Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Heat	39%	103	94	94.0	100	99.7
	6	Raptors	61%	106	96	96.0	100	100.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	38.1	22	52%	10	3	3	2	4	1	2	8	5-8	63%	7-12	58%	1-5	20%
Josh Richardson G · 6'6" 200 · 24	36.3	10	42%	2	4	3	1	2	3	2	0	0-0	-	2-8	25%	2-4	50%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 31	35.6	18	50%	1	1	1	0	4	3	1	0	6-8	75%	6-12	50%	0-2	0%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 28	27.0	12	35%	10	2	0	0	2	5	4	6	4-6	67%	4-14	29%	0-0	-
Rodney McGruder F · 6'4" 200 · 26	27.0	9	50%	5	2	0	0	3	1	2	3	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%

Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 25	25.1	9	50%	5	2	1	2	1	3	0	5	4-4	100%	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 29	20.4	12	120%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-5	80%
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 27	16.0	2	33%	9	1	0	0	2	4	3	6	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Okaro White F · 6'8" 215 · 25	14.6	0	0%	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 28	\| DND - Strained Right Hip Flexor
Dion Waiters G · 6'4" 215 · 25	\| NWT - Sprained Left Ankle
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Justise Winslow #20 · F · 6'7" 225 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Josh McRoberts #4 · · 6'10" 240 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	49%	44	16	10	5	19	0	14	30	20-29	69%	25-60	42%	8-23	35%

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12 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	38.1	22	52%	10	3	3	2	4	1	2	8	5-8	63%	7-12	58%	1-5	20%
Josh Richardson G · 6'6" 200 · 24	36.3	10	42%	2	4	3	1	2	3	2	0	0-0	-	2-8	25%	2-4	50%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 31	35.6	18	50%	1	1	1	0	4	3	1	0	6-8	75%	6-12	50%	0-2	0%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 28	27.0	12	35%	10	2	0	0	2	5	4	6	4-6	67%	4-14	29%	0-0	-
Rodney McGruder F · 6'4" 200 · 26	27.0	9	50%	5	2	0	0	3	1	2	3	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%

Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 25	25.1	9	50%	5	2	1	2	1	3	0	5	4-4	100%	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 29	20.4	12	120%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-5	80%
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 27	16.0	2	33%	9	1	0	0	2	4	3	6	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Okaro White F · 6'8" 215 · 25	14.6	0	0%	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 28	\| DND - Strained Right Hip Flexor
Dion Waiters G · 6'4" 215 · 25	\| NWT - Sprained Left Ankle
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Justise Winslow #20 · F · 6'7" 225 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Josh McRoberts #4 · · 6'10" 240 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	49%	44	16	10	5	19	0	14	30	20-29	69%	25-60	42%	8-23	35%

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6 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 28	37.8	38	51%	6	2	1	1	6	1	1	5	10-11	91%	14-31	45%	0-1	0%
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 31	35.9	12	38%	7	6	2	0	5	4	1	6	1-5	20%	4-9	44%	1-5	20%
Serge Ibaka F · 6'10" 235 · 28	30.5	11	61%	9	0	0	1	1	6	2	7	0-0	-	1-4	25%	3-5	60%
Jonas Valančiūnas C · 6'11" 265 · 25	29.9	9	45%	10	0	0	2	0	3	3	7	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 31	22.4	7	70%	1	0	1	0	1	2	0	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	2-3	67%

P.J. Tucker F · 6'6" 245 · 32	27.1	0	0%	5	0	3	0	0	3	1	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 26	26.4	14	64%	4	3	3	0	2	1	3	1	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	2-2	100%
Patrick Patterson F · 6'9" 230 · 28	21.9	3	30%	1	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Delon Wright G · 6'4" 185 · 25	4.6	2	100%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jakob Poeltl C · 7'0" 253 · 21	3.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Norman Powell G · 6'4" 215 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Fred VanVleet G · 6'0" 197 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Lucas Nogueira C · 7'0" 220 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Bruno Caboclo #20 · F · 6'9" 205 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Pascal Siakam #43 · F · 6'8" 245 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	47%	44	14	10	4	15	0	12	32	17-24	71%	26-65	40%	9-20	45%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	TOR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

0.97 48.5%

TOR

0.93 46.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

21

40

53%

TOR

15

28

54%

Midrange

MIA

4

20

20%

TOR

11

37

30%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

8

12.0

23

35%

52%

TOR

9

13.5

20

45%

68%

Free Throws

MIA

20

29

69%

TOR

17

24

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Johnson	22	52%	11.0 / 21
G. Dragic	18	50%	9.0 / 18
H. Whiteside	12	35%	6.0 / 17
W. Ellington	12	120%	6.0 / 5
J. Richardson	10	42%	5.0 / 12
R. McGruder	9	50%	4.5 / 9
T. Johnson	9	50%	4.5 / 9
W. Reed	2	33%	1.0 / 3
O. White	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	38	51%	19.0 / 37
C. Joseph	14	64%	7.0 / 11
K. Lowry	12	38%	6.0 / 16
S. Ibaka	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Valančiūnas	9	45%	4.5 / 10
D. Carroll	7	70%	3.5 / 5
P. Patterson	3	30%	1.5 / 5
D. Wright	2	100%	1.0 / 1
P. Tucker	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 108.1 6 112.2	MIA 94.0 TOR 96.0 +2.0
Pace	21 95.0 24 94.8	MIA 99.7 TOR 100.3 +0.6
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.7 9 15.3	MIA 14.4 TOR 14.4 −0.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 51.2% 12 51.7%	MIA 44.6% TOR 46.5% +1.9%
TO %	8 13.2% 4 12.4%	MIA 16.6% TOR 15.9% −0.7%
ORB %	11 24.2% 8 24.9%	MIA 30.4% +1.8% TOR 28.6%
FTrt	26 25.1 6 29.3	MIA 34.9 +6.7 TOR 28.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 54.4% 30 47.2%	MIA 48.5% +8.5% TOR 40.0%
STL %	21 7.5% 2 8.7%	MIA 10.0% TOR 10.0%
BLK %	6 9.3% 8 8.8%	MIA 7.7% +1.0% TOR 6.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 52.8% 13 54.4%	MIA 48.5% +1.9% TOR 46.6%
Rim FG%	12 59.2% 15 58.9%	MIA 52.5% TOR 53.6% +1.1%
Mid FG%	26 39.4% 5 42.6%	MIA 20.0% TOR 29.7% +9.7%
3P %	12 36.5% 13 36.3%	MIA 34.8% TOR 45.0% +10.2%
FT %	30 70.6% 8 79.6%	MIA 69.0% TOR 70.8% +1.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 35.4% 19 34.6%	MIA 48.2% +15.3% TOR 32.9%
Mid Att. %	15 33.1% 20 36.5%	MIA 24.1% −19.4% TOR 43.5%
3P Att. %	14 31.4% 22 28.9%	MIA 27.7% +4.2% TOR 23.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Game Totals	MIA	TOR
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	94	96
Rebounds	44	44
Assists	16	14
Steals	10	10
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	15 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (2)	12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (6)	32 (7)
Field Goals	33-83	35-85
At-the-Rim FG	21-40	15-28
Midrange FG	4-20	11-37
2-Point FG	25-60	26-65
3-Point FG	8-23	9-20
Free Throws	20-29	17-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg