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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 8, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Clippers54%110119
22Knicks46%108115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.5
36.2
34.2
7
34%
4
10
1
1
0
5
0
4
0-1
0%
2-7
4-8
29%
49%
1-3
33%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 27.9
35.6
34.2
32
57%
8
5
2
1
0
0
3
5
8-11
73%
9-20
8-16
45%
52%
2-3
67%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.6
31.1
26.6
28
78%
15
0
0
1
2
1
5
10
4-9
44%
12-14
4-6
86%
69%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 32.6
27.5
32.1
14
51%
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
4-4
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
50%
2-6
33%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.4
26.2
12.6
2
33%
2
0
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 36.9
29.6
29.2
20
75%
3
2
1
1
0
2
2
1
3-3
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
46%
3-4
75%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 32.6
20.9
29.6
3
25%
5
3
0
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
0-5
3-7
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 29.5
10.0
18.0
5
50%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
1-4
25%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.6
8.7
8.6
4
67%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 31.8
8.1
7.1
4
67%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
54%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 34.3
6.1
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 39.3
4.0
0
0-0
46%
Diamond Stone
C · 6'11" 255 · 20.0
Brice Johnson
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.6
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.3
37.4
29.2
20
63%
7
8
1
1
0
3
2
5
0-0
-
10-15
6-13
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.7
37.3
33.3
28
62%
9
1
1
1
2
1
2
7
5-6
83%
7-13
7-14
54%
48%
3-7
43%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.4
32.0
27.0
4
50%
1
6
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 21.5
27.4
27.5
27
65%
6
2
2
1
0
1
4
2
3-4
75%
6-12
4-8
50%
48%
4-7
57%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 26.9
25.4
13.8
18
65%
6
2
3
0
2
1
2
4
2-2
100%
8-13
3-5
62%
52%
0-0
-
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 27.8
23.5
21.4
5
42%
3
0
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
1-5
20%
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 22.7
20.0
24.9
5
44%
9
4
0
1
0
1
2
7
5-6
83%
0-3
4-8
0%
54%
0-0
-
Mindaugas Kuzminskas
· 6'9" 215 · 27.3
19.8
17.7
4
25%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-5
0%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 27.4
16.9
32.0
4
67%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Marshall Plumlee
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.6
0.4
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Ron Baker
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.9
5.2
0
0-1
46%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 32.9
5.0
0
0-1
40%
Maurice Ndour
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.6
2.6
0
0-1
50%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.8
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.