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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 11, 2017
3:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2976ers17%100100
3Clippers83%113112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 22.9
34.9
32.2
16
45%
5
2
0
1
1
4
2
3
2-2
100%
4-12
5-10
33%
48%
2-5
40%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 21.8
33.2
17.8
9
51%
5
1
1
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
1-5
20%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.2
31.1
32.0
13
69%
6
0
3
2
0
1
2
4
1-1
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
46%
2-5
40%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.0
30.0
26.2
9
50%
1
10
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
1-4
25%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 21.2
21.0
18.3
14
64%
4
4
3
0
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
6-10
4-8
60%
51%
0-0
-
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.4
27.9
25.4
9
40%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-3
33%
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
2-6
33%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.4
27.0
21.1
24
76%
9
0
0
1
0
1
0
9
2-4
50%
8-11
3-6
73%
55%
2-3
67%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 30.7
17.8
20.4
4
40%
2
8
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
41%
0-2
0%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.3
17.2
15.3
2
50%
6
0
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 29.3
19.4
0
2-5
46%
Shawn Long
F · 6'9" 255 · 24.1
7.4
0
1-2
46%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.5
5.0
0
0-1
47%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 32.2
4.5
0
1-1
51%
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 20.6
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.0
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.6
36.0
31.4
19
83%
20
4
1
1
3
0
5
15
7-10
70%
6-7
5-7
86%
70%
0-0
-
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 28.0
35.2
32.9
15
53%
10
6
3
1
0
4
3
7
5-5
100%
5-10
7-13
50%
53%
0-2
0%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.8
34.2
29.2
30
84%
3
7
2
2
0
3
0
3
4-4
100%
7-12
4-8
58%
53%
4-4
100%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 32.7
29.0
22.2
12
51%
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
2-8
25%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.5
12.1
16.9
2
100%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 37.0
31.1
24.3
8
27%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
2-9
3-6
22%
47%
0-4
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 32.7
22.0
19.4
6
50%
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.6
19.4
28.2
6
31%
2
3
2
1
0
3
0
2
2-4
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
0-3
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 29.6
12.0
15.6
11
92%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-4
2-3
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.7
8.9
10.1
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
1-1
100%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 31.9
5.5
0
1-2
55%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 39.4
3.1
0
0-0
47%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 34.4
2.1
0
0-0
48%
Brice Johnson
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.7
Diamond Stone
C · 6'11" 255 · 20.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.