Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, January 23, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Hornets | 56% | 106 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 30 | Nets | 17% | 100 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 23 | Heat | 22% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Pistons | 60% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Bucks | 38% | 108 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Pelicans | 27% | 103 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Knicks | 39% | 104 | 109 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Thunder | 34% | 98 | 97 |
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Sunday, January 22, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Lakers | 36% | 103 | 73 |
 | 18 | Mavericks | 64% | 108 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Raptors | 78% | 113 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Timberwolves | 53% | 111 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 86% | 116 | 118 |
 | 25 | Magic | 14% | 101 | 98 |
Saturday, January 21, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 5 | Celtics | 74% | 114 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wizards | 55% | 104 | 112 |
| 25 | Pistons | 45% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 24% | 103 | 105 |
| 11 | Hornets | 76% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 19 | Hawks | 63% | 102 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 39% | 107 | 107 |
| 20 | Knicks | 61% | 111 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 45% | 103 | 97 |
| 21 | Heat | 55% | 104 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 49% | 106 | 119 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 51% | 105 | 118 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 49% | 104 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 55% | 110 | 98 |
| 16 | Nuggets | 45% | 109 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 31% | 95 | 100 |
| 6 | Jazz | 69% | 102 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 37% | 100 | 99 |
 | 18 | Bulls | 63% | 104 | 102 |
Friday, January 20, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 52% | 105 | 92 |
| 25 | 76ers | 48% | 104 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 48% | 106 | 78 |
| 10 | Hornets | 52% | 107 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 54% | 106 | 96 |
| 26 | Magic | 46% | 105 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 30% | 99 | 91 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 70% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 29% | 104 | 143 |
| 19 | Pelicans | 71% | 111 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 60% | 115 | 125 |
| 3 | Rockets | 40% | 112 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 47% | 100 | 93 |
| 20 | Hawks | 53% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 63% | 100 | 112 |
| 18 | Mavericks | 37% | 95 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 62% | 111 | 95 |
| 29 | Lakers | 38% | 106 | 108 |
Thursday, January 19, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 19% | 102 | 103 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 81% | 114 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Mavericks | 48% | 101 | 95 |
| 23 | Heat | 52% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 51% | 108 | 113 |
| 22 | Knicks | 49% | 107 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 23% | 102 | 104 |
| 2 | Spurs | 77% | 113 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 33% | 103 | 104 |
| 7 | Clippers | 67% | 109 | 101 |
Wednesday, January 18, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Raptors | 56% | 106 | 89 |
| 26 | 76ers | 44% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 54% | 103 | 101 |
| 15 | Wizards | 46% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 106 | 85 |
| 9 | Hornets | 61% | 110 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 27% | 104 | 117 |
| 5 | Celtics | 73% | 113 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 42% | 103 | 98 |
| 22 | Pelicans | 58% | 106 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 30% | 107 | 92 |
| 3 | Rockets | 70% | 114 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 55% | 102 | 95 |
| 27 | Pistons | 45% | 100 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 15% | 102 | 100 |
| 1 | Warriors | 85% | 117 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 49% | 104 | 106 |
| 21 | Kings | 51% | 105 | 100 |
Tuesday, January 17, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 76% | 114 | 119 |
| 30 | Nets | 24% | 104 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 68% | 111 | 103 |
| 25 | Heat | 32% | 105 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Mavericks | 44% | 100 | 99 |
| 18 | Bulls | 56% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 21% | 97 | 114 |
| 2 | Spurs | 79% | 108 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 55% | 115 | 127 |
| 29 | Lakers | 45% | 113 | 121 |
Monday, January 16, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 56% | 105 | 108 |
| 25 | Knicks | 44% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 107 | 101 |
| 15 | Wizards | 55% | 109 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 76ers | 35% | 100 | 113 |
| 14 | Bucks | 65% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 45% | 103 | 95 |
| 18 | Pacers | 55% | 105 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 41% | 109 | 112 |
| 16 | Nuggets | 59% | 112 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 35% | 104 | 98 |
| 6 | Celtics | 65% | 109 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 28% | 107 | 91 |
| 1 | Warriors | 72% | 115 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 69% | 105 | 106 |
| 27 | Suns | 31% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 33% | 103 | 98 |
| 5 | Clippers | 67% | 109 | 120 |
Sunday, January 15, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 44% | 103 | 87 |
| 20 | Mavericks | 56% | 105 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 23% | 103 | 101 |
| 6 | Raptors | 77% | 113 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 45% | 102 | 98 |
| 15 | Hawks | 55% | 104 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 82% | 118 | 137 |
| 30 | Nets | 18% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 55% | 106 | 122 |
| 19 | Kings | 45% | 104 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 28% | 96 | 108 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 72% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 57% | 107 | 102 |
| 29 | Lakers | 43% | 105 | 97 |
Saturday, January 14, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Lakers | 19% | 102 | 97 |
| 6 | Clippers | 81% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 46% | 102 | 99 |
| 22 | Bulls | 54% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 79% | 110 | 105 |
| 28 | Suns | 21% | 99 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 29% | 99 | 93 |
| 11 | Wizards | 71% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 24% | 94 | 107 |
| 5 | Jazz | 76% | 104 | 114 |
Friday, January 13, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 55% | 103 | 93 |
| 24 | 76ers | 45% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 14% | 102 | 113 |
| 6 | Raptors | 86% | 117 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Heat | 40% | 101 | 108 |
| 18 | Bucks | 60% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 34% | 105 | 110 |
| 4 | Rockets | 66% | 111 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Thunder | 54% | 106 | 86 |
| 16 | Timberwolves | 46% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 55% | 105 | 103 |
| 14 | Hawks | 45% | 103 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 35% | 105 | 115 |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 65% | 111 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 65% | 109 | 120 |
| 20 | Kings | 35% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 20% | 93 | 77 |
| 5 | Jazz | 80% | 104 | 110 |
Thursday, January 12, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 51% | 109 | 112 |
| 21 | Nuggets | 49% | 108 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pelicans | 55% | 109 | 104 |
| 30 | Nets | 45% | 107 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 49% | 103 | 89 |
| 25 | Knicks | 51% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 14% | 98 | 94 |
| 2 | Spurs | 86% | 113 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Mavericks | 54% | 105 | 113 |
| 26 | Suns | 46% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pistons | 14% | 101 | 107 |
| 1 | Warriors | 86% | 115 | 127 |
Wednesday, January 11, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 47% | 103 | 97 |
| 24 | 76ers | 53% | 104 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 45% | 102 | 95 |
| 10 | Thunder | 55% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 58% | 110 | 105 |
| 14 | Timberwolves | 42% | 107 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wizards | 31% | 103 | 108 |
| 5 | Celtics | 69% | 110 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 28% | 101 | 96 |
| 8 | Clippers | 72% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 60% | 112 | 86 |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 108 | 102 |
Tuesday, January 10, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 26% | 98 | 99 |
| 11 | Wizards | 74% | 107 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 43% | 106 | 106 |
| 6 | Raptors | 57% | 109 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 65% | 109 | 117 |
| 30 | Nets | 35% | 103 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 26% | 105 | 114 |
| 3 | Rockets | 74% | 114 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 21% | 97 | 109 |
| 2 | Spurs | 79% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 51% | 103 | 92 |
| 7 | Jazz | 49% | 102 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 113 | 108 |
| 26 | Lakers | 44% | 111 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Heat | 8% | 96 | 95 |
| 1 | Warriors | 92% | 115 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pistons | 49% | 104 | 94 |
| 19 | Kings | 51% | 105 | 100 |