Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, March 11, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 17 | Thunder | 45% | 101 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Knicks | 38% | 104 | 92 |
 | 22 | Pistons | 62% | 108 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Pelicans | 42% | 102 | 125 |
 | 11 | Hornets | 58% | 104 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 27 | Magic | 29% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Timberwolves | 43% | 102 | 95 |
 | 13 | Bucks | 57% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Raptors | 36% | 100 | 89 |
 | 12 | Heat | 64% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Mavericks | 64% | 107 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, March 10, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 29% | 100 | 81 |
| 10 | Hornets | 71% | 108 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 23 | Bulls | 32% | 106 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 13 | Bucks | 57% | 105 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 67% | 110 | 102 |
| 14 | Timberwolves | 33% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 43% | 101 | 99 |
| 15 | Hawks | 57% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Celtics | 51% | 113 | 99 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 49% | 112 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Nets | 31% | 102 | 96 |
| 17 | Mavericks | 69% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wizards | 67% | 108 | 130 |
| 28 | Kings | 33% | 102 | 122 |
Thursday, March 9, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 56% | 108 | 101 |
| 22 | Pistons | 44% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 45% | 104 | 114 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 55% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 63% | 107 | 92 |
| 18 | Thunder | 37% | 102 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 32% | 104 | 108 |
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 68% | 110 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Lakers | 33% | 106 | 122 |
| 25 | Suns | 67% | 112 | 110 |
Wednesday, March 8, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 55% | 103 | 91 |
| 27 | Magic | 45% | 101 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 32% | 103 | 105 |
| 14 | Hawks | 68% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hornets | 46% | 102 | 101 |
| 11 | Heat | 54% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 35% | 104 | 93 |
| 12 | Bucks | 65% | 109 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 43% | 103 | 94 |
| 15 | Pelicans | 57% | 105 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jazz | 32% | 104 | 115 |
| 2 | Rockets | 68% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 59% | 107 | 91 |
| 13 | Timberwolves | 41% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 44% | 102 | 98 |
| 17 | Pacers | 56% | 104 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 19% | 93 | 104 |
| 5 | Spurs | 81% | 105 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wizards | 49% | 111 | 123 |
| 22 | Nuggets | 51% | 112 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 26% | 105 | 99 |
| 1 | Warriors | 74% | 113 | 86 |
Tuesday, March 7, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 42% | 107 | 126 |
| 19 | Thunder | 58% | 110 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Lakers | 25% | 97 | 111 |
| 17 | Mavericks | 75% | 106 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wizards | 60% | 110 | 131 |
| 25 | Suns | 40% | 106 | 127 |
Monday, March 6, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 63% | 107 | 112 |
| 29 | 76ers | 37% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 46% | 103 | 113 |
| 26 | Magic | 54% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 42% | 104 | 106 |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 58% | 107 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 67% | 109 | 119 |
| 15 | Hawks | 33% | 103 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 44% | 101 | 95 |
| 21 | Pistons | 56% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | 23% | 101 | 122 |
| 5 | Grizzlies | 77% | 111 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 37% | 102 | 88 |
| 10 | Hornets | 63% | 106 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 38% | 107 | 110 |
| 1 | Spurs | 62% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 30% | 106 | 96 |
| 23 | Nuggets | 70% | 113 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pelicans | 35% | 97 | 83 |
| 6 | Jazz | 65% | 102 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 29% | 104 | 102 |
| 4 | Clippers | 71% | 112 | 116 |
Sunday, March 5, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 46% | 101 | 97 |
| 16 | Hawks | 54% | 103 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 78% | 114 | 112 |
| 24 | Knicks | 22% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 61% | 110 | 106 |
| 25 | Suns | 39% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 26% | 101 | 114 |
| 7 | Wizards | 74% | 110 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 73% | 103 | 110 |
| 28 | Kings | 27% | 95 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Thunder | 45% | 101 | 89 |
| 19 | Mavericks | 55% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pelicans | 69% | 109 | 105 |
| 30 | Lakers | 31% | 102 | 97 |
Saturday, March 4, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 63% | 105 | 136 |
| 28 | 76ers | 37% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 44% | 103 | 94 |
| 16 | Bucks | 56% | 105 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 52% | 107 | 92 |
| 12 | Heat | 48% | 106 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 58% | 107 | 101 |
| 19 | Bulls | 42% | 104 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 45% | 110 | 112 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 55% | 112 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Grizzlies | 25% | 106 | 108 |
| 3 | Rockets | 75% | 115 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | 24% | 97 | 90 |
| 1 | Spurs | 76% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 30% | 105 | 116 |
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 70% | 112 | 130 |
Friday, March 3, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 52% | 107 | 102 |
| 28 | 76ers | 48% | 106 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 38% | 103 | 114 |
| 9 | Wizards | 62% | 107 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 62% | 105 | 99 |
| 27 | Magic | 38% | 100 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 55% | 106 | 135 |
| 16 | Hawks | 45% | 104 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 63% | 109 | 101 |
| 15 | Bucks | 37% | 104 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 59% | 100 | 100 |
| 23 | Mavericks | 41% | 97 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 22% | 96 | 97 |
| 6 | Jazz | 78% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Thunder | 55% | 109 | 111 |
| 25 | Suns | 45% | 108 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 69% | 105 | 101 |
| 20 | Pelicans | 31% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 74% | 112 | 115 |
| 30 | Lakers | 26% | 103 | 95 |
Thursday, March 2, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 69% | 110 | 87 |
| 18 | Bulls | 31% | 103 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 61% | 109 | 103 |
| 25 | Suns | 39% | 105 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Thunder | 49% | 108 | 109 |
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 109 | 114 |
Wednesday, March 1, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 49% | 107 | 101 |
| 27 | Magic | 51% | 108 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wizards | 48% | 105 | 105 |
| 16 | Raptors | 52% | 106 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 42% | 96 | 95 |
| 20 | Hawks | 58% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 31% | 99 | 98 |
| 12 | Heat | 69% | 106 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 44% | 110 | 110 |
| 15 | Bucks | 56% | 112 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 39% | 102 | 86 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 61% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 44% | 108 | 99 |
| 8 | Celtics | 56% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 21% | 95 | 99 |
| 1 | Spurs | 79% | 106 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Timberwolves | 31% | 96 | 107 |
| 5 | Jazz | 69% | 103 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 46% | 113 | 122 |
| 4 | Clippers | 54% | 115 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 44% | 104 | 109 |
| 28 | Kings | 56% | 107 | 100 |
Tuesday, February 28, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 64% | 113 | 108 |
| 9 | Wizards | 36% | 108 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 104 | 113 |
| 20 | Pistons | 59% | 108 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 43% | 109 | 125 |
| 12 | Bulls | 57% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Suns | 25% | 100 | 112 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 75% | 109 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 61% | 104 | 106 |
| 16 | Thunder | 39% | 100 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hornets | 71% | 109 | 109 |
| 30 | Lakers | 29% | 101 | 104 |
Monday, February 27, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 54% | 107 | 92 |
| 26 | Knicks | 46% | 106 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 83% | 114 | 119 |
| 25 | 76ers | 17% | 101 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 31% | 104 | 95 |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 69% | 111 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 36% | 101 | 114 |
| 6 | Celtics | 64% | 107 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 49% | 99 | 89 |
| 20 | Mavericks | 51% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 21% | 106 | 117 |
| 3 | Rockets | 79% | 117 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | 59% | 106 | 102 |
| 28 | Kings | 41% | 102 | 88 |
Sunday, February 26, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 85% | 110 | 119 |
| 30 | Lakers | 15% | 96 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Suns | 35% | 105 | 96 |
| 19 | Bucks | 65% | 110 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 51% | 109 | 105 |
| 13 | Nuggets | 49% | 108 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jazz | 49% | 102 | 102 |
| 6 | Wizards | 51% | 103 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 104 | 106 |
| 16 | Raptors | 60% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 54% | 106 | 104 |
| 20 | Pistons | 46% | 104 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pelicans | 42% | 104 | 110 |
| 18 | Thunder | 58% | 107 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 29% | 103 | 121 |
| 5 | Clippers | 71% | 111 | 124 |