Reed	4	50%	2.0 / 4
R. McGruder	3	25%	1.5 / 6
W. Ellington	3	75%	1.5 / 2
L. Babbitt	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Durant	28	61%	14.0 / 23
S. Curry	24	52%	12.0 / 23
D. Green	13	46%	6.5 / 14
I. Clark	10	56%	5.0 / 9
A. Iguodala	9	75%	4.5 / 6
Z. Pachulia	8	67%	4.0 / 6
S. Livingston	8	57%	4.0 / 7
P. McCaw	3	50%	1.5 / 3
D. West	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. McGee	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 108.1 1 115.5	MIA 94.1 GSW 105.9 +11.9
Pace	21 95.0 3 99.9	MIA 91.9 GSW 112.1 +20.3
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.7 27 14.1	MIA 15.7 GSW 12.8 −2.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 51.2% 1 56.3%	MIA 45.6% GSW 51.7% +6.1%
TO %	8 13.2% 21 14.4%	MIA 10.1% −0.2% GSW 10.3%
ORB %	11 24.2% 18 22.8%	MIA 12.2% +1.1% GSW 11.1%
FTrt	26 25.1 20 25.9	MIA 18.9 GSW 25.6 +6.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 54.4% 1 70.5%	MIA 65.8% GSW 71.8% +6.0%
STL %	21 7.5% 1 9.6%	MIA 5.9% GSW 5.9%
BLK %	6 9.3% 1 11.0%	MIA 6.8% GSW 11.7% +4.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 52.8% 1 58.4%	MIA 48.0% GSW 54.6% +6.6%
Rim FG%	12 59.2% 1 65.2%	MIA 69.4% +21.3% GSW 48.1%
Mid FG%	26 39.4% 1 44.7%	MIA 29.2% GSW 46.9% +17.7%
3P %	12 36.5% 3 38.3%	MIA 20.0% GSW 40.7% +20.7%
FT %	30 70.6% 11 78.8%	MIA 76.5% GSW 81.8% +5.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 35.4% 21 34.5%	MIA 40.0% +8.6% GSW 31.4%
Mid Att. %	15 33.1% 9 29.6%	MIA 26.7% −10.5% GSW 37.2%
3P Att. %	14 31.4% 6 35.9%	MIA 33.3% +1.9% GSW 31.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.01 and 3.01.

Game Totals	MIA	GSW
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	26.4	21.6
Points	95	107
Rebounds	46	48
Assists	25	28
Steals	6	6
Blocks	4	7
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (2)	5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (0)	43 (3)
Field Goals	38-90	39-86
At-the-Rim FG	25-36	13-27
Midrange FG	7-24	15-32
2-Point FG	32-60	28-59
3-Point FG	6-30	11-27
Free Throws	13-17	18-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg