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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 29, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Heat49%104105
25Knicks51%10588
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.5
35
32
17
1
1
5
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
46%
3-7
43%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.9
34
32
20
7
9
2
1
0
1
1
6
7-7
100%
5-13
6-11
38%
52%
1-4
25%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.8
28
29
11
9
1
0
1
4
1
1
8
1-1
100%
5-11
7-12
45%
59%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.8
16
16
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
1-2
50%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.7
13
28
6
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.9
31
27
12
7
1
0
1
0
0
3
4
0-1
0%
3-8
4-8
38%
49%
2-4
50%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.1
27
29
18
7
4
3
1
2
3
1
6
4-6
67%
4-9
5-8
44%
55%
2-2
100%
Okaro White
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.6
20
5
7
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
48%
1-1
100%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.3
19
18
8
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
47%
2-4
50%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.9
17
17
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
57%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.3
8
0
1-2
45%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.8
3
0
0-1
48%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 33.0
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 21.0
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 30.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ron Baker
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.0
40
17
6
5
3
0
1
0
3
2
3
2-3
67%
2-7
1-3
29%
46%
0-5
0%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 21.7
36
31
20
8
2
0
1
3
3
2
6
7-10
70%
5-10
5-10
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.5
31
33
10
2
1
2
1
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
50%
1-1
100%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.8
29
27
9
7
1
0
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
3-7
4-9
43%
48%
1-5
20%
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 22.8
23
25
12
9
1
0
1
0
3
5
4
4-4
100%
4-9
5-9
44%
55%
0-1
0%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 28.0
23
17
6
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Chasson Randle
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.1
21
6
9
4
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-5
0-1
40%
46%
1-4
25%
Mindaugas Kuzminskas
· 6'9" 215 · 27.4
14
22
4
3
1
0
1
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
51%
0-2
0%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 27.0
12
16
4
5
2
0
1
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
54%
0-1
0%
Maurice Ndour
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.8
5
6
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-1
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Marshall Plumlee
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.7
3
5
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 33.1
3
4
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
41%
1-3
33%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.1
12
0
1-2
47%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.9
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.