Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Wizards	40%	104	102	107.4	95	104.2
	9	Heat	60%	107	110	114.6	96	88.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tomas Satoransky G · 6'7" 210 · 25	30.0	2	14%	4	5	2	0	2	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Kelly Oubre Jr. F · 6'8" 210 · 21	28.3	8	33%	3	1	3	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	4-10	40%	0-2	0%
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 28	27.4	2	11%	3	5	1	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-5	0%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 33	25.4	16	89%	5	1	0	0	1	1	2	3	0-1	0%	8-9	89%	0-0	-
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 24	14.7	11	61%	6	0	0	0	0	2	1	5	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%

Sheldon Mac G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24	35.0	18	64%	4	0	0	0	2	1	0	4	5-6	83%	5-7	71%	1-4	25%
Trey Burke G · 6'1" 191 · 24	30.7	27	96%	0	4	1	0	2	0	0	0	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	5-7	71%
Bojan Bogdanović F · 6'8" 230 · 28	19.4	7	44%	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Daniel Ochefu F · 6'11" 245 · 23	16.6	8	67%	3	1	1	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Chris McCullough F · 6'9" 215 · 22	6.5	0	0%	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jason Smith F-C · 7'0" 240 · 31	6.1	3	38%	3	0	0	0	2	2	0	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Bradley Beal #3 · G · 6'4" 207 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	54%	34	18	9	0	10	0	8	26	11-14	79%	35-61	57%	7-26	27%

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13 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tomas Satoransky G · 6'7" 210 · 25	30.0	2	14%	4	5	2	0	2	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Kelly Oubre Jr. F · 6'8" 210 · 21	28.3	8	33%	3	1	3	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	4-10	40%	0-2	0%
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 28	27.4	2	11%	3	5	1	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-5	0%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 33	25.4	16	89%	5	1	0	0	1	1	2	3	0-1	0%	8-9	89%	0-0	-
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 24	14.7	11	61%	6	0	0	0	0	2	1	5	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%

Sheldon Mac G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24	35.0	18	64%	4	0	0	0	2	1	0	4	5-6	83%	5-7	71%	1-4	25%
Trey Burke G · 6'1" 191 · 24	30.7	27	96%	0	4	1	0	2	0	0	0	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	5-7	71%
Bojan Bogdanović F · 6'8" 230 · 28	19.4	7	44%	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Daniel Ochefu F · 6'11" 245 · 23	16.6	8	67%	3	1	1	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Chris McCullough F · 6'9" 215 · 22	6.5	0	0%	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jason Smith F-C · 7'0" 240 · 31	6.1	3	38%	3	0	0	0	2	2	0	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Bradley Beal #3 · G · 6'4" 207 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	54%	34	18	9	0	10	0	8	26	11-14	79%	35-61	57%	7-26	27%

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9 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Josh Richardson G · 6'6" 200 · 24	37.2	15	63%	2	1	0	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-6	50%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 31	37.0	28	64%	4	5	1	0	7	2	2	2	4-4	100%	9-17	53%	2-4	50%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	36.7	12	55%	8	8	0	1	2	3	1	7	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	0-3	0%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 28	31.0	24	63%	18	0	0	2	1	1	5	13	4-6	67%	10-17	59%	0-0	-
Rodney McGruder F · 6'4" 200 · 26	20.4	2	50%	2	2	0	0	2	0	2	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 29	30.6	9	45%	7	1	0	0	0	0	0	7	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-9	33%
Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 25	18.9	4	50%	3	2	0	0	3	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 27	14.8	16	89%	6	0	0	0	1	3	3	3	0-0	-	8-9	89%	0-0	-
Okaro White F · 6'8" 215 · 25	12.4	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 37	1.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Dion Waiters G · 6'4" 215 · 25	\| DND - Sprained Left Ankle
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Justise Winslow #20 · F · 6'7" 225 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	58%	51	19	2	4	17	0	14	37	10-12	83%	38-64	59%	8-24	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.07 53.7%

MIA

1.16 57.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

17

28

61%

MIA

27

40

68%

Midrange

WAS

18

33

55%

MIA

11

24

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

7

10.5

26

27%

40%

MIA

8

12.0

24

33%

50%

Free Throws

WAS

11

14

79%

MIA

10

12

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Burke	27	96%	13.5 / 14
S. Mac	18	64%	9.0 / 14
M. Gortat	16	89%	8.0 / 9
O. Porter Jr.	11	61%	5.5 / 9
K. Oubre	8	33%	4.0 / 12
D. Ochefu	8	67%	4.0 / 6
B. Bogdanovic	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. Smith	3	38%	1.5 / 4
T. Satoransky	2	14%	1.0 / 7
B. Jennings	2	11%	1.0 / 9
C. McCullough	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Dragic	28	64%	14.0 / 22
H. Whiteside	24	63%	12.0 / 19
W. Reed	16	89%	8.0 / 9
J. Richardson	15	63%	7.5 / 12
J. Johnson	12	55%	6.0 / 11
W. Ellington	9	45%	4.5 / 10
T. Johnson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
R. McGruder	2	50%	1.0 / 2
O. White	0	-	0.0 / 1
U. Haslem	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 111.0 18 108.1	WAS 107.4 MIA 114.6 +7.2
Pace	9 97.5 21 95.0	WAS 104.2 +15.9 MIA 88.3
Avg. Poss. Time	25 14.4 5 15.7	WAS 13.8 −2.5 MIA 16.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 52.8% 15 51.2%	WAS 52.3% MIA 56.8% +4.5%
TO %	16 13.7% 8 13.2%	WAS 10.6% −5.6% MIA 16.2%
ORB %	13 24.1% 11 24.2%	WAS 17.8% MIA 35.0% +17.2%
FTrt	25 25.4 26 25.1	WAS 16.1 +2.5 MIA 13.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 57.7% 24 54.4%	WAS 42.9% +1.6% MIA 41.3%
STL %	3 8.6% 21 7.5%	WAS 9.5% +7.4% MIA 2.1%
BLK %	24 7.1% 6 9.3%	WAS 0.0% MIA 6.6% +6.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 55.0% 20 52.8%	WAS 53.7% MIA 57.9% +4.2%
Rim FG%	10 59.5% 12 59.2%	WAS 60.7% MIA 67.5% +6.8%
Mid FG%	2 44.0% 26 39.4%	WAS 54.5% +8.7% MIA 45.8%
3P %	8 37.2% 12 36.5%	WAS 26.9% MIA 33.3% +6.4%
FT %	12 78.5% 30 70.6%	WAS 78.6% MIA 83.3% +4.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 34.8% 15 35.4%	WAS 32.2% MIA 45.5% +13.3%
Mid Att. %	21 36.8% 15 33.1%	WAS 37.9% MIA 27.3% −10.7%
3P Att. %	23 28.4% 14 31.4%	WAS 29.9% +2.6% MIA 27.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Game Totals	WAS	MIA
Possessions	95	96
Possession Minutes	21.9	26.1
Points	102	110
Rebounds	34	51
Assists	18	19
Steals	9	2
Blocks	0	4
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (1)	37 (0)
Field Goals	42-87	46-88
At-the-Rim FG	17-28	27-40
Midrange FG	18-33	11-24
2-Point FG	35-61	38-64
3-Point FG	7-26	8-24
Free Throws	11-14	10-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg