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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with player e-skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 7, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Hawks17%102114
2Cavaliers83%115100
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 25.1
26
36
22
2
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-5
5-9
100%
51%
4-9
44%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
26
26
13
7
2
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
5-8
3-5
63%
48%
1-6
17%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.5
25
9
7
4
7
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
46%
1-3
33%
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.0
25
34
5
4
1
1
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
47%
1-4
25%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.2
25
7
12
7
4
1
0
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
47%
2-3
67%
Malcolm Delaney
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.1
26
5
10
3
8
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
0-1
25%
45%
2-3
67%
DeAndre' Bembry
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 22.8
24
3
8
5
3
1
0
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
4-4
0-1
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 25.8
23
17
13
6
5
1
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
5-7
2-3
71%
54%
1-1
100%
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 26.0
20
3
4
3
3
0
0
3
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
40%
0-2
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 36.6
20
10
20
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
2-4
0-1
50%
46%
4-5
80%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 23.6
34
1
7-14
48%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.3
25
1
4-7
60%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 27.8
20
1
2-5
47%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.9
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 32.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 32.3
41
36
27
8
7
2
1
0
5
1
7
2-6
33%
11-13
8-13
85%
59%
1-2
50%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 28.6
35
29
15
15
3
0
1
0
2
0
15
0-0
-
3-7
4-7
43%
49%
3-10
30%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 25.0
33
32
18
1
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
8-12
6-13
67%
52%
0-1
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.6
33
30
3
4
4
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
1-6
17%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 33.9
26
16
16
5
0
0
0
2
0
0
5
2-2
100%
4-4
1-2
100%
53%
2-6
33%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 36.1
25
17
9
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
0-0
1-1
-
50%
2-6
33%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 36.8
17
12
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
55%
0-2
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.8
16
17
4
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 26.8
6
23
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
47%
0-1
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.9
2
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 29.0
2
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 28.4
2
5
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.5
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 26.1
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use e-skills to estimate a player's true skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about E-Skills here.