Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Spurs	52%	98	97	107.8	90	91.2
	7	Jazz	48%	97	101	112.2	90	88.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 32	34.5	18	64%	5	0	3	1	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	9-13	69%	0-1	0%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 26	30.5	14	50%	5	2	1	0	1	2	1	4	3-3	100%	4-11	36%	1-2	50%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 35	24.1	14	70%	1	2	1	0	2	2	0	1	4-4	100%	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 30	19.6	2	17%	4	2	2	1	1	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Dewayne Dedmon C · 7'0" 245 · 28	14.1	2	20%	8	0	0	0	2	1	5	3	0-2	0%	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Pau Gasol C · 7'0" 250 · 37	22.9	13	50%	7	0	1	0	0	3	3	4	0-0	-	5-11	45%	1-2	50%
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 29	18.7	8	80%	2	5	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-2	100%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 40	17.6	5	63%	2	2	1	0	2	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Kyle Anderson F-G · 6'8" 230 · 24	15.6	8	57%	2	2	1	0	0	3	0	2	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Jonathon Simmons F · 6'6" 195 · 28	12.7	2	25%	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
David Lee F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34	12.5	2	33%	3	0	0	0	2	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Davis Bertans C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24	12.0	7	70%	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	1-1	100%	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Dejounte Murray G · 6'4" 180 · 21	5.2	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Bryn Forbes #11 · G · 6'3" 190 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Joel Anthony #30 · C · 6'9" 245 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	51%	42	16	12	2	15	0	15	27	11-13	85%	31-65	48%	8-21	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

3 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 32	34.5	18	64%	5	0	3	1	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	9-13	69%	0-1	0%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 26	30.5	14	50%	5	2	1	0	1	2	1	4	3-3	100%	4-11	36%	1-2	50%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 35	24.1	14	70%	1	2	1	0	2	2	0	1	4-4	100%	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 30	19.6	2	17%	4	2	2	1	1	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Dewayne Dedmon C · 7'0" 245 · 28	14.1	2	20%	8	0	0	0	2	1	5	3	0-2	0%	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Pau Gasol C · 7'0" 250 · 37	22.9	13	50%	7	0	1	0	0	3	3	4	0-0	-	5-11	45%	1-2	50%
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 29	18.7	8	80%	2	5	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-2	100%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 40	17.6	5	63%	2	2	1	0	2	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Kyle Anderson F-G · 6'8" 230 · 24	15.6	8	57%	2	2	1	0	0	3	0	2	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Jonathon Simmons F · 6'6" 195 · 28	12.7	2	25%	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
David Lee F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34	12.5	2	33%	3	0	0	0	2	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Davis Bertans C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24	12.0	7	70%	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	1-1	100%	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Dejounte Murray G · 6'4" 180 · 21	5.2	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Bryn Forbes #11 · G · 6'3" 190 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Joel Anthony #30 · C · 6'9" 245 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	51%	42	16	12	2	15	0	15	27	11-13	85%	31-65	48%	8-21	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

7 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rudy Gobert C · 7'1" 258 · 25	29.0	13	59%	9	0	0	1	3	2	1	8	3-5	60%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Joe Ingles G · 6'8" 220 · 30	28.2	9	64%	2	3	1	0	3	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-6	50%
Gordon Hayward F · 6'8" 226 · 27	22.7	14	78%	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	7-8	88%	0-1	0%
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 31	21.6	13	72%	2	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	4-5	80%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Boris Diaw F · 6'8" 250 · 35	14.7	4	50%	1	1	1	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 27	26.4	13	72%	3	3	1	1	1	1	2	1	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Rodney Hood G · 6'8" 206 · 24	22.9	10	38%	4	2	1	0	2	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-8	25%
Derrick Favors F-C · 6'10" 265 · 26	20.8	8	50%	5	3	3	0	4	0	0	5	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Danté Exum G · 6'5" 214 · 22	16.9	2	50%	1	3	1	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Joe Johnson G-F · 6'7" 240 · 36	16.7	8	67%	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Trey Lyles F · 6'10" 234 · 21	8.9	1	17%	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jeff Withey · 7'0" 231 · 27	6.0	3	50%	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Alec Burks G · 6'5" 214 · 26	5.2	3	150%	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Raul Neto #25 · G · 6'1" 179 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Joel Bolomboy #21 · · 6'9" 235 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	59%	36	24	10	5	16	0	7	29	13-20	65%	29-51	57%	10-26	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	UTA

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.02 51.1%

UTA

1.17 58.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

15

28

54%

UTA

18

30

60%

Midrange

SAS

16

37

43%

UTA

11

21

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

8

12.0

21

38%

57%

UTA

10

15.0

26

38%

58%

Free Throws

SAS

11

13

85%

UTA

13

20

65%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge	18	64%	9.0 / 14
K. Leonard	14	50%	7.0 / 14
T. Parker	14	70%	7.0 / 10
P. Gasol	13	50%	6.5 / 13
P. Mills	8	80%	4.0 / 5
K. Anderson	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. Bertans	7	70%	3.5 / 5
M. Ginobili	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Green	2	17%	1.0 / 6
D. Dedmon	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Simmons	2	25%	1.0 / 4
D. Lee	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Murray	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Hayward	14	78%	7.0 / 9
R. Gobert	13	59%	6.5 / 11
G. Hill	13	72%	6.5 / 9
S. Mack	13	72%	6.5 / 9
R. Hood	10	38%	5.0 / 13
J. Ingles	9	64%	4.5 / 7
D. Favors	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Johnson	8	67%	4.0 / 6
B. Diaw	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Withey	3	50%	1.5 / 3
A. Burks	3	150%	1.5 / 1
D. Exum	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Lyles	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 111.3 12 110.0	SAS 107.8 UTA 112.2 +4.4
Pace	27 94.1 30 91.2	SAS 91.2 +2.4 UTA 88.8
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.8 1 16.5	SAS 15.8 −0.4 UTA 16.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 52.4% 8 52.6%	SAS 50.0% UTA 57.1% +7.1%
TO %	14 13.6% 20 14.1%	SAS 14.1% −2.4% UTA 16.5%
ORB %	14 24.0% 16 23.2%	SAS 34.1% +13.5% UTA 20.6%
FTrt	18 26.3 8 28.8	SAS 15.1 UTA 26.0 +10.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 60.6% 23 54.4%	SAS 41.0% UTA 61.5% +20.5%
STL %	7 8.5% 24 7.3%	SAS 13.3% +2.2% UTA 11.1%
BLK %	2 9.9% 11 8.5%	SAS 3.9% UTA 7.7% +3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 54.8% 9 54.8%	SAS 51.1% UTA 58.7% +7.6%
Rim FG%	5 60.5% 6 60.4%	SAS 53.6% UTA 60.0% +6.4%
Mid FG%	9 42.0% 17 40.3%	SAS 43.2% UTA 52.4% +9.2%
3P %	1 39.1% 9 37.2%	SAS 38.1% UTA 38.5% +0.4%
FT %	7 79.7% 24 74.7%	SAS 84.6% +19.6% UTA 65.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 31.1% 11 36.2%	SAS 32.6% UTA 39.0% +6.4%
Mid Att. %	29 40.8% 10 31.1%	SAS 43.0% UTA 27.3% −15.8%
3P Att. %	24 28.1% 11 32.7%	SAS 24.4% UTA 33.8% +9.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	UTA
Possessions	90	90
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	97	101
Rebounds	42	36
Assists	16	24
Steals	12	10
Blocks	2	5
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (2)	7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (2)	29 (2)
Field Goals	39-86	39-77
At-the-Rim FG	15-28	18-30
Midrange FG	16-37	11-21
2-Point FG	31-65	29-51
3-Point FG	8-21	10-26
Free Throws	11-13	13-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg