Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Warriors	78%	112	102	105.2	97	105.5
	23	Heat	22%	101	105	108.2	97	89.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Draymond Green F · 6'6" 230 · 27	38.5	7	35%	3	7	1	1	2	3	1	2	1-4	25%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Klay Thompson G · 6'5" 220 · 27	37.1	22	55%	5	1	2	1	2	4	0	5	3-4	75%	5-10	50%	3-8	38%
Stephen Curry G · 6'2" 185 · 29	36.5	21	50%	9	8	0	1	4	2	0	9	4-5	80%	4-10	40%	3-9	33%
Kevin Durant F · 6'11" 240 · 28	36.4	27	56%	6	3	1	0	2	2	0	6	2-2	100%	11-15	73%	1-8	13%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 33	27.0	6	38%	10	2	2	0	1	3	4	6	2-4	50%	2-6	33%	0-0	-

Shaun Livingston G · 6'7" 192 · 31	20.8	4	50%	5	5	1	1	3	4	1	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Patrick McCaw G · 6'7" 185 · 21	17.7	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 29	14.2	10	83%	5	1	1	0	0	2	1	4	0-1	0%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Ian Clark G · 6'3" 175 · 26	11.8	2	50%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Kevon Looney F · 6'9" 222 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Michael McAdoo · 6'9" 230 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Damian Jones C · 7'0" 245 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Anderson Varejao F · 6'11" 260 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Andre Iguodala #9 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
David West #3 · F · 6'9" 250 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	52%	43	27	9	4	14	0	7	36	12-20	60%	33-58	57%	8-30	27%

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1 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Draymond Green F · 6'6" 230 · 27	38.5	7	35%	3	7	1	1	2	3	1	2	1-4	25%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Klay Thompson G · 6'5" 220 · 27	37.1	22	55%	5	1	2	1	2	4	0	5	3-4	75%	5-10	50%	3-8	38%
Stephen Curry G · 6'2" 185 · 29	36.5	21	50%	9	8	0	1	4	2	0	9	4-5	80%	4-10	40%	3-9	33%
Kevin Durant F · 6'11" 240 · 28	36.4	27	56%	6	3	1	0	2	2	0	6	2-2	100%	11-15	73%	1-8	13%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 33	27.0	6	38%	10	2	2	0	1	3	4	6	2-4	50%	2-6	33%	0-0	-

Shaun Livingston G · 6'7" 192 · 31	20.8	4	50%	5	5	1	1	3	4	1	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Patrick McCaw G · 6'7" 185 · 21	17.7	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 29	14.2	10	83%	5	1	1	0	0	2	1	4	0-1	0%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Ian Clark G · 6'3" 175 · 26	11.8	2	50%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Kevon Looney F · 6'9" 222 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Michael McAdoo · 6'9" 230 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Damian Jones C · 7'0" 245 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Anderson Varejao F · 6'11" 260 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Andre Iguodala #9 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
David West #3 · F · 6'9" 250 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	52%	43	27	9	4	14	0	7	36	12-20	60%	33-58	57%	8-30	27%

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23 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 31	35.5	19	48%	4	5	1	0	4	1	2	2	8-13	62%	4-9	44%	1-5	20%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 28	35.5	10	36%	15	0	2	1	3	5	4	11	2-5	40%	4-13	31%	0-0	-
Dion Waiters G · 6'4" 215 · 25	33.0	33	83%	5	4	1	0	3	1	1	4	1-1	100%	7-12	58%	6-8	75%
Rodney McGruder F · 6'4" 200 · 25	28.3	3	21%	3	2	0	0	1	1	0	3	1-4	25%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 28	26.0	11	92%	6	1	1	0	0	3	1	5	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	3-4	75%

Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 29	32.8	9	38%	2	3	4	0	1	2	0	2	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	2-8	25%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	27.2	9	56%	2	4	0	2	1	4	1	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Okaro White F · 6'8" 215 · 24	10.9	5	83%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 27	10.8	6	60%	7	1	0	1	0	2	1	6	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 25	\| DND - Strained Left Shoulder
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 23	\| DND - Left Foot Sprain
Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Justise Winslow #20 · F · 6'7" 225 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Josh McRoberts #4 · · 6'10" 240 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	53%	45	20	9	4	13	0	11	34	16-27	59%	25-56	45%	13-30	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.03 51.5%

MIA

1.06 53.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

19

29

66%

MIA

15

24

63%

Midrange

GSW

14

29

48%

MIA

10

32

31%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

8

12.0

30

27%

40%

MIA

13

19.5

30

43%

65%

Free Throws

GSW

12

20

60%

MIA

16

27

59%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Durant	27	56%	13.5 / 24
K. Thompson	22	55%	11.0 / 20
S. Curry	21	50%	10.5 / 21
J. McGee	10	83%	5.0 / 6
D. Green	7	35%	3.5 / 10
Z. Pachulia	6	38%	3.0 / 8
S. Livingston	4	50%	2.0 / 4
P. McCaw	3	75%	1.5 / 2
I. Clark	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Waiters	33	83%	16.5 / 20
G. Dragic	19	48%	9.5 / 20
L. Babbitt	11	92%	5.5 / 6
H. Whiteside	10	36%	5.0 / 14
W. Ellington	9	38%	4.5 / 12
J. Johnson	9	56%	4.5 / 8
W. Reed	6	60%	3.0 / 5
O. White	5	83%	2.5 / 3
R. McGruder	3	21%	1.5 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 115.5 18 108.1	GSW 105.2 MIA 108.2 +3.1
Pace	3 99.9 21 95.0	GSW 105.5 +15.7 MIA 89.8
Avg. Poss. Time	27 14.1 5 15.7	GSW 13.6 −2.4 MIA 16.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 56.3% 15 51.2%	GSW 51.1% MIA 51.7% +0.6%
TO %	21 14.4% 8 13.2%	GSW 12.6% −0.7% MIA 13.3%
ORB %	18 22.8% 11 24.2%	GSW 17.1% MIA 23.4% +6.3%
FTrt	20 25.9 26 25.1	GSW 22.7 MIA 31.4 +8.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 70.5% 24 54.4%	GSW 65.9% +13.3% MIA 52.6%
STL %	1 9.6% 21 7.5%	GSW 9.3% MIA 9.3%
BLK %	1 11.0% 6 9.3%	GSW 7.1% +0.2% MIA 6.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 58.4% 20 52.8%	GSW 51.5% MIA 53.0% +1.5%
Rim FG%	1 65.2% 12 59.2%	GSW 65.5% +3.0% MIA 62.5%
Mid FG%	1 44.7% 26 39.4%	GSW 48.3% +17.0% MIA 31.3%
3P %	3 38.3% 12 36.5%	GSW 26.7% MIA 43.3% +16.6%
FT %	11 78.8% 30 70.6%	GSW 60.0% +0.7% MIA 59.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 34.5% 15 35.4%	GSW 33.0% +5.0% MIA 27.9%
Mid Att. %	9 29.6% 15 33.1%	GSW 33.0% −4.3% MIA 37.2%
3P Att. %	6 35.9% 14 31.4%	GSW 34.1% MIA 34.9% +0.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.01 and 3.01.

Game Totals	GSW	MIA
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	22.1	25.9
Points	102	105
Rebounds	43	45
Assists	27	20
Steals	9	9
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	13 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (8)	11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (2)	34 (2)
Field Goals	41-88	38-86
At-the-Rim FG	19-29	15-24
Midrange FG	14-29	10-32
2-Point FG	33-58	25-56
3-Point FG	8-30	13-30
Free Throws	12-20	16-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg