Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, April 12, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Pistons | 55% | 105 | 109 |
 | 27 | Magic | 45% | 103 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Raptors | 46% | 106 | 98 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Bucks | 33% | 103 | 94 |
 | 5 | Celtics | 67% | 109 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 25 | Knicks | 58% | 107 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Heat | 60% | 107 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Nets | 34% | 103 | 73 |
 | 11 | Bulls | 66% | 108 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Mavericks | 30% | 94 | 100 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Timberwolves | 28% | 108 | 118 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Thunder | 52% | 112 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Lakers | 7% | 98 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Pelicans | 38% | 103 | 103 |
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Tuesday, April 11, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Hornets | 41% | 100 | 76 |
| 18 | Hawks | 59% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thunder | 48% | 107 | 100 |
| 14 | Timberwolves | 52% | 108 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 52% | 109 | 109 |
| 22 | Mavericks | 48% | 108 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 64% | 109 | 96 |
| 30 | Lakers | 36% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 29 | Kings | 51% | 107 | 129 |
Monday, April 10, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 61% | 107 | 120 |
| 28 | 76ers | 39% | 103 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 28% | 105 | 105 |
| 6 | Celtics | 72% | 113 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 51% | 109 | 121 |
| 10 | Heat | 49% | 108 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 34% | 102 | 75 |
| 14 | Bulls | 66% | 108 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hornets | 49% | 104 | 79 |
| 15 | Bucks | 51% | 105 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 51% | 105 | 105 |
| 22 | Pistons | 49% | 104 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 59% | 105 | 98 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 33% | 109 | 96 |
| 3 | Clippers | 67% | 115 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 29% | 100 | 105 |
| 1 | Warriors | 71% | 108 | 99 |
Sunday, April 9, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 66% | 111 | 125 |
| 21 | Hawks | 34% | 105 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Thunder | 38% | 112 | 106 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 62% | 116 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 53% | 104 | 111 |
| 27 | Suns | 47% | 103 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 76% | 114 | 135 |
| 29 | Kings | 24% | 104 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 35% | 97 | 103 |
| 12 | Grizzlies | 65% | 103 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 65% | 110 | 109 |
| 30 | Lakers | 35% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 65% | 107 | 110 |
| 26 | Knicks | 35% | 102 | 97 |
Saturday, April 8, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 55% | 107 | 106 |
| 24 | Nets | 45% | 105 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 47% | 107 | 121 |
| 10 | Hornets | 53% | 108 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 56% | 106 | 127 |
| 25 | Magic | 44% | 104 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 57% | 107 | 90 |
| 28 | 76ers | 43% | 105 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 41% | 104 | 106 |
| 13 | Wizards | 59% | 108 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 55% | 104 | 98 |
| 7 | Spurs | 45% | 102 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 47% | 102 | 86 |
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 103 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pelicans | 16% | 101 | 101 |
| 1 | Warriors | 84% | 115 | 123 |
Friday, April 7, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 17% | 101 | 114 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 83% | 115 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 39% | 103 | 94 |
| 6 | Raptors | 61% | 106 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 27% | 97 | 88 |
| 15 | Grizzlies | 73% | 106 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 23% | 103 | 114 |
| 4 | Rockets | 77% | 114 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 65% | 101 | 102 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 35% | 95 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pelicans | 43% | 112 | 106 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 57% | 114 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 32% | 97 | 113 |
| 10 | Jazz | 68% | 104 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Thunder | 64% | 111 | 99 |
| 27 | Suns | 36% | 106 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 52% | 105 | 94 |
| 30 | Lakers | 48% | 104 | 98 |
Thursday, April 6, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 59% | 107 | 102 |
| 27 | 76ers | 41% | 104 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 47% | 106 | 107 |
| 26 | Magic | 53% | 107 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 42% | 103 | 89 |
| 16 | Pacers | 58% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wizards | 58% | 108 | 106 |
| 23 | Knicks | 42% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celtics | 51% | 106 | 116 |
| 21 | Hawks | 49% | 105 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 44% | 107 | 98 |
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 109 | 105 |
Wednesday, April 5, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 46% | 103 | 112 |
| 11 | Hornets | 54% | 105 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 53% | 104 | 105 |
| 21 | Pistons | 47% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Thunder | 51% | 102 | 103 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 49% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 28% | 113 | 104 |
| 5 | Rockets | 72% | 122 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 47% | 110 | 114 |
| 7 | Celtics | 53% | 111 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Lakers | 12% | 95 | 102 |
| 4 | Spurs | 88% | 111 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 79% | 115 | 120 |
| 28 | Suns | 21% | 104 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 18% | 97 | 101 |
| 2 | Clippers | 82% | 110 | 112 |
Tuesday, April 4, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 49% | 108 | 141 |
| 27 | 76ers | 51% | 109 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hornets | 45% | 106 | 111 |
| 11 | Wizards | 55% | 108 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 21% | 105 | 102 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 79% | 116 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 46% | 103 | 90 |
| 17 | Pacers | 54% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 41% | 111 | 134 |
| 7 | Pelicans | 59% | 114 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 42% | 105 | 79 |
| 12 | Thunder | 58% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 55% | 103 | 91 |
| 26 | Knicks | 45% | 102 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 27% | 96 | 89 |
| 3 | Spurs | 73% | 105 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 33% | 99 | 87 |
| 9 | Jazz | 67% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Timberwolves | 16% | 101 | 107 |
| 1 | Warriors | 84% | 115 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 60% | 102 | 87 |
| 29 | Kings | 40% | 99 | 98 |
Monday, April 3, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 44% | 106 | 109 |
| 14 | Timberwolves | 56% | 108 | 110 |
Sunday, April 2, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 62% | 106 | 110 |
| 24 | Knicks | 38% | 102 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 43% | 106 | 113 |
| 12 | Thunder | 57% | 108 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grizzlies | 76% | 109 | 103 |
| 30 | Lakers | 24% | 99 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 40% | 100 | 109 |
| 16 | Bucks | 60% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 28% | 95 | 103 |
| 2 | Spurs | 72% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 31% | 100 | 117 |
| 7 | Pelicans | 69% | 107 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 29% | 101 | 105 |
| 15 | Raptors | 71% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 51% | 107 | 82 |
| 25 | Nets | 49% | 106 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 47% | 110 | 116 |
| 13 | Heat | 53% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 30% | 104 | 130 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 70% | 112 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wizards | 23% | 104 | 115 |
| 1 | Warriors | 77% | 115 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 72% | 113 | 123 |
| 28 | Suns | 28% | 105 | 116 |
Saturday, April 1, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Lakers | 13% | 101 | 104 |
| 3 | Clippers | 87% | 117 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hawks | 39% | 100 | 104 |
| 20 | Bulls | 61% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 41% | 106 | 111 |
| 26 | Nets | 59% | 110 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 23% | 98 | 123 |
| 14 | Timberwolves | 77% | 108 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 30% | 105 | 117 |
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 70% | 112 | 130 |
Friday, March 31, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 42% | 102 | 100 |
| 18 | Raptors | 58% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 46% | 111 | 114 |
| 12 | Hornets | 54% | 112 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 23% | 104 | 105 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 77% | 114 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 24% | 102 | 116 |
| 6 | Celtics | 76% | 112 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 33% | 101 | 105 |
| 15 | Bucks | 67% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 38% | 98 | 90 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 62% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 24% | 99 | 89 |
| 9 | Pelicans | 76% | 108 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 32% | 99 | 98 |
| 13 | Heat | 68% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 61% | 106 | 100 |
| 11 | Thunder | 39% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wizards | 44% | 101 | 88 |
| 10 | Jazz | 56% | 104 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 29% | 109 | 98 |
| 1 | Warriors | 71% | 117 | 107 |
Thursday, March 30, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 37% | 104 | 89 |
| 22 | Pistons | 63% | 108 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 59% | 108 | 93 |
| 20 | Bulls | 41% | 105 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Lakers | 25% | 101 | 104 |
| 16 | Timberwolves | 75% | 111 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 71% | 112 | 124 |
| 28 | Suns | 29% | 105 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 63% | 115 | 107 |
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 110 | 117 |