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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 12, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Wizards40%104102
11Heat60%107110
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.5
30
12
2
4
5
2
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
0-3
0%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 21.3
28
30
8
3
1
3
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-10
3-6
40%
52%
0-2
0%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 27.6
27
21
2
3
5
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
42%
0-5
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.1
25
24
16
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-1
0%
8-9
4-7
89%
56%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.9
15
24
11
6
0
0
1
0
0
1
5
3-3
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
55%
0-2
0%
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24.3
35
2
18
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
5-6
83%
5-7
0-0
71%
47%
1-4
25%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.4
31
6
27
0
4
1
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
5-6
1-1
83%
45%
5-7
71%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.0
19
21
7
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 23.3
17
2
8
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
4-6
0-1
67%
50%
0-0
-
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.2
7
2
0
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 31.1
6
19
3
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.6
33
2
6-13
47%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.6
26
1
4-8
49%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.8
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.6
37
36
15
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
46%
3-6
50%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.9
37
33
28
4
5
1
1
0
7
2
2
4-4
100%
9-17
6-12
53%
52%
2-4
50%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.1
37
32
12
8
8
0
1
1
2
1
7
2-2
100%
5-8
5-9
63%
55%
0-3
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.8
31
31
24
18
0
0
1
2
1
5
13
4-6
67%
10-17
7-12
59%
58%
0-0
-
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.7
20
23
2
2
2
0
1
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.4
31
19
9
7
1
0
0
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
3-9
33%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.9
19
29
4
3
2
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.9
15
12
16
6
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
8-9
2-3
89%
57%
0-0
-
Okaro White
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.7
12
13
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.8
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.3
7
0
1-2
46%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 30.1
6
0
1-1
47%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.8
5
0
0-0
44%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 33.1
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 21.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.