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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 8, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Nuggets46%108106
21Hawks54%109117
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.8
36
33
24
8
2
2
1
0
3
3
5
2-5
40%
5-10
4-8
50%
49%
4-7
57%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.0
34
25
18
15
3
0
1
0
0
9
6
0-0
-
6-14
6-10
43%
59%
2-3
67%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.4
34
30
13
1
3
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-3
67%
4-6
4-7
67%
51%
1-8
13%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 35.0
31
26
6
1
8
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
2-5
40%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.2
10
16
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
3-5
0%
54%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26.1
38
26
17
7
7
3
1
2
1
3
4
5-7
71%
6-10
3-6
60%
48%
0-9
0%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 20.0
22
21
11
5
0
0
1
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
1-5
20%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.9
21
18
10
4
1
0
1
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
45%
2-4
50%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.4
14
14
6
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
1-3
33%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 23.7
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.2
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.5
11
0
2-4
48%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37.0
3
0
0-0
44%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.9
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 32.0
38
31
23
6
5
0
1
1
0
1
5
3-3
100%
7-10
5-9
70%
51%
2-5
40%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 24.9
38
28
14
2
6
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
53%
2-7
29%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 23.4
35
27
24
5
10
3
1
0
3
1
4
4-4
100%
10-15
5-10
67%
51%
0-4
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.2
25
26
11
13
1
0
1
0
1
5
8
1-2
50%
5-9
4-7
56%
63%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 27.6
21
27
14
2
2
2
1
1
4
1
1
3-4
75%
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
3-4
75%
Malcolm Delaney
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.9
25
18
4
5
4
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 25.6
20
19
10
6
0
0
0
1
1
1
5
4-5
80%
3-5
2-3
60%
57%
0-2
0%
DeAndre' Bembry
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 22.6
17
18
10
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
53%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.0
13
7
7
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 36.4
8
16
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-1
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 28.6
9
0
1-2
54%
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.9
5
0
0-1
52%
Lamar Patterson
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 25.5
5
0
0-1
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 32.1
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.