Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, April 7, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Heat | 39% | 103 | 94 |
 | 6 | Raptors | 61% | 106 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Knicks | 27% | 97 | 88 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Pistons | 23% | 103 | 114 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Mavericks | 35% | 95 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Pelicans | 43% | 112 | 106 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Timberwolves | 32% | 97 | 113 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Thunder | 64% | 111 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 30 | Lakers | 48% | 104 | 98 |
Thursday, April 6, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Bulls | 59% | 107 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Nets | 47% | 106 | 107 |
 | 26 | Magic | 53% | 107 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Bucks | 42% | 103 | 89 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 23 | Knicks | 42% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Celtics | 51% | 106 | 116 |
| 21 | Hawks | 49% | 105 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 44% | 107 | 98 |
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Wednesday, April 5, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 46% | 103 | 112 |
 | 11 | Hornets | 54% | 105 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 53% | 104 | 105 |
| 21 | Pistons | 47% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Thunder | 51% | 102 | 103 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 49% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 28% | 113 | 104 |
| 5 | Rockets | 72% | 122 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 47% | 110 | 114 |
| 7 | Celtics | 53% | 111 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Lakers | 12% | 95 | 102 |
| 4 | Spurs | 88% | 111 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 28 | Suns | 21% | 104 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 18% | 97 | 101 |
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Tuesday, April 4, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 49% | 108 | 141 |
| 27 | 76ers | 51% | 109 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hornets | 45% | 106 | 111 |
| 11 | Wizards | 55% | 108 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 21% | 105 | 102 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 79% | 116 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 46% | 103 | 90 |
| 17 | Pacers | 54% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 41% | 111 | 134 |
| 7 | Pelicans | 59% | 114 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 42% | 105 | 79 |
| 12 | Thunder | 58% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 55% | 103 | 91 |
| 26 | Knicks | 45% | 102 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 27% | 96 | 89 |
| 3 | Spurs | 73% | 105 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 33% | 99 | 87 |
| 9 | Jazz | 67% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Timberwolves | 16% | 101 | 107 |
| 1 | Warriors | 84% | 115 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 60% | 102 | 87 |
| 29 | Kings | 40% | 99 | 98 |
Monday, April 3, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 44% | 106 | 109 |
| 14 | Timberwolves | 56% | 108 | 110 |
Sunday, April 2, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 62% | 106 | 110 |
| 24 | Knicks | 38% | 102 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 43% | 106 | 113 |
| 12 | Thunder | 57% | 108 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grizzlies | 76% | 109 | 103 |
| 30 | Lakers | 24% | 99 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 40% | 100 | 109 |
| 16 | Bucks | 60% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 28% | 95 | 103 |
| 2 | Spurs | 72% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 31% | 100 | 117 |
| 7 | Pelicans | 69% | 107 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 29% | 101 | 105 |
| 15 | Raptors | 71% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 51% | 107 | 82 |
| 25 | Nets | 49% | 106 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 47% | 110 | 116 |
| 13 | Heat | 53% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 30% | 104 | 130 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 70% | 112 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wizards | 23% | 104 | 115 |
| 1 | Warriors | 77% | 115 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 72% | 113 | 123 |
| 28 | Suns | 28% | 105 | 116 |
Saturday, April 1, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Lakers | 13% | 101 | 104 |
| 3 | Clippers | 87% | 117 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hawks | 39% | 100 | 104 |
| 20 | Bulls | 61% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 41% | 106 | 111 |
| 26 | Nets | 59% | 110 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 23% | 98 | 123 |
| 14 | Timberwolves | 77% | 108 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 30% | 105 | 117 |
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 70% | 112 | 130 |
Friday, March 31, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 42% | 102 | 100 |
| 18 | Raptors | 58% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 46% | 111 | 114 |
| 12 | Hornets | 54% | 112 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 23% | 104 | 105 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 77% | 114 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 24% | 102 | 116 |
| 6 | Celtics | 76% | 112 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 33% | 101 | 105 |
| 15 | Bucks | 67% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 38% | 98 | 90 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 62% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 24% | 99 | 89 |
| 9 | Pelicans | 76% | 108 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 32% | 99 | 98 |
| 13 | Heat | 68% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 61% | 106 | 100 |
| 11 | Thunder | 39% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wizards | 44% | 101 | 88 |
| 10 | Jazz | 56% | 104 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 29% | 109 | 98 |
| 1 | Warriors | 71% | 117 | 107 |
Thursday, March 30, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 37% | 104 | 89 |
| 22 | Pistons | 63% | 108 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 59% | 108 | 93 |
| 20 | Bulls | 41% | 105 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Lakers | 25% | 101 | 104 |
| 16 | Timberwolves | 75% | 111 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 71% | 112 | 124 |
| 28 | Suns | 29% | 105 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 63% | 115 | 107 |
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 110 | 117 |
Wednesday, March 29, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hawks | 48% | 103 | 99 |
| 25 | 76ers | 52% | 104 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thunder | 61% | 109 | 114 |
| 26 | Magic | 39% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 33% | 104 | 103 |
| 6 | Celtics | 67% | 110 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hornets | 43% | 102 | 110 |
| 18 | Raptors | 57% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 49% | 104 | 105 |
| 22 | Knicks | 51% | 105 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 37% | 100 | 97 |
| 13 | Grizzlies | 63% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 40% | 100 | 118 |
| 15 | Pelicans | 60% | 103 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 40% | 103 | 110 |
| 2 | Spurs | 60% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wizards | 32% | 105 | 124 |
| 5 | Clippers | 68% | 112 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 67% | 102 | 112 |
| 28 | Kings | 33% | 96 | 82 |
Tuesday, March 28, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 41% | 104 | 118 |
| 8 | Hornets | 59% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 42% | 102 | 115 |
| 16 | Pacers | 58% | 105 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 46% | 107 | 106 |
| 25 | Nets | 54% | 108 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 34% | 101 | 91 |
| 24 | Hawks | 66% | 107 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 56% | 103 | 97 |
| 23 | Pistons | 44% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 46% | 113 | 113 |
| 3 | Rockets | 54% | 114 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 51% | 113 | 113 |
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 112 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wizards | 72% | 112 | 119 |
| 30 | Lakers | 28% | 104 | 108 |
Monday, March 27, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 33% | 100 | 112 |
| 18 | Raptors | 67% | 106 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 52% | 105 | 95 |
| 24 | Knicks | 48% | 104 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 36% | 104 | 74 |
| 2 | Spurs | 64% | 109 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 47% | 103 | 92 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 53% | 104 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 64% | 104 | 90 |
| 28 | Kings | 36% | 99 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pelicans | 27% | 96 | 100 |
| 5 | Jazz | 73% | 104 | 108 |
Sunday, March 26, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 25% | 102 | 106 |
| 10 | Hornets | 75% | 111 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | 36% | 103 | 107 |
| 23 | Hawks | 64% | 108 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 21% | 98 | 98 |
| 6 | Clippers | 79% | 109 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 39% | 101 | 109 |
| 13 | Bucks | 61% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Thunder | 25% | 107 | 125 |
| 2 | Rockets | 75% | 117 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 32% | 101 | 94 |
| 15 | Pacers | 68% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 38% | 103 | 108 |
| 7 | Celtics | 62% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 27% | 101 | 94 |
| 3 | Warriors | 73% | 109 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pelicans | 41% | 110 | 115 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 59% | 113 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 58% | 109 | 97 |
| 30 | Lakers | 42% | 107 | 81 |
Saturday, March 25, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 43% | 102 | 95 |
| 5 | Clippers | 57% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wizards | 29% | 106 | 127 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 71% | 113 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 45% | 99 | 94 |
| 18 | Mavericks | 55% | 101 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 16% | 96 | 98 |
| 3 | Spurs | 84% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Timberwolves | 44% | 105 | 100 |
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 107 | 112 |