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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 7, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Heat
94
7Raptors
96
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.1
38
29
22
10
3
3
1
2
4
2
8
5-8
63%
7-12
4-8
58%
54%
1-5
20%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.6
36
33
10
2
4
3
1
1
2
2
0
0-0
-
2-8
3-6
25%
46%
2-4
50%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.9
36
32
18
1
1
1
1
0
4
1
0
6-8
75%
6-12
6-11
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.8
27
30
12
10
2
0
1
0
2
4
6
4-6
67%
4-14
6-11
29%
58%
0-0
-
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.7
27
28
9
5
2
0
1
0
3
2
3
1-1
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
50%
0-2
0%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.9
25
28
9
5
2
1
1
2
1
0
5
4-4
100%
1-4
4-8
25%
48%
1-3
33%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.4
20
15
12
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
4-5
80%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.9
16
15
2
9
1
0
0
0
2
3
6
0-2
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
55%
0-0
-
Okaro White
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.6
15
13
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.8
9
0
0-1
43%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.3
7
0
1-2
45%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.8
3
0
0-1
48%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 33.0
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 21.0
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 30.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.7
38
34
38
6
2
1
1
1
6
1
5
10-11
91%
14-31
8-17
45%
48%
0-1
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 31.0
36
38
12
7
6
2
2
0
5
1
6
1-5
20%
4-9
4-8
44%
50%
1-5
20%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.6
30
29
11
9
0
0
0
1
1
2
7
0-0
-
1-4
4-7
25%
54%
3-5
60%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.9
30
27
9
10
0
0
0
2
0
3
7
1-2
50%
4-8
5-9
50%
57%
0-1
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.7
22
20
7
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
2-3
67%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 31.9
27
26
0
5
0
3
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.6
26
29
14
4
3
3
1
0
2
3
1
2-2
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
51%
2-2
100%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 28.1
22
19
3
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
1-3
33%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.9
5
16
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 21.5
3
14
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
56%
0-0
-
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 23.9
11
0
1-3
51%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 23.1
4
0
1-1
45%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 24.7
3
0
0-0
63%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 21.5
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.