Final Win Prob. pScore
2036%100
89
1264%105
104
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo Raptors
97.89194.7
MIA logo Heat
114.39187.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA89
104
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
104
Q4 - 0:16.0TORMISS VanVleet 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
104
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)89
104
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)89
104
Q4 - 0:46.0TORMISS Powell 18' Jump Shot89
104
Q4 - 1:02MIAWaiters 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)89
104
Q4 - 1:12MIA89
101
Q4 - 1:21MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
101
Q4 - 1:22TORMISS Siakam 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
101
Q4 - 1:43TORSiakam REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
101
Q4 - 1:44MIAMISS McGruder Free Throw 2 of 289
101
Q4 - 1:44MIAHEAT Rebound89
101
Q4 - 1:44MIAMISS McGruder Free Throw 1 of 289
101
Q4 - 1:44TORPowell P.FOUL (P4.PN) (K.Fitzgerald)89
101
Q4 - 1:50TORPowell 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)89
101
Q4 - 2:00MIAJohnson 3' Driving Layup (16 PTS)87
101
Q4 - 2:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)87
99
Q4 - 2:21TORMISS VanVleet 8' Floating Jump Shot87
99
Q4 - 2:29MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)87
99
Q4 - 2:39TORWright 1' Cutting Layup Shot (13 PTS) (Siakam 1 AST)87
99
Q4 - 2:43TORSiakam REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
99
Q4 - 2:44MIAMISS Johnson 3' Reverse Layup85
99
Q4 - 2:49MIAHEAT Rebound85
99
Q4 - 2:50MIAMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
99
Q4 - 3:19TORPoeltl 1' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (VanVleet 1 AST)85
99
Q4 - 3:32MIAJohnson 11' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)83
99
Q4 - 3:51MIAHEAT Rebound83
97
Q4 - 3:53MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 283
97
Q4 - 3:53MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)83
97
Q4 - 3:53TORPowell P.FOUL (P3.PN) (K.Fitzgerald)83
96
Q4 - 3:57TORPowell Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)83
96
Q4 - 3:57TORPowell Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)82
96
Q4 - 3:57MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P3.PN) (S.Wall)81
96
Q4 - 4:08MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)81
96
Q4 - 4:08MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)81
95
Q4 - 4:08TORPoeltl Personal Take Foul (P3.PN) (S.Wall)81
94
Q4 - 4:09MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)81
94
Q4 - 4:09TORSiakam Personal Block Foul (P1.T4) (K.Fitzgerald)81
94
Q4 - 4:18MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
94
Q4 - 4:19TORMISS Powell Free Throw 2 of 281
94
Q4 - 4:19TORRaptors Rebound81
94
Q4 - 4:19TORMISS Powell Free Throw 1 of 281
94
Q4 - 4:19MIAWaiters P.FOUL (P1.PN) (G.Petraitis)81
94
Q4 - 4:28MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)81
94
Q4 - 4:28MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)81
93
Q4 - 4:28TORPoeltl S.FOUL (P2.T3) (G.Petraitis)81
92
Q4 - 4:42MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)81
92
Q4 - 4:43TORMISS Poeltl 6' Jump Bank Shot81
92
Q4 - 4:55MIAWaiters Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P5.T10)81
92
Q4 - 5:11TORPowell Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)81
92
Q4 - 5:11TORPowell Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)80
92
Q4 - 5:11MIAJohnson Shooting Block Foul (P3.T4) (G.Petraitis)79
92
Q4 - 5:18TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)79
92
Q4 - 5:19MIAMISS Johnson 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot79
92
Q4 - 5:41TORVanVleet Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)79
92
Q4 - 5:41MIASUB: Johnson FOR Ellington78
92
Q4 - 5:41MIASUB: Johnson FOR Richardson78
92
Q4 - 5:41MIASUB: McGruder FOR Reed78
92
Q4 - 5:41MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Babbitt78
92
Q4 - 5:41TORVanVleet Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)78
92
Q4 - 5:41MIARichardson S.FOUL (P2.T3) (S.Wall)77
92
Q4 - 5:45MIAWaiters Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T9)77
92
Q4 - 5:59MIAReed Violation:Defensive Goaltending (G.Petraitis)77
92
Q4 - 5:59TORSiakam 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)77
92
Q4 - 6:16TORSiakam REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
92
Q4 - 6:17TORWaiters BLOCK (1 BLK)75
92
Q4 - 6:21TORSiakam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
92
Q4 - 6:22MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
92
Q4 - 6:49TORPowell 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)75
92
Q4 - 6:59TORVanVleet REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
92
Q4 - 7:00TORMISS Poeltl 12' Jump Shot73
92
Q4 - 7:10TORRaptors Rebound73
92
Q4 - 7:11TORReed BLOCK (2 BLK)73
92
Q4 - 7:21MIAEllington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)73
92
Q4 - 7:28MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)73
92
Q4 - 7:28TORPoeltl 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS)73
92
Q4 - 7:29TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)71
92
Q4 - 7:30TORMISS VanVleet 1' Driving Layup71
92
Q4 - 7:48TORSiakam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
92
Q4 - 7:49MIAMISS Waiters 19' Jump Shot71
92
Q4 - 8:11TORSiakam 3' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)71
92
Q4 - 8:35MIAEllington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Waiters 5 AST)69
92
Q4 - 8:43MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
89
Q4 - 8:44TORMISS Powell 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
89
Q4 - 8:59MIAWaiters Free Throw 3 of 3 (17 PTS)69
89
Q4 - 8:59MIAHEAT Rebound69
88
Q4 - 8:59MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 2 of 369
88
Q4 - 8:59MIAHEAT Rebound69
88
Q4 - 8:59MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 1 of 369
88
Q4 - 8:59TORSUB: Siakam FOR Tucker69
88
Q4 - 8:5969
88
Q4 - 8:59TORWright S.FOUL (P2.T2) (K.Fitzgerald)69
88
Q4 - 9:20TORPoeltl 2' Layup (2 PTS)69
88
Q4 - 9:23TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)67
88
Q4 - 9:26TORMISS Powell 1' Layup67
88
Q4 - 9:34MIASUB: Waiters FOR Johnson67
88
Q4 - 9:34MIARichardson P.FOUL (P1.T2) (G.Petraitis)67
88
Q4 - 9:39TORTucker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
88
Q4 - 9:40MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
88
Q4 - 9:54MIAHEAT Rebound67
88
Q4 - 9:55TORPatterson Ejection:Second Technical67
88
Q4 - 9:55TORPatterson T.FOUL (P0.T1) (S.Wall)67
88
Q4 - 9:55TORSUB: Powell FOR Patterson67
88
Q4 - 9:55MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw Technical67
88
Q4 - 9:55MIARichardson Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)67
88
Q4 - 9:55TORPatterson T.FOUL (P0.T1) (S.Wall)67
87
Q4 - 9:55MIASUB: Babbitt FOR Johnson67
87
Q4 - 9:55MIAHEAT Rebound67
87
Q4 - 9:56MIAMISS Reed 1' Layup67
87
Q4 - 10:10TORWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)67
87
Q4 - 10:10TORWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)66
87
Q4 - 10:10MIAReed S.FOUL (P1.T1) (S.Wall)65
87
Q4 - 10:13TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)65
87
Q4 - 10:14MIAMISS Johnson 2' Finger Roll Layup65
87
Q4 - 10:20MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
87
Q4 - 10:23TORMISS VanVleet 2' Running Layup65
87
Q4 - 10:28TORVanVleet REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
87
Q4 - 10:29MIAMISS Ellington 27' 3PT Jump Shot65
87
Q4 - 10:50TORPoeltl L.B.FOUL (P1.T1) (G.Petraitis)65
87
Q4 - 10:51MIAHEAT Rebound65
87
Q4 - 10:52TORMISS VanVleet 11' Jump Shot65
87
Q4 - 11:01MIARichardson 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Reed 1 AST)65
87
Q4 - 11:17TORWright 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)65
85
Q4 - 11:30TORTucker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
85
Q4 - 11:31MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
85
Q4 - 11:42MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
85
Q4 - 11:43TORMISS Patterson 17' Jump Shot63
85
Q4 - 12:0063
85
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR63
85
Q3 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound63
85
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMISS VanVleet 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
85
Q3 - 0:04.0TORVanVleet REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
85
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup63
85
Q3 - 0:16.0TOREllington STEAL (1 STL)63
85
Q3 - 0:31.0TORWright Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)63
85
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAJohnson T.FOUL (P2.PN) (G.Petraitis)62
85
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)62
85
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAHEAT Rebound62
84
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 262
84
Q3 - 0:31.0TORVanVleet P.FOUL (P2.PN) (S.Wall)62
84
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
84
Q3 - 0:47.0TORMISS Ibaka 14' Turnaround Jump Shot62
84
Q3 - 1:05MIAJohnson 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)62
84
Q3 - 1:17TORWright P.FOUL (P1.T4) (S.Wall)62
82
Q3 - 1:36TORIbaka Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)62
82
Q3 - 1:36TORSUB: VanVleet FOR Joseph61
82
Q3 - 1:36TORSUB: Tucker FOR DeRozan61
82
Q3 - 1:36MIASUB: Richardson FOR McGruder61
82
Q3 - 1:36MIASUB: Reed FOR Whiteside61
82
Q3 - 1:36TORIbaka Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)61
82
Q3 - 1:36MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P2.PN) (S.Wall)60
82
Q3 - 1:43TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
82
Q3 - 1:44MIAMISS Whiteside 3' Hook Shot60
82
Q3 - 1:47MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)60
82
Q3 - 1:48MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
82
Q3 - 2:09MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)60
82
Q3 - 2:10TORMISS Ibaka 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
82
Q3 - 2:19TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
82
Q3 - 2:20MIAMISS Johnson 18' Step Back Jump Shot60
82
Q3 - 2:35TORWright Driving Dunk (6 PTS)60
82
Q3 - 2:54MIAJohnson Cutting Dunk Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)58
82
Q3 - 3:17TORPatterson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)58
80
Q3 - 3:33MIAJohnson 5' Driving Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)55
80
Q3 - 3:44MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
78
Q3 - 3:45TORJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)55
78
Q3 - 4:07MIAJohnson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)55
78
Q3 - 4:19MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)55
76
Q3 - 4:23TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)55
76
Q3 - 4:23TORSUB: Wright FOR Powell54
76
Q3 - 4:23MIASUB: Ellington FOR Waiters54
76
Q3 - 4:23TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)54
76
Q3 - 4:23MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P1.PN) (G.Petraitis)53
76
Q3 - 4:37MIAWhiteside 4' Hook Shot (10 PTS)53
76
Q3 - 4:58TORPatterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)53
74
Q3 - 4:58TORPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)52
74
Q3 - 4:58MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P2.T4) (S.Wall)51
74
Q3 - 5:06TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
74
Q3 - 5:07MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
74
Q3 - 5:24TOR51
74
Q3 - 5:24TORJoseph P.FOUL (P2.T3) (S.Wall)51
74
Q3 - 5:25MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
74
Q3 - 5:26TORWhiteside BLOCK (4 BLK)51
74
Q3 - 5:45MIAWaiters Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)51
74
Q3 - 6:00TORJoseph 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
74
Q3 - 6:25TORPowell Violation:Defensive Goaltending (K.Fitzgerald)49
74
Q3 - 6:25MIAMcGruder 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)49
74
Q3 - 6:32MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)49
72
Q3 - 6:33TORMISS Powell 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
72
Q3 - 6:42MIAMcGruder Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)49
72
Q3 - 6:49MIAHEAT Rebound49
72
Q3 - 6:50TORMISS DeRozan 16' Jump Shot49
72
Q3 - 7:10MIAWaiters 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)49
72
Q3 - 7:26TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)49
69
Q3 - 7:26TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)48
69
Q3 - 7:26MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P2.T3) (G.Petraitis)47
69
Q3 - 7:33TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
69
Q3 - 7:34MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
69
Q3 - 7:44MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
69
Q3 - 7:45TORMISS Joseph 2' Driving Layup47
69
Q3 - 7:53TORSUB: Patterson FOR Valanciunas47
69
Q3 - 7:53TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)47
69
Q3 - 7:53MIAWhiteside 9' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)47
69
Q3 - 8:09TORJoseph 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)47
67
Q3 - 8:29MIAWaiters 20' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)45
67
Q3 - 8:46TORPowell 4' Driving Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)45
65
Q3 - 9:12MIAJohnson 6' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)43
65
Q3 - 9:25MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
63
Q3 - 9:26TORMISS Joseph 12' Floating Jump Shot43
63
Q3 - 9:37MIAJohnson 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Waiters 4 AST)43
63
Q3 - 9:54TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)43
61
Q3 - 9:54MIASUB: Johnson FOR Babbitt42
61
Q3 - 9:54TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)42
61
Q3 - 9:54MIABabbitt S.FOUL (P4.T2) (K.Fitzgerald)41
61
Q3 - 10:09MIAWaiters Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)41
61
Q3 - 10:13TORBabbitt STEAL (2 STL)41
61
Q3 - 10:21TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
61
Q3 - 10:22MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
61
Q3 - 10:43TORIbaka Foul Turnover (P2.T11)41
61
Q3 - 10:43TORIbaka OFF.Foul (P1) (K.Fitzgerald)41
61
Q3 - 10:47MIABabbitt P.FOUL (P3.T1) (S.Wall)41
61
Q3 - 11:06MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)41
61
Q3 - 11:06MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
60
Q3 - 11:06TORPowell S.FOUL (P2.T2) (S.Wall)41
59
Q3 - 11:19MIASUB: Johnson FOR Dragic41
59
Q3 - 11:19TOR41
59
Q3 - 11:19TORJoseph Foul Turnover (P1.T10)41
59
Q3 - 11:19TORJoseph OFF.Foul (P1) (S.Wall)41
59
Q3 - 11:22TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
59
Q3 - 11:23MIAMISS Whiteside 19' Jump Shot41
59
Q3 - 11:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)41
59
Q3 - 11:36TORMISS DeRozan 15' Jump Shot41
59
Q3 - 11:50TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
59
Q3 - 11:51MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 2 of 241
59
Q3 - 11:51MIAHEAT Rebound41
59
Q3 - 11:51MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 1 of 241
59
Q3 - 11:51TOR41
59
Q3 - 11:51TORValanciunas P.FOUL (P2.T1) (G.Petraitis)41
59
Q3 - 12:0041
59
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
59
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
59
Q2 - 0:03.0TORWhiteside BLOCK (3 BLK)41
59
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAWaiters Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)41
59
Q2 - 0:29.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
59
Q2 - 0:30.0TORRichardson BLOCK (1 BLK)41
59
Q2 - 0:33.0TORRaptors Rebound41
59
Q2 - 0:34.0TORJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)41
59
Q2 - 0:52.0MIADragic Free Throw 3 of 3 (15 PTS)41
59
Q2 - 0:52.0MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 3 (14 PTS)41
58
Q2 - 0:52.0MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 3 (13 PTS)41
57
Q2 - 0:52.0MIASUB: Johnson FOR Babbitt41
56
Q2 - 0:52.0TORSUB: Powell FOR Tucker41
56
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAHEAT Rebound41
56
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw Technical41
56
Q2 - 0:52.0TORTucker T.FOUL (P3.T3) (S.Wall)41
56
Q2 - 0:52.0TORTucker S.FOUL (P3.T3) (S.Wall)41
56
Q2 - 0:59.0TORJoseph 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)41
56
Q2 - 1:22MIAWaiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Babbitt 3 AST)39
56
Q2 - 1:39TORWaiters STEAL (1 STL)39
53
Q2 - 1:57MIABabbitt Foul Turnover (P1.T3)39
53
Q2 - 1:57MIABabbitt OFF.Foul (P2) (S.Wall)39
53
Q2 - 2:03TORValanciunas 1' Layup (10 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)39
53
Q2 - 2:08TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
53
Q2 - 2:09TORMISS DeRozan 14' Pullup Jump Shot37
53
Q2 - 2:28MIADragic 1' Running Layup (12 PTS)37
53
Q2 - 2:34TORDragic STEAL (2 STL)37
51
Q2 - 2:53TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)37
51
Q2 - 2:54MIAMISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot37
51
Q2 - 2:59MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
51
Q2 - 3:00MIAMISS Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
51
Q2 - 3:10MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)37
51
Q2 - 3:10TORSUB: Tucker FOR Powell37
51
Q2 - 3:10TORSUB: Joseph FOR VanVleet37
51
Q2 - 3:10MIAHEAT Rebound37
51
Q2 - 3:11MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Layup37
51
Q2 - 3:15MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
51
Q2 - 3:16TORMISS Powell 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
51
Q2 - 3:36TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
51
Q2 - 3:37MIAMISS Whiteside 7' Hook Shot37
51
Q2 - 3:48MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
51
Q2 - 3:49TORMISS Ibaka 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot37
51
Q2 - 4:08MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)37
51
Q2 - 4:32TORVanVleet Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)37
49
Q2 - 4:32MIASUB: Waiters FOR Ellington36
49
Q2 - 4:32MIADragic S.FOUL (P1.T3) (S.Wall)36
49
Q2 - 4:32TORVanVleet 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)36
49
Q2 - 4:55MIAWhiteside Dunk (6 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)34
49
Q2 - 5:02MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
47
Q2 - 5:03TORWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)34
47
Q2 - 5:24MIADragic 9' Pullup Bank Shot (8 PTS)34
47
Q2 - 5:37TORVanVleet Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T7)34
45
Q2 - 5:41TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
45
Q2 - 5:42MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup34
45
Q2 - 5:48MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
45
Q2 - 5:49TORMISS Valanciunas 6' Hook Shot34
45
Q2 - 5:51TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)34
45
Q2 - 5:52TORMISS Ibaka 14' Jump Shot34
45
Q2 - 6:03TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
45
Q2 - 6:04MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
45
Q2 - 6:18MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
45
Q2 - 6:19TORMISS VanVleet 2' Driving Layup34
45
Q2 - 6:32MIASUB: Babbitt FOR Johnson34
45
Q2 - 6:32TORSUB: Ibaka FOR Patterson34
45
Q2 - 6:32TORSUB: DeRozan FOR Wright34
45
Q2 - 6:32TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)34
45
Q2 - 6:37MIA34
45
Q2 - 6:40MIAEllington 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)34
45
Q2 - 6:46MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
42
Q2 - 6:47TORMISS VanVleet 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
42
Q2 - 6:55TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)34
42
Q2 - 6:56MIAMISS Dragic 12' Step Back Jump Shot34
42
Q2 - 7:21TORWright 1' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)34
42
Q2 - 7:22TORWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
42
Q2 - 7:23TORMISS Powell 1' Driving Layup32
42
Q2 - 7:29TORVanVleet REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
42
Q2 - 7:30MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
42
Q2 - 7:34MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
42
Q2 - 7:35TORMISS Powell 18' Jump Shot32
42
Q2 - 7:46TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)32
42
Q2 - 7:47MIAMISS Richardson 17' Pullup Jump Shot32
42
Q2 - 7:59MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
42
Q2 - 8:00TORMISS Wright 1' Driving Layup32
42
Q2 - 8:16MIAEllington Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)32
42
Q2 - 8:16MIAEllington Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)32
41
Q2 - 8:1632
40
Q2 - 8:16TORVanVleet S.FOUL (P1.T2) (S.Wall)32
40
Q2 - 8:19TORJohnson STEAL (1 STL)32
40
Q2 - 8:27TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)32
40
Q2 - 8:28MIAMISS Whiteside 16' Turnaround Jump Shot32
40
Q2 - 8:47TORValanciunas 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)32
40
Q2 - 9:07TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)30
40
Q2 - 9:08MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
40
Q2 - 9:17MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
40
Q2 - 9:18TORMISS Powell 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
40
Q2 - 9:28MIASUB: Dragic FOR Johnson30
40
Q2 - 9:28MIAEllington P.FOUL (P1.T2) (K.Fitzgerald)30
40
Q2 - 9:36MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
40
Q2 - 9:36TORSUB: VanVleet FOR Tucker30
39
Q2 - 9:36TORSUB: Valanciunas FOR Poeltl30
39
Q2 - 9:36MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Reed30
39
Q2 - 9:36MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
39
Q2 - 9:36TORTucker S.FOUL (P2.T1) (S.Wall)30
38
Q2 - 9:39MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
38
Q2 - 9:40TORMISS Poeltl 1' Tip Layup Shot30
38
Q2 - 9:41TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)30
38
Q2 - 9:42TORMISS Poeltl 1' Tip Layup Shot30
38
Q2 - 9:43TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)30
38
Q2 - 9:45TORMISS Tucker 7' Hook Shot30
38
Q2 - 10:05MIAJohnson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
38
Q2 - 10:32TORPowell Driving Dunk (4 PTS)30
36
Q2 - 10:40TORTucker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
36
Q2 - 10:41MIAMISS Johnson 16' Pullup Jump Shot28
36
Q2 - 10:56TORWright 10' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
36
Q2 - 11:13MIAReed Tip Dunk Shot (2 PTS)26
36
Q2 - 11:14MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
34
Q2 - 11:15MIAMISS Johnson 2' Reverse Layup26
34
Q2 - 11:26MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
34
Q2 - 11:27TORMISS Poeltl Free Throw 2 of 226
34
Q2 - 11:27TORRaptors Rebound26
34
Q2 - 11:27TORMISS Poeltl Free Throw 1 of 226
34
Q2 - 11:27MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T1) (G.Petraitis)26
34
Q2 - 11:27TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
34
Q2 - 11:28TORReed BLOCK (1 BLK)26
34
Q2 - 11:47MIAJohnson Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)26
34
Q2 - 12:0026
32
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
32
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRichardson STEAL (1 STL)26
32
Q1 - 0:01.0TORWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
32
Q1 - 0:01.0TORMISS Wright 9' Jump Shot26
32
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAEllington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)26
32
Q1 - 0:29.0TORSUB: Powell FOR DeRozan26
29
Q1 - 0:29.0MIASUB: Ellington FOR Waiters26
29
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAHEAT Rebound26
29
Q1 - 0:30.0TORMISS DeRozan 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
29
Q1 - 0:52.0TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
29
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
29
Q1 - 1:09TORDeRozan 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)26
29
Q1 - 1:31TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
29
Q1 - 1:32MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
29
Q1 - 1:48TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)24
29
Q1 - 1:48TORRaptors Rebound24
29
Q1 - 1:49TORMISS DeRozan 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
29
Q1 - 2:12MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)24
29
Q1 - 2:21MIASUB: Richardson FOR McGruder24
29
Q1 - 2:32TORSUB: Patterson FOR Ibaka24
29
Q1 - 2:32TORDeRozan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)24
29
Q1 - 2:38TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
29
Q1 - 2:39MIAMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot24
29
Q1 - 2:57TORDeRozan 9' Turnaround Bank Shot (9 PTS)24
29
Q1 - 3:09MIAReed Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)22
29
Q1 - 3:20TORRaptors Violation: Delay of game Violation22
29
Q1 - 3:20TORSUB: Wright FOR Joseph22
29
Q1 - 3:20MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)22
29
Q1 - 3:26TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)22
29
Q1 - 3:26MIAMcGruder S.FOUL (P1.T3) (S.Wall)21
29
Q1 - 3:26TORDeRozan 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
29
Q1 - 3:31MIASUB: Johnson FOR Babbitt19
29
Q1 - 3:31MIABabbitt P.FOUL (P1.T2) (K.Fitzgerald)19
29
Q1 - 3:31TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
29
Q1 - 3:32TORMISS Ibaka 3PT Jump Shot19
29
Q1 - 3:50MIAMcGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)19
29
Q1 - 4:14TORDeRozan 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
26
Q1 - 4:35MIAWaiters Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)17
26
Q1 - 4:35MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)17
25
Q1 - 4:35MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)17
24
Q1 - 4:35TORTucker S.FOUL (P1.T3) (K.Fitzgerald)17
23
Q1 - 4:44MIASUB: Johnson FOR Whiteside17
23
Q1 - 4:44TORSUB: Poeltl FOR Powell17
23
Q1 - 4:44TORSUB: Tucker FOR Valanciunas17
23
Q1 - 4:44MIASUB: Reed FOR Dragic17
23
Q1 - 4:44MIADragic Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)17
23
Q1 - 4:44TORDeRozan T.FOUL (P0.T2) (K.Fitzgerald)17
22
Q1 - 4:44TORPowell P.FOUL (P1.T2) (K.Fitzgerald)17
22
Q1 - 4:49MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
22
Q1 - 4:50TORMISS DeRozan 16' Jump Shot17
22
Q1 - 5:14TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
22
Q1 - 5:15MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup17
22
Q1 - 5:26TORIbaka 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)17
22
Q1 - 5:51MIAWaiters 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)15
22
Q1 - 5:57MIAHEAT Rebound15
20
Q1 - 5:59MIAMISS Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
20
Q1 - 6:11MIAHEAT Violation: Delay of game Violation15
20
Q1 - 6:11MIAWhiteside Violation:Defensive Goaltending (S.Wall)15
20
Q1 - 6:11TORPowell 2' Layup (2 PTS)15
20
Q1 - 6:22MIAWhiteside L.B.FOUL (P1.T1) (S.Wall)13
20
Q1 - 6:22TORRaptors Rebound13
20
Q1 - 6:23TORMISS Ibaka 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot13
20
Q1 - 6:40MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
20
Q1 - 6:40MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
19
Q1 - 6:40TORValanciunas S.FOUL (P1.T1) (S.Wall)13
18
Q1 - 6:50TORValanciunas Putback Dunk (6 PTS)13
18
Q1 - 6:51TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)11
18
Q1 - 6:52TORMISS Powell 16' Pullup Jump Shot11
18
Q1 - 7:04TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
18
Q1 - 7:05MIAMISS McGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
18
Q1 - 7:25TORIbaka 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)11
18
Q1 - 7:28TORRaptors Rebound8
18
Q1 - 7:29TORWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)8
18
Q1 - 7:55MIABabbitt 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)8
18
Q1 - 8:13TORBabbitt STEAL (1 STL)8
15
Q1 - 8:21TORPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
15
Q1 - 8:23TORMISS Joseph 16' Pullup Jump Shot8
15
Q1 - 8:32TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)8
15
Q1 - 8:40MIABabbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)8
15
Q1 - 8:48MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
12
Q1 - 8:49TORMISS Ibaka 10' Hook Shot8
12
Q1 - 9:07MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)8
12
Q1 - 9:16TORDeRozan 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
9
Q1 - 9:36MIADragic 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)6
9
Q1 - 9:40TORDragic STEAL (1 STL)6
7
Q1 - 10:07MIAWhiteside 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Babbitt 2 AST)6
7
Q1 - 10:24TORValanciunas 3' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS)6
5
Q1 - 10:33TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
5
Q1 - 10:34TORMISS DeRozan 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot4
5
Q1 - 10:55MIAWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Babbitt 1 AST)4
5
Q1 - 11:10TORValanciunas 2' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)4
2
Q1 - 11:11TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
2
Q1 - 11:12TORMISS DeRozan 1' Reverse Layup2
2
Q1 - 11:24MIAMcGruder 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:42TORIbaka 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Valanciunas: Tip to Joseph0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.88 44.1%
MIA
1.18 59.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
18
35
51%
MIA
13
22
59%
Midrange
TOR
13
38
34%
MIA
11
22
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
2
3.0
15
13%
20%
MIA
11
16.5
28
39%
59%
Free Throws
TOR
21
25
84%
MIA
23
33
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan1745%8.5 / 19
N. Powell1441%7.0 / 17
D. Wright1372%6.5 / 9
J. Valančiūnas1083%5.0 / 6
S. Ibaka938%4.5 / 12
C. Joseph638%3.0 / 8
J. Poeltl633%3.0 / 9
F. VanVleet523%2.5 / 11
P. Patterson583%2.5 / 3
P. Siakam450%2.0 / 4
P. Tucker0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Waiters2077%10.0 / 13
T. Johnson1657%8.0 / 14
G. Dragic1575%7.5 / 10
H. Whiteside1260%6.0 / 10
J. Johnson1246%6.0 / 13
W. Ellington1161%5.5 / 9
R. McGruder758%3.5 / 6
L. Babbitt675%3.0 / 4
J. Richardson338%1.5 / 4
W. Reed250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
79
+22
-12
101
MIA
79
+8
-12
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.88 44.1%
MIA
1.18 59.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.2
108.1
TOR 97.8
MIA 114.3 +16.5
Pace
94.8
95.0
TOR 94.7 +7.1
MIA 87.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
15.7
TOR 15.2 −1.2
MIA 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
51.2%
TOR 38.6%
MIA 56.3% +17.7%
TO %
12.4%
13.2%
TOR 11.6% −0.6%
MIA 12.2%
ORB %
24.9%
24.2%
TOR 33.3% +24.7%
MIA 8.6%
FTrt
29.3
25.1
TOR 28.4
MIA 45.8 +17.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
47.2%
54.4%
TOR 21.2%
MIA 60.0% +38.8%
STL %
8.7%
7.5%
TOR 6.6%
MIA 8.8% +2.2%
BLK %
8.8%
9.3%
TOR 11.4%
MIA 13.7% +2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.4%
52.8%
TOR 44.1%
MIA 59.1% +15.0%
Rim FG%
58.9%
59.2%
TOR 51.4%
MIA 59.1% +7.7%
Mid FG%
42.6%
39.4%
TOR 34.2%
MIA 50.0% +15.8%
3P %
36.3%
36.5%
TOR 13.3%
MIA 39.3% +26.0%
FT %
79.6%
70.6%
TOR 84.0% +14.3%
MIA 69.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.6%
35.4%
TOR 39.8% +9.2%
MIA 30.6%
Mid Att. %
36.5%
33.1%
TOR 43.2%
MIA 30.6% −12.6%
3P Att. %
28.9%
31.4%
TOR 17.0%
MIA 38.9% +21.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points89104
Rebounds4835
Assists721
Steals68
Blocks510
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (6)3 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)32 (3)
Field Goals33-8835-72
At-the-Rim FG18-3513-22
Midrange FG13-3811-22
2-Point FG31-7324-44
3-Point FG2-1511-28
Free Throws21-2523-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'3" 215 · 24
35.0
14
41%
1
0
0
0
1
4
1
0
4-6
67%
5-10
50%
0-4
0%
G · 6'6" 220 · 28
28.4
17
45%
4
2
1
0
2
0
1
3
7-7
100%
5-14
36%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 27
28.0
9
38%
4
0
0
3
2
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
1-4
25%
G · 6'2" 200 · 26
22.2
6
38%
3
0
1
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 25
21.0
10
83%
10
0
0
0
1
2
4
6
0-0
-
5-6
83%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 185 · 25
25.2
13
72%
3
3
3
0
2
2
2
1
3-3
100%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 197 · 23
20.0
5
23%
4
1
0
0
2
2
1
3
3-3
100%
1-7
14%
0-3
0%
C · 7'0" 253 · 21
19.1
6
33%
9
0
0
0
0
3
6
3
0-2
0%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 230 · 28
18.0
5
83%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'6" 245 · 32
14.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 245 · 23
9.0
4
50%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 215 · 31
C · 7'0" 220 · 25
#7 · G · 6'0" 196 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F · 6'9" 205 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
44%
48
7
6
5
12
0
16
32
21-25
84%
31-73
42%
2-15
13%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.