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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 13, 2017
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Cavaliers65%109120
20Kings35%103108
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 32.0
42
34
16
2
15
1
1
1
5
0
2
3-3
100%
5-8
7-13
63%
57%
1-4
25%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.8
35
33
26
4
5
1
1
0
3
1
3
4-4
100%
8-15
6-12
53%
50%
2-7
29%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 28.4
31
31
15
17
1
0
1
0
2
5
12
2-2
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
48%
1-6
17%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 26.6
26
25
16
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
4-6
67%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.8
26
30
9
4
0
2
1
2
0
1
3
3-6
50%
3-5
3-5
60%
57%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 35.8
25
20
18
5
2
2
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
48%
4-6
67%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 36.6
21
15
8
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
3-5
60%
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
1-2
50%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 33.7
19
17
10
0
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
2-5
40%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 28.8
13
19
0
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 21.8
1
10
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.8
1
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.3
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.3
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.4
39
31
26
7
11
1
1
0
6
0
7
7-9
78%
8-11
6-13
73%
48%
1-5
20%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.4
35
31
23
10
2
0
1
4
2
5
5
4-5
80%
5-11
5-9
45%
49%
3-3
100%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 30.7
35
31
5
2
1
3
1
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
1-3
33%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.6
34
28
7
7
0
2
0
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
53%
1-4
25%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.4
22
29
13
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
51%
2-4
50%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 29.2
26
24
17
4
4
0
1
0
3
0
4
3-4
75%
7-9
3-6
78%
47%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 36.8
18
23
8
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-4
1-3
100%
48%
0-4
0%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.2
17
16
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.9
6
18
2
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
54%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.6
6
12
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 23.9
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.4
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Malachi Richardson
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 20.8
Georgios Papagiannis
C · 7'1" 240 · 19.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.