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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 11, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Cavaliers71%111116
26Magic29%103104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 32.2
38
34
24
12
12
0
1
1
4
0
12
6-10
60%
6-9
7-12
67%
58%
2-5
40%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 25.0
36
34
22
9
7
1
1
0
2
3
6
2-2
100%
7-14
7-13
50%
52%
2-8
25%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 26.7
31
30
15
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
46%
3-4
75%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 26.0
28
29
14
13
1
0
1
2
1
3
10
2-7
29%
6-9
3-6
67%
58%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 36.7
27
27
3
4
2
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
55%
1-4
25%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.7
25
18
10
1
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
2-4
50%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.5
21
13
11
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
3-7
43%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
16
16
5
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
52%
0-2
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 33.8
16
20
12
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
51%
2-5
40%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.4
2
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 28.9
2
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 36.0
15
0
1-1
51%
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 22.0
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 32.3
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 28.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.0
34
29
8
10
6
3
1
0
1
3
7
0-0
-
4-17
5-9
24%
50%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 26.1
32
29
11
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
4-7
3-5
57%
49%
0-4
0%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 24.4
32
29
15
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
5-6
83%
2-5
4-8
40%
50%
2-5
40%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.5
31
28
16
5
3
0
1
0
0
2
3
4-4
100%
6-11
4-8
55%
53%
0-1
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.4
28
11
20
15
0
0
0
1
2
6
9
2-4
50%
9-18
2-5
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.5
18
14
7
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
0-1
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.9
18
17
9
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 24.5
16
30
6
8
0
0
0
0
0
2
6
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
54%
0-0
-
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 22.0
15
20
7
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
1-3
33%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 29.3
12
14
5
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-3
0%
Stephen Zimmerman
C · 7'0" 240 · 20.5
2
12
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Damjan Rudez
F · 6'10" 228 · 30.7
2
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-1
0%
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.2
2
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.