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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 8, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Heat42%102106
18Bucks58%10588
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.5
36
28
10
6
3
1
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
47%
2-8
25%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.8
34
31
16
4
7
2
1
0
5
2
2
2-3
67%
7-11
5-10
64%
52%
0-2
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.7
34
30
23
16
0
0
1
1
3
3
13
3-6
50%
10-12
7-12
83%
58%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.2
28
18
17
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
5-8
63%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.6
20
16
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-5
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.0
30
24
20
4
4
2
1
2
3
1
3
4-5
80%
5-7
3-6
71%
55%
2-5
40%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.8
27
25
8
4
6
0
1
2
0
1
3
2-2
100%
3-9
3-7
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Okaro White
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.5
17
12
7
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.7
14
14
5
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
56%
1-1
100%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.2
30
1
4-10
45%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.4
10
0
1-2
47%
Marcus Georges-Hunt
G · 6'5" 226 · 22.9
5
0
0-1
46%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.7
4
0
0-1
47%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.9
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.9
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 22.2
36
34
22
8
1
2
1
1
4
2
6
2-2
100%
7-12
7-13
58%
56%
2-3
67%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 25.2
34
23
6
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
2-4
50%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 26.1
26
20
5
5
0
3
0
2
2
0
5
3-5
60%
1-3
3-6
33%
54%
0-0
-
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.9
20
31
14
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-3
67%
6-10
6-11
60%
53%
0-1
0%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 26.4
15
25
5
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
1-2
50%
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
33
25
6
2
6
3
1
0
1
1
1
2-4
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 26.7
22
19
6
7
2
0
1
0
0
2
5
2-3
67%
2-5
4-7
40%
53%
0-0
-
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 25.5
15
32
5
2
2
0
2
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
4-9
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 39.4
14
18
5
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-2
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 31.4
13
14
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
1-3
33%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.1
12
11
11
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
3-7
43%
4-6
2-4
67%
52%
0-0
-
Thon Maker
C-F · 7'1" 223 · 20.0
8
0
1-2
53%
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 20.5
6
0
0-1
41%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 30.2
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 28.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.