Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, March 29, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Thunder | 61% | 109 | 114 |
 | 26 | Magic | 39% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Bucks | 33% | 104 | 103 |
 | 6 | Celtics | 67% | 110 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Hornets | 43% | 102 | 110 |
 | 18 | Raptors | 57% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Heat | 49% | 103 | 105 |
 | 22 | Knicks | 51% | 104 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Mavericks | 40% | 99 | 118 |
 | 15 | Pelicans | 60% | 103 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, March 28, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 41% | 103 | 118 |
| 8 | Hornets | 59% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Timberwolves | 42% | 102 | 115 |
| 16 | Pacers | 58% | 105 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 46% | 107 | 106 |
 | 25 | Nets | 54% | 108 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 24 | Hawks | 65% | 107 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 56% | 103 | 97 |
 | 23 | Pistons | 44% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 46% | 113 | 113 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wizards | 72% | 112 | 119 |
 | 30 | Lakers | 28% | 104 | 108 |
Monday, March 27, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 33% | 100 | 112 |
| 18 | Raptors | 67% | 106 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 52% | 105 | 95 |
| 24 | Knicks | 48% | 104 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 2 | Spurs | 65% | 109 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 47% | 103 | 92 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 53% | 104 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 63% | 104 | 90 |
| 28 | Kings | 37% | 99 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pelicans | 27% | 96 | 100 |
| 5 | Jazz | 73% | 104 | 108 |
Sunday, March 26, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 25% | 102 | 106 |
| 10 | Hornets | 75% | 111 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | 36% | 103 | 107 |
| 23 | Hawks | 64% | 108 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 21% | 98 | 98 |
| 6 | Clippers | 79% | 109 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Bulls | 39% | 101 | 109 |
| 13 | Bucks | 61% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Thunder | 25% | 107 | 125 |
| 2 | Rockets | 75% | 117 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 32% | 101 | 94 |
| 15 | Pacers | 68% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 38% | 103 | 108 |
| 7 | Celtics | 62% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 27% | 101 | 94 |
| 3 | Warriors | 73% | 109 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pelicans | 41% | 110 | 115 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 59% | 113 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 58% | 110 | 97 |
| 30 | Lakers | 42% | 107 | 81 |
Saturday, March 25, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 43% | 102 | 95 |
| 5 | Clippers | 57% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wizards | 29% | 106 | 127 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 71% | 114 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 45% | 99 | 94 |
| 18 | Mavericks | 55% | 101 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 16% | 96 | 98 |
| 3 | Spurs | 84% | 109 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Timberwolves | 43% | 105 | 100 |
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 57% | 107 | 112 |
Friday, March 24, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 24% | 104 | 108 |
| 11 | Wizards | 76% | 114 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 52% | 108 | 112 |
| 10 | Hornets | 48% | 107 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 54% | 105 | 87 |
| 25 | Magic | 46% | 104 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 48% | 110 | 125 |
| 15 | Pacers | 52% | 111 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 16% | 101 | 120 |
| 7 | Celtics | 84% | 114 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 35% | 100 | 117 |
| 21 | Bulls | 65% | 105 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 37% | 101 | 97 |
| 13 | Bucks | 63% | 106 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pelicans | 28% | 107 | 107 |
| 1 | Rockets | 72% | 116 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 69% | 111 | 119 |
| 30 | Lakers | 31% | 104 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 12% | 98 | 100 |
| 3 | Warriors | 88% | 114 | 114 |
Thursday, March 23, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 45% | 108 | 98 |
| 26 | Nets | 55% | 110 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 38% | 101 | 101 |
| 13 | Heat | 62% | 105 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 58% | 105 | 95 |
| 19 | Mavericks | 42% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 29% | 97 | 90 |
| 2 | Spurs | 71% | 105 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 33% | 105 | 95 |
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 67% | 111 | 110 |
Wednesday, March 22, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 61% | 107 | 109 |
| 25 | Magic | 39% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 35% | 102 | 100 |
| 7 | Celtics | 65% | 108 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 45% | 101 | 95 |
| 22 | Bulls | 55% | 102 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 32% | 103 | 97 |
| 15 | Thunder | 68% | 110 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 35% | 102 | 100 |
| 12 | Wizards | 65% | 108 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 52% | 115 | 113 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 48% | 114 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 57% | 105 | 116 |
| 28 | Kings | 43% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 22% | 96 | 101 |
| 5 | Jazz | 78% | 106 | 108 |
Tuesday, March 21, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 43% | 99 | 120 |
| 18 | Raptors | 57% | 102 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 57% | 107 | 96 |
| 26 | Nets | 43% | 105 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 26% | 101 | 97 |
| 9 | Heat | 74% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 47% | 102 | 82 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 53% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 64% | 107 | 112 |
| 20 | Mavericks | 36% | 102 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 66% | 105 | 100 |
| 17 | Timberwolves | 34% | 100 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 49% | 106 | 93 |
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 107 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 74% | 113 | 133 |
| 30 | Lakers | 26% | 104 | 109 |
Monday, March 20, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 36% | 100 | 90 |
| 13 | Hornets | 64% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 42% | 104 | 109 |
| 26 | Magic | 58% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 60% | 100 | 100 |
| 17 | Pacers | 40% | 97 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wizards | 43% | 106 | 102 |
| 7 | Celtics | 57% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 27% | 113 | 124 |
| 1 | Rockets | 73% | 122 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 61% | 111 | 111 |
| 14 | Thunder | 39% | 107 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 25% | 103 | 105 |
| 5 | Clippers | 75% | 112 | 114 |
Sunday, March 19, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Celtics | 64% | 106 | 99 |
| 28 | 76ers | 36% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 34% | 102 | 95 |
| 19 | Pistons | 66% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Timberwolves | 44% | 104 | 109 |
| 17 | Pelicans | 56% | 106 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 47% | 101 | 91 |
| 18 | Raptors | 53% | 102 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 30% | 101 | 115 |
| 8 | Heat | 70% | 108 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 11% | 91 | 102 |
| 1 | Spurs | 89% | 108 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 70% | 113 | 125 |
| 30 | Lakers | 30% | 105 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 54% | 104 | 111 |
| 25 | Nets | 46% | 103 | 104 |
Saturday, March 18, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 29% | 100 | 94 |
| 14 | Thunder | 71% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 102 | 113 |
| 18 | Hawks | 59% | 106 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wizards | 41% | 105 | 93 |
| 12 | Hornets | 59% | 108 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 43% | 109 | 78 |
| 4 | Clippers | 57% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 63% | 100 | 86 |
| 20 | Bulls | 37% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 60% | 102 | 96 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 40% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 55% | 119 | 109 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 45% | 117 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 22% | 102 | 92 |
| 3 | Warriors | 78% | 112 | 117 |
Friday, March 17, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Mavericks | 62% | 104 | 74 |
| 29 | 76ers | 38% | 100 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 34% | 103 | 107 |
| 7 | Wizards | 66% | 109 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 64% | 108 | 98 |
| 25 | Nets | 36% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 41% | 101 | 87 |
| 22 | Pistons | 59% | 104 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 64% | 114 | 112 |
| 16 | Pelicans | 36% | 109 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Timberwolves | 42% | 102 | 105 |
| 11 | Heat | 58% | 105 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 37% | 105 | 109 |
| 26 | Suns | 63% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 72% | 110 | 107 |
| 30 | Lakers | 28% | 102 | 103 |
Thursday, March 16, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 33% | 102 | 83 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 67% | 108 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Thunder | 48% | 105 | 123 |
| 20 | Raptors | 52% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 45% | 108 | 121 |
| 26 | Knicks | 55% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 45% | 101 | 103 |
| 16 | Hawks | 55% | 103 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 46% | 112 | 114 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 54% | 113 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 16% | 100 | 92 |
| 3 | Warriors | 84% | 114 | 122 |