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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 11, 2017
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Hawks32%99107
10Grizzlies68%10690
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 32.1
33
35
16
11
6
1
1
1
1
2
9
5-7
71%
4-9
5-11
44%
49%
1-3
33%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 23.5
29
33
16
7
8
3
1
0
6
1
6
1-2
50%
6-11
6-12
55%
48%
1-4
25%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 27.7
26
26
15
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
3-6
100%
46%
3-7
43%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.9
23
28
8
4
2
1
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
50%
2-4
50%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.1
20
4
1
8
0
0
0
2
1
1
7
1-2
50%
0-3
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.0
31
12
17
3
2
2
0
2
2
0
3
4-4
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
3-4
75%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 25.0
21
31
8
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
4-7
50%
51%
2-3
67%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.4
19
9
14
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
4-5
80%
2-3
1-1
67%
45%
2-3
67%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
18
24
9
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 25.7
16
4
0
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
DeAndre' Bembry
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 22.7
3
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 25.9
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
40%
0-0
-
Malcolm Delaney
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.0
8
0
1-2
44%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.3
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 36.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.4
32
35
16
1
5
5
1
0
3
0
1
5-5
100%
4-5
5-9
80%
49%
1-7
14%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 32.1
27
33
8
6
2
1
1
0
3
0
6
1-2
50%
2-8
6-11
25%
50%
1-3
33%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 26.7
26
24
20
11
0
0
1
1
1
7
4
3-3
100%
7-11
2-4
64%
54%
1-1
100%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.4
23
13
5
2
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
53%
1-2
50%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 26.7
18
11
5
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
1-1
50%
53%
0-3
0%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.7
22
12
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
44%
1-7
14%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 35.2
21
23
4
5
3
0
2
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
50%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 40.1
21
22
4
2
2
3
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-3
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.7
18
23
9
2
1
0
1
0
4
1
1
1-2
50%
4-6
5-11
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 22.4
14
12
2
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-5
40%
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.4
13
14
10
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
63%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.0
6
17
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
46%
0-0
-
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 22.8
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 20.9
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.