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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 7, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Knicks27%9788
15Grizzlies73%106101
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ron Baker
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.0
30.5
28.8
2
14%
2
7
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
0-3
0%
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 22.9
29.3
25.1
11
60%
10
3
2
1
0
2
3
7
3-5
60%
4-7
5-10
57%
52%
0-0
-
Maurice Ndour
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.8
28.7
20.2
15
76%
7
0
1
1
3
1
2
5
1-2
50%
7-9
2-5
78%
47%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.5
27.6
30.4
16
62%
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
48%
2-4
50%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 28.0
27.3
26.0
12
46%
2
2
3
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
49%
2-7
29%
Mindaugas Kuzminskas
· 6'9" 215 · 27.5
22.8
16.6
10
42%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-8
2-3
63%
49%
0-4
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 33.1
21.1
16.6
7
39%
5
3
0
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
37%
2-7
29%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 27.0
20.2
19.2
9
51%
3
2
1
1
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
52%
0-1
0%
Chasson Randle
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.2
17.5
11.9
2
17%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
0-2
0%
Marshall Plumlee
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.7
15.0
8.1
4
34%
7
0
0
0
0
0
5
2
0-2
0%
2-5
1-1
40%
50%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.9
30.5
1
5-10
46%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 21.7
20.2
0
3-7
48%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.1
5.0
0
0-1
46%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.0
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 32.2
34.3
23.9
16
51%
10
3
0
1
3
2
0
10
6-6
100%
2-9
4-8
22%
51%
2-4
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.5
33.7
31.9
31
91%
3
6
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
5-6
4-9
83%
51%
7-11
64%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 26.8
29.1
14.6
10
63%
5
1
0
0
1
1
2
3
1-2
50%
3-5
2-3
60%
56%
1-2
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 40.2
28.3
22.5
12
120%
4
3
1
1
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
4-5
80%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 35.2
19.5
27.8
10
63%
4
0
0
2
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
51%
0-0
-
Wayne Selden
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 22.5
31.6
18.3
13
74%
2
2
0
1
0
3
1
1
3-4
75%
5-7
1-2
71%
54%
0-0
-
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 22.4
22.1
20.7
0
0%
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-3
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.7
14.8
27.8
2
13%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-8
7-13
13%
50%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.5
14.5
21.8
4
100%
2
1
0
1
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
4-6
100%
65%
0-0
-
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.7
7.9
21.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-1
0%
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 21.0
2.5
12.8
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
1-1
100%
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20.3
1.7
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
56%
0-0
-
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 26.8
20.2
1
1-3
54%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 22.9
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.