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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 25, 2021
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Nuggets51%114117
9Mavericks49%113113
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 25.9
34
34
20
10
4
2
1
1
6
3
7
4-4
100%
8-11
8-14
73%
58%
0-2
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.4
32
30
10
3
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
51%
2-2
100%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 30.1
26
24
6
7
5
0
1
0
2
0
7
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
0-4
0%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 23.9
25
34
16
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
5-10
71%
51%
2-4
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 36.0
19
19
2
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-2
0%
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 22.6
28
26
30
8
0
2
1
0
1
3
5
4-5
80%
4-8
3-5
50%
57%
6-10
60%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.6
26
28
8
2
6
0
1
1
2
0
2
4-6
67%
2-3
3-6
67%
54%
0-2
0%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 30.6
22
19
17
8
1
2
0
0
0
1
7
4-5
80%
2-2
1-3
100%
51%
3-7
43%
Facundo Campazzo
G · 5'11" 195 · 29.8
13
11
0
2
2
2
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 24.3
9
16
8
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
2-2
100%
R.J. Hampton
G · 6'4" 175 · 20.0
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Isaiah Hartenstein
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 22.7
4
0
1-1
56%
Bol Bol
C · 7'2" 208 · 21.2
3
0
0-1
54%
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.8
2
0
0-0
52%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 20.0
1
0
0-0
52%
Markus Howard
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.9
Greg Whittington
F · 6'9" 210 · 27.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 21.9
39
33
35
11
16
4
1
1
5
2
9
10-10
100%
8-15
7-13
53%
56%
3-8
38%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 28.9
37
31
19
7
2
1
1
0
1
3
4
3-4
75%
5-11
3-6
45%
51%
2-7
29%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 25.5
33
22
16
6
1
1
0
1
3
0
6
3-4
75%
5-10
3-7
50%
49%
1-8
13%
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 198 · 24.4
29
29
12
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
4-7
100%
53%
2-2
100%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.4
27
18
2
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-4
50%
0-3
3-4
0%
57%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.9
31
21
16
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
5-5
2-4
100%
56%
2-3
67%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 28.2
26
24
9
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
3-5
100%
49%
1-3
33%
Wes Iwundu
F · 6'7" 195 · 26.1
16
20
2
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 32.4
3
9
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
59%
0-0
-
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.2
19
1
1-2
53%
Tyrell Terry
G · 6'3" 160 · 20.3
6
0
1-1
51%
Nate Hinton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 21.6
3
0
0-1
51%
Tyler Bey
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.0
3
0
0-1
52%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.7
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.4
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.5
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.